Wednesday, March 11, 2015

IWM Bounces as DIA, SPY, QQQ Drift Lower...Bull Flag Setups...

Two of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLF, XLE and XLV were the strongest sectors and XLP was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as led advancers led decliners 1.39 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.31 to 1 on the NASDAQ.


Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 0.48 at 204.50 on 110.14 million shares
VIX up 0.18 at 16.87…
TNX down .17 at 21.09…
TLT up .92 at 127.20...
XLF up .15 at 23.97 on 29.6 million shares

AAPL down 2.27 at 122.24 on 68.9 million shares
FB up .02 at 77.57…on 20.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.62%, DIA -0.19%, SPY -0.23%, QQQ -0.58%.

RUT/IWM bounced on Wednesday as SPY, QQQ and DIA drifted lower.  SPY, DIA and QQQ are in bull flag price pattern.  Numerous bull flag price patterns are ready for a potential bounce on Thursday.


The SPX/SPY break of short-term support and the MFC green line pointed down below 80 indicates a defensive posture at this time.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 206.26, 208.97...
QQQ = 107.57, 108.94
IWM = 121.41, 122.92…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.05, 204.13, 203.35, 200.94...
QQQ = 105.73, 104.59, 103.44…
IWM = 120.19, 119.08, 117.97...


Earnings this week:
COST, MYL, AMBA, BBY, CIEN, CSIQ, CTRP, JD, PANW, SSYS, TSL, VSLR

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AAL, AXP, BAC, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, STT, TPX, TSLA,WDC, VRTX, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is at 62.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AMBA, BBY, RAX, SCSS, UNG, SNDK
Bull Flag: SPY, QQQ, AIG, BX, C, CIEN, CREE, CRM, CSIQ, EXPE, FEYE, FSLR, GOGO, JDSU, JUNO, SCHW, SLCA, STI, TSL, TWTR, UA, ZION, AAPL, ADBE, AVGO, CMCSA, COST, EBAY, GMCR, GOOGL, MNST, PCLN, ROST, SBUX, TRIP, TXN, WFM

Moves
New Highs: SWKS
Breakout Test: CMGE,   
Bull Flag Bounce: IWM, PANW, UPL,
Bounce: ETFC, SUNE, AKAM, MYL
Gap Down: SPY, IWM, C, FAS
Support Break: BBRY, CAR, KKD, CYBR, VRSN, ADBE, ADSK, BRCM, DTV, MU, STX,  

______________________


40 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MYL, SNDK, INTC, VRSK, TSLA, AKAM, AAL, ISRG, NFLX, MU

Lagging NDX stocks included: BIDU, QCOM, WYNN, AAPL, SYMC, MAT, LBTYA, WDC, ILMN, BIIB

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: UPL, SUNE, UNG, SLCA, JASO, VXX, X, C, UAL, BAC, ZION

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: EMC, CMGE, CREE, GME, DGLY, JD, JUNO, ANGI, LVS, NTES


Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 45
SIAL, MNST, CTSH, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, DLTR, VRSK, COST, GOOG, EXPD, VIP, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, CMCSA, PAYX, ADI, AKAM, ADSK, AVGO, INTU, MAR, PCLN, LVNTA, TRIP, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, QCOM, SRCL, VIAB, VRTX, CHRW, GMCR, SNDK, EQIX, REGN

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
MYL, ORLY

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
AAPL, ALXN, AMZN, CSCO, FB, SBAC, SBUX

Staying Below 30 DMA
ALTR, BRCM, CA, CERN, DISH, DTV, EA, FISV, FOXA, LLTC, LRCX, NTAP, TSCO, WFM, XLNX, AMAT, AMGN, BIDU, CELG, ESRX, GILD, ILMN, MDLZ, NFLX, WDC, ADP, CTXS, PCAR, HSIC, KLAC, MSFT, MU, SPLS, STX, TSLA, CTRX, SYMC, AAL, BBBY, ISRG, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, YHOO, FAST, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

No comments: