Thursday, March 19, 2015

Stocks End Mostly Lower...IWM Makes New High...Oil Slides Again...After Reporting Earnings JUNO Up 17.18%...Making New Highs FB & SBUX...

Only one of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLV, XLY and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLB was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.83 to 1 on the NYSE and advancers led decliners 1.11 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – mixed, mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, mixed
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .96 at 209.50 on 117.7 million shares, double average volume
VIX up .10 at 14.07…
TNX up .26 at 19.77…
TLT down .67 at 130.82…
XLF down .23 at 24.47 on 34.4 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down .97 at 127.50 on 45.6 million shares, below average volume
FB up 1.84 at 82.75…on 42 million shares, above average volume


Technical Commentary:
DIA – 0.59%, SPY – 0.46%, QQQ + 0.15%, IWM + 0.19%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 208.97...
QQQ = 107.57, 108.94
IWM = 123.78, 124.85, 126.22…

Support Levels
SPY = 206.26, 205.05, 204.13...
QQQ = 105.73, 104.59, 103.44…
IWM = 122.77, 120.19, 119.83...


Earnings this Week
CTRP, JUNO, MFRM, NKE, XONE, YOKU,

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – XONE, JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AAL, AXP, BAC, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, STT, TPX, TSLA,WDC, VRTX, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is rising and at 66.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AMBA, BABA, BX, CRM, CSIQ, EXPE, JD, NKE, PANW, SPWR, TSL, UAL, CCL, TPX, AAL, COST, MAR, SNDK, XLNX, YHOO,    
Diagonal Breakout: CTRP, DGLY, RCL, SLCA, GILD,   
Bull Flag: ETFC, GOGO, JDSU, STI  
At Support: SCHW, YELP, ZION, KNDI  

Moves
New Highs: IWM, SCSS, SWKS, UA, NCLH, AVGO, FB, SBUX,   
H Breakout: MFRM, CELG,   
D Breakout: DAL, LVS, Z, BIDU, ILMN    
Bounce: JUNO,    
MACD Divergence Bounce: LC, LRCX, WYNN
Support Break: BAC, EBAY,  

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47 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: WYNN, VRTX, CERN, REGN, ILMN, FB, SNDK, CELG, SBUX, CELG

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, TSLA, ATVI, PCAR, CTRX, SPLS, NTAP, MYL, FOXA, GRMN

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: JUNO, VSLR, LC, LVS, DAL, UAL, SWKS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: UPL, X, SOHU, YELP, ESI, XONE, ATI, GPRO, UNG, GLW, C, MTW, BAC, ZION, YOKU, FAS


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 57
MNST, CTSH, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, DLTR, VRSK, COST, GOOG, EXPD, VIP, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, ADBE, CHTR, PAYX, ADI, AKAM, ADSK, AVGO, INTU, MAR, LVNTA, TRIP, CHKP, EBAY, SRCL, VRTX, CHRW, SNDK, EQIX, REGN, MYL, ORLY, CERN, FB, SBUX, TSCO, AAL, ALTR, AMGN, CELG, FISV, ISRG, LLTC, SIAL, TXN, XLNX, AAPL, ALXN, FAST, YHOO, BIDU, BRCM, CA, PCLN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
CTXS, ESRX, HSIC, ILMN

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AMAT, CMCSA, FOXA, GMCR, LBTYA, PCAR, SBAC

Staying Below 30 DMA
DISCA, ADP, BBBY, ILMN, LLTC, VIAB, AMZN, QCOM, CSCO,  DISH, DTV, EA, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, ESRX, GILD, MDLZ, NFLX, WDC, CTXS, HSIC, KLAC, MSFT,MU, SPLS, STX, TSLA, CTRX, SYMC, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up