Thursday, March 31, 2016

Small Caps Gain as Eight Sectors and SPY Pull Back...

Eight of nine sectors moved lower on ThursdayXLU, XLE and XLY were the strongest sectors while XLB was the weakest sector.  Oil futures fell .19 to close at 38.11
                         
Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.21 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led 1.03 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday - weakened, advancers led on NYSE
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – mixed, advancers led on NYSE
Friday – weakened, advancers led


SPY down .50 at 206.02 on 94.5 million shares, 5% below average volume
VIX up .39 at 13.95…
TNX down .44 at 17.86…
TLT up .92 at 131.07…on 7.8 million shares, 5% above average volume
XLF down .05 at 22.50…on 32.4 million shares, 40% below average volume

AAPL down .57 at 108.99 on 25.8 million shares, 21% below average volume
FB down .60 at 114.10 on 21.2 million shares, 15% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.28%, DIA -0.14%, QQQ -0.15%, SPY -0.24%.


NDX -7.23 on Thursday was led by point gainers BIIB, MSFT, ALXN, CELG, CMCSA and ILMN.  Point losers included AMZN, INTC, GOOG, PCLN, FB, TXN, AVGO and MDLZ.

NDX percentage leaders: INCY, BMRN, ALXN, ILMN, VIAB BIIB, WDC, NTAP, NCLH, DISCA, VRSK

The DJIA was led by gains in IBM, AXP, DIS, MSFT, GS and CVX as only 10 of 30 stocks moved higher.


Trade what you see, not…


Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.    Bear call spreads and short put verticals on VXX can also assist in providing protection for downside risk.                                                                                                                           


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is at 94. 


51 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged on Thursday.

83 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
ALXN, BIIB, BMRN, INCY, WDC

Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
EBAY, PCLN, PYPL, XLNX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

Wednesday, March 30, 2016

QQQ, DIA, SPY, IWM Short-term New High Close...XLP All-time High...XLK Bull Market High...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on WednesdayXLP, XLY and XLK were the strongest sectors while XLU was the weakest sector.  Oil futures fell .19 to close at 38.30
                         
Breadth weakened as advancers led decliners 1.70 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.46 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – mixed, advancers led on NYSE
Friday – weakened, advancers led
Thursday - strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .90 at 206.02 on 86.3 million shares, 15% below average volume
VIX down .26 at 13.56…
TNX up .16 at 18.30…
TLT up 1.38 at 131.07…on 8.4 million shares, 11% above average volume
XLF up .13 at 22.55…on 30.5 million shares, 46% below average volume

AAPL up 1.88 at 109.56 on 45.6 million shares, 35% above average volume
FB down 1.44 at 114.70 on 33.2 million shares, 27% above average volume

Technical Commentary:
QQQ +0.49%, DIA +0.47%, SPY +0.44%, IWM +0.01%.

Today QQQ, DIA, SPY and IWM each made a new short-term new high close since the Feb 11 lowsConsumer Staples XLP made a new all-time closing high, XLU closed just below Tuesday’s all-time closing high and Technology XLK made a new 15 year high.

NDX +23.16 on Wednesday was led by point gainers MSFT, AMZN, CSCO, AAPL, GOOG, INTC, COST, TXN and AVGO. 

NDX percentage leaders: NCLH, JD, CHKP, NTES, ATVI, MAT, DLTR, AMAT, AVGO, SWKS, AAPL, TXN

The DJIA was led by gains in V, AAPL, MCD, MMM, CSCO, JPM, WMT, GE and INTC as 20 of 30 stocks moved higher.


Trade what you see, not…



Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.

______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include:  XLE, AMGN, CA, EXPE, FAST, FOXA, GILD, SYMC, FCX, AXP, BA, NKE,

Bull Flag Bounces include: NCLH, MCD, MMM, XLF, CSCO, CSX, ROST, CNX, DD, JPM, AKS, SE

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: INTC, XOM, XLB, XLI, XLV, ADSK, BIDU, CHTR, CMCSA, CTRP, CTXS, PCAR, CAT, IBM, NTAP, SBUX, BABA, EA, MSFT, NFLX,


Horizontal Breakouts include: NCLH, RCL, CCL, X, SPY, XLP, AMAT, AVGO, FISV, GOOG, SWKS

______________________


YTD:
SPX Leaders:  FCX, NEM, URBN, KORS, WYNN, PVH, RRC, COG, SE, EXC (306, +8 > 10p 123, -3)
SPX Losers: WMB, ESV, MPC, RIG, RCL, ADS, MS, CF, LNC, BAC

NDX Leaders: MAT, FAST, PCAR, AMAT, FISV, CHTR, YHOO, FB, ISRG, HSIC (49, +2)
NDX Losers:  ENDP, VRTX, INCY, REGN, ALXN, MU, BMRN, WDC, TRIP, NTES

DJI Leaders:  VZ, CAT, WMT, MMM, UNH, XOM, KO, IBM, MCD, JNJ (19, +0)
DJI Losers: AXP, GS, BA, JPM, PFE, DIS, INTC, DD, V, MSFT


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is at 94. 


69 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

85 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
XLNX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
WDC

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

Bull Flags Bounce Galore...Congratulations...SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM Short-term New High Close...

All nine sectors moved higher on TuesdayXLK, XLU and XLV were the strongest sectors while XLF was the weakest sector.  Oil futures fell 
                         
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.96 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.66 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – mixed, advancers led on NYSE
Friday – weakened, advancers led
Thursday - strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led

SPY up 1.88 at 205.12 on 92.6 million shares, 10% below average volume
VIX down 1.42 at 13.82…
TNX down .56 at 18.14…
TLT up 1.36 at 131.07…on 9.3 million shares, 20% above average volume
XLF up .04 at 22.42…on 36.0 million shares, 38% below average volume

AAPL up 2.49 at 107.68 on 31.1 million shares, 8% below average volume
FB up 2.45 at 116.14 on 29.8 million shares, 13% above average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +2.78%, QQQ +1.61%, SPY +0.93%, DIA +0.54%.


Today the SPY, DIA, QQQ and IWM each made a new short-term new high close since the Feb 11 lowsThe noise over the past few weeks has been the VIX has an oscillator divergence, the VIX is low, and the market is going to roll over.  Once again people stop looking at what the trend is and start thinking too much.  Too much listening to others and too much thinking one can finally see the future creates both external and internal noise which leads to blind spots and regularly causes traders to miss what is really happening in the market.

In our Thursday/weekend post Chart Signals wrote under the headlineBuyers return…Bull Flags Galore”:

“After five strong weeks of gains SPY, DIA, QQQ and IWM moved slightly lower for the week each forming a bull flag price pattern.  A positive and healthy pause in the trend.  Sector ETFs XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP and XLY also formed bull flag price patterns this week.

A bull flag is a short-term trend continuation pattern.  We look for a potential bounce up as early as Monday in the direction of the six week uptrend.”

While many stocks did bounce on Monday, today we saw Bull Flags Bounce GaloreChart Signals hopes that you traded the Chart Signals and got paid nicely today. If so, Congratulations!  It pays to trade Chart Signals.


NDX +69.65 on Tuesday was led by point gainers MSFT, AMZN, FB, GOOG, INTC, AAPL, MDLZ, CMCSA, BIDU, COST, PCLH and YHOO. 

NDX percentage leaders: TRIP, LBTYA, MYL, TMUS, LRCX, ATVI, ILMN, ISRG, YHOO, NTAP, NFLX, CTRP, BIDU

The DJIA was led by gains in AAPL, MSFT, V, INTC, KO, UTX, VZ and HD as 24 of 30 stocks moved higher.

Today, Tuesday March 29 after the close HOLX and CNC replaced POM and ESV in the S&P 500.


Trade what you see, not…


Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.

______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use

Bull Flag Setups include:  XLF, XLE, AMGN, CA, CSCO, CSX, EXPE, FAST, FOXA, GILD, NCLH, ROST, SYMC, WDC, FCX, CNX, AXP, BA, DD, JPM, MCD, MMM, NKE, XOM, AKS, SE,

Bull Flag Bounces include: IWM, QQQ, SPY, DIA, XLK, XLI, XLB, INTC, AAPL, ADBE, ADSK, AMAT, ATVI, AVGO, BIDU, CHTR, CMCSA, COST, CTRP, CTXS, FISV, GOOG, LRCX, NTAP, NXPI, SBUX, SBAC, TXN, CVX, IBM, KORS, WYNN, CAT, MNST, VIAB, TSLA, PCAR, SWKS, WBA,

Horizontal Breakout Setups include: XLP, XLV, EA, X, AKS, BABA, ILMN, LLTC, MSFT, NTAP, WMT, XOM, CLF, TRV, RCL

Horizontal Breakouts include: XLY, XLU, SVXY, AMZN, NFLX, LRCX, YHOO, HD, ISRG, KHC, VZ, KO, JNJ, NUE


______________________


Short-term Movers:
SPX gainers:  SPLS, CSRA, PVH, CAN, UHS, MKC, EXR, EQT, IPG, SHW, SIG, NWL, MNK 4
SPX losers:  CHK, RIG, NBL, WMB, MU, BHI, ESV, MRO, CF, DO, COP, DVN, FLS, HES, FCX, MOS, VRTX, WFC, NKE, UNP, APC, AAL, FOSL, HP, MET, MPC, LNC, MS, PFG, MUR, LUK, C, ZION, OKE, UAL, NAVI, NFX, PRU 4

NDX gainers:  AMZN, NVDA,, FB, ATVI, CTSH, ISRG, MYL, EA, NFLX 3
NDX losers:  MU, STX, NTES, VRTX, AAL, WFM, PYPL, TSLA, DISCA, EXPE, PCLN 3

YTD:
SPX Leaders:  NEM, FCX, URBN, KORS, WYNN, RRC, PVH, EXC, COG, EQT (298, +165 > 10p 126, +24)
SPX Losers: WMB, ESV, MPC, RIG, RCL, ADS, MS, CF, LNC, BAC

NDX Leaders: MAT, FAST, PCAR, FISV, FB, CHTR, ISRG, AMAT, PYPL, YHOO (47, +3)
NDX Losers:  ENDP, VRTX, INCY, REGN, ALXN, MU, BMRN, NTES, TRIP, ESRX

DJI Leaders:  VZ, CAT, WMT, UNH, MMM, IBM, XOM, KO, JNJ, CVX (19, +2)
DJI Losers: GS, AXP, JPM, BA, PFE, DIS, INTC, DD, V, MSFT



Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is at 94. 


86 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.

85 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
CERN, ILMN, JD, LBTYA, MAT, MYL, STX, TMUS, TRIP,

Moving Below 30 DMA = 0


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up


Support Holds With Market in Flag Trend Continuation Pattern...

Five of nine sectors moved higher on MondayXLP, XLY and XLB were the strongest sectors while XLE was the weakest sector.  Oil futures fell .29 to close at 39.30
                         
Breadth mixed as advancers led decliners 1.33 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners led 1.29 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – mixed, advancers led on NYSE
Friday – weakened, advancers led
Thursday - strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led

SPY up .12 at 203.24 on 62.4 million shares, 42% below average volume
VIX up .50 at 15.24…
TNX down .30 at 18.70…
TLT down 1.50 at 128.04…on 5.0 million shares, 39% below average volume
XLF up .07 at 22.38…on 29.3 million shares, 52% below average volume

AAPL down .48 at 105.19 on 19.4 million shares, 44% below average volume
FB up .64 at 113.69 on 21.3 million shares, 21% below average volume

Technical Commentary:

IWM +0.12%, DIA +0.10%, SPY +0.06%, QQQ -0.14%.




Trade what you see, not…


Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.

______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use

Bull Flag Setups include:  SPY, DIA, IWM, QQQ, XLP, XLY, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLE, FCX, ADBE, ADI, ADP, AMAT, AVGO, BIDU, CTRP, CTXS, FAST, FISV, NCLH, NXPI, TXN, AAPL, AXP, BA, CSCO, CVX, IBM, INTC, JPM, MCD, NKE, WMT, XOM, AKS, RCL

Bull Flag Bounces include: MAR, NFLX, VIAB, MNST, GILD, TSLA, YHOO, SWKS, PCAR, WBA, LRCX, BABA, LRCX, SVXY, CAT, DD, HD, KO, MMM, TRV, NUE


Horizontal Breakout Setups include: AMZN,


Horizontal Breakouts include: 


______________________




YTD:
SPX Leaders:  FCX, NEM, URBN, KORS, WYNN, PVH, RRC, SE, M, EXC (282, +5 > 10p 102)
SPX Losers: WMB, ESV, MPC, RCL, RIG, ADS, MS, CF, MNK, AN

NDX Leaders: MAT, FAST, PCAR, FISV, FB, CHTR, AMAT, ORLY, CA, PYPL (44, -2)
NDX Losers:  ENDP, VRTX, INCY, REGN, ALXN, MU, TRIP, BMRN, NTES, ESRX

DJI Leaders:  VZ, WMT, CAT, MMM, UNH, XOM, IBM, KO, JNJ, CVX (17, 0)
DJI Losers: GS, AXP, JPM, BA, PFE, INTC, DIS, V, DD, MSFT


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is at 94. 


50 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.

76 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
COST, DLTR

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
BMRN, DISH, ILMN, JD, MAT


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down


Thursday, March 24, 2016

Buyers Return as Advancers Lead Headed into 3-Day Weekend...Bull Flags Galore...Trader's Choice on Monday...

Four of nine sectors moved higher on ThursdayXLE, XLK and XLU were the strongest sectors while XLG was the weakest sector.  Oil futures fell .20 to close at 39.59

XLV +1.64% was the only positive sector for the four-day holiday shortened week.  XLE, XLB, XLF and XLP lost more than -1% for the week.
                         
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.04 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.26 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday - strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, advancers led

Markets are closed on Friday in observance of Good Friday.  Have a great holiday weekend and be safe.

SPY down .09 at 203.12 on 84.3 million shares, 22% below average volume
VIX down .20 at 14.74…
TNX up .25 at 19.00…
TLT up .05 at 129.54…on 6.3 million shares, 23% below average volume
XLF down .14 at 22.31…on 39.3 million shares, 36% below average volume

AAPL down .46 at 105.67 on 26.1 million shares, 25% below average volume
FB up .51 at 113.05 on 17.8 million shares, 34% below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.30%, DIA +0.07%, QQQ +0.03%, SPY -0.66%.

After five strong weeks of gains SPY, DIA, QQQ and IWM moved slightly lower for the week each forming a bull flag price pattern.  A positive and healthy pause in the trend.  Sector ETFs XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP and XLY also formed bull flag price patterns this week.

After five strong weeks of gains SPY, DIA, QQQ and IWM moved slightly lower for the week each forming a bull flag price pattern.  A positive and healthy pause in the trend.  Sector ETFs XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP and XLY also formed bull flag price patterns this week.

A bull flag is a short-term trend continuation pattern.  We look for a potential bounce up as early as Monday in the direction of the six week uptrend.  Trader's choice of many great looking bull flags.

NDX +2.97 on Thursday was led by point gainers AMZN, GILD, MSFT, CMCSA, GB, CTSH, CSCO and TSLA. 

NDX percentage leaders: INCY, NCLH, AMZN, TSLA, CTSH, ILMN, REGN, GILD, CMCSA, CSX

NDX percentage losers: STX, PYPL, AAL, CERN, CHTR, JD, MU, MAR, COST, ROST, EA, NFLX, WDC, MNST, EXPE, ATVI


The DJIA was led by gains in CAT, IBM, CVX, VZ and WMT as 16 of 30 stocks moved higher.


On Tuesday March 29 after the close HOLX and CNC will replace POM and ESV in the S&P 500.


Trade what you see, not…


Stocks below support should generally be traded bearishly until a reversal pattern forms.

______________________

Strong Stocks: Setups and Moves You Can Use
Bull Flag Setups include:  FCX, ADBE, ADI, ADP, ADSK, AMAT, AVGO, BIDU, CHTR, CSX, CTRP, CTXS, EXPE, FAST, FISV, JD, LRCX, MAR, NCLH, NXPI, PCAR, PCLN, SWKS, SYMC, TSLA, TXN, WBA, WDC, YHOO, AAPL, AXP, BA, CAT, CSCO, CVX, DD, HD, IBM, INTC, JPM, KO, MCD, MMM, NKE, TRV, WMT, XOM, NUE, AKS, BABA, SPY, DIA, QQQ, IWM, XLB, XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLY, SVXY, FDX, OI, LUK, R, JBHT, FTI, WYNN, UHS, SCHW, NWSA, QRVO, THC, STT, DVN, RCL, TK

Bull Flag Bounces include: CMCSA, CTSH, VZ, XLU


Horizontal Breakout Setups include: AMZN, JNJ, V, EBAY, ULTA, ATVI, ETFC, PG, AMGN, GILD, ZTS


Horizontal Breakouts include: 


______________________


Short-term Movers:
SPX gainers:  MNK, SPLS, ZTS, PVH, TSO, THC, ACN, WYNN, BXLT, SIG, MCK, UHS, HCA, EW, TXT, UNH, ADS  3
SPX losers:  RIG, WMB, CHK, MRO, SWN, CF, DO, MOS, RRC, NOV, HP, NEM, FCX, COP, ESV, FSLR, APC, NRG, WYN, OKE, NBL, KSS, GGP, MCO, ADB, BHI, PFG, KIM, FRT, UNM, MET, FLS 4

NDX gainers:  INCY, ILMN, NVDA, WDC, BMRN, CTRP, AMZN, ALXN, CELG, ISRG, AMGN, BIIB, MYL 3
NDX losers:  NTES, STX, TRIP, MAR, VIAB, DISCA, AAL, MNST, MU, PCLN, EXPE, MDLZ 3

YTD:
SPX Leaders:  FCX, URBN, NEM, KORS, WYNN, PVH, EXC, SE, TSN, CPGX (277, > 10p 98)
SPX Losers: WMB, ESV, MPC, RCL, RIG, ADS, LNC, CF, MS, MCK,

NDX Leaders: FAST, MAT, PCAR, FISV, ORLY, CHTR, FB, AMAT, CA, PYPL (46,)
NDX Losers:  ENDP, VRTX, INCY, REGN, ALXN, TRIP, MU, ESRX, BMRN, NTES

DJI Leaders:  VZ, WMT, CAT, UNH, MMM, XOM, IBM, KO, CVX, JNJ (17,)
DJI Losers: GS, AXP, JPM, BA, DIS, INTC, PFE, V, DD, MSFT


Remember:  “It’s a market of stocks, not just a stock market.”

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.

The SPX MFC green line is at 95.7. 


51 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Thursday.

79 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA.

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday:
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
MYL

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AAL, CERN, COST, EXPE, NTES, STX, WFM


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down