Tuesday, March 31, 2015

With Shortened Week...Stocks Finish Lower...Pre-Earnings Jitters Cited...DJIA Down 200 Points...Slightly Down For QTR...JCP Nudges Up & Finishes Gaining 7.41%...

Eight of nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday…XLU, XLY and XLE were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest again today.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.43 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.51 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 1.82 at 206.43 on 126.2 million shares, above average volume
VIX up .78 at 15.29…
TNX down .29 at 19.34…
TLT up .28 at 130.69…
XLF down .17 at 24.11 on 21.1 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down 1.94 at 124.43 on 42 million shares
FB down .98 at 82.22…on 19.7 million shares, below average volume


Technical Commentary:
QQQ – 1.06%, DIA – 1.01%, SPY – 0.87%, IWM – 0.32%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.24...
QQQ = 108.94
IWM = 126.22…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.86, 203.49...
QQQ = 105.38, 104.44…
IWM = 122.77, 121.22, 119.83...

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE, AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – YOKU, XONE, JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, WFC,

More than -10% - YOKU, LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AXP, BIDU, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JCP, JDSU, JNJ, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, RCL, SOHU, STX, YHOO

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AAL, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, CHRW, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, IBM, JDSU, JPM, KSU, MCD, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, STT, TPX, TSLA, WDC, WYNN, VRTX, WFC, XLNX, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is down at 33.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BX, MFRM, SCSS, SCTY, SWI, UA, ESRX,  
Diagonal Breakout: SCHW, UPL, ZION, CAR, HOG, MTW, MU, QCOM,   
Bull Flag: CSIQ, JASO, JD, SOHU, TSL, TWTR,  
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:          
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag:  
At Support: CELG, MSFT,
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, ETFC, CCL,    
H Breakout: RCL,   
D Breakout:  
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce: VSLR,  
Bounce: GME, LC, QIHU, DDD,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: BBRY, DAVE, YOKU,   
Gap Up: JCP, PCLN,  
Gap Down:
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag: CREE, CRM,
Support Break: CMGE, LNKD, GILD,  
______________________


16 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHTR, MU, ESRX, LVNTA, PCLN, MAT, QCOM, ADBE, BBBY, VRSK

Lagging NDX stocks included: CELG, ALXN, KRFT, ADI, AVGO, AMGN, LRCX, VRTX, SBAC, GILD

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: JCP, VSLR, VXX, ZNGA, UPL, QIHU

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: CMGE, DGLY, X, ATI, BBY, LNKD


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 37
MNST, NXPI, BIIB, DLTR, COST, EXPD, ROST, AKAM, AVGO, LVNTA, SRCL, REGN, MYL, CERN, FB, SBUX, AAL, AMGN, SIAL, YHOO, CTXS, KRFT, ORLY, ADI, ALTR, BBBY, CA, EA, EQIX, VRSK, XLNX, BIDU, CTRX, ESRX, FISV, ISRG, MDLZ

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
CHTR

Moving Below 30 DMA = 10
ATVI, CHKP, CTSH, FAST, HSIC, INTU, PAYX, PCAR, SPLS, VIP

Staying Below 30 DMA
GOOG, ALXN, CELG, CHRW,DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, LMCA, MAR, MSFT, SBAC, SIRI, SNDK, TRIP, TSCO, TSLA, TXN, VRTX, AAPL, BRCM, CMCSA, KLAC, LBTYA, LLTC, NVDA, PCLN, VIAB, ADBE, ADP, AMZN, GILD, ILMN, ADSK, AMAT, GMCR, QCOM, CSCO, DISH, DTV, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, NFLX, WDC, MU,STX, SYMC,VOD, WYNN, GRMN, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral