Friday, March 13, 2015

SPX Tests Support Bounce, Closes at Thursday's S1...IWM, LOCO, SUNE Among Weekly Leaders...

All nine sectors moved lower on Friday…XLV, XLE and XLK were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 2.30 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.53 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 1.27 at 205.83 on 143.6 million shares
VIX up .58 at 16.00…
TNX up .16 at 21.12…
TLT down .39 at 126.72...
XLF down .17 at 24.32 on 32.7 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down .86 at 123.59 on 51.6 million shares
FB down .88 at 78.05…on 18.4 million shares, below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.36%, QQQ -0.43%, SPY -0.61%, DIA -0.79%.

The SPX pulls back to support and bounces to close on Friday at Thursday’s large white candle S1 level.  The SPX, DJI and NDX each closed lower for the week but above Wednesday’s low.  In contrast the RUT closed 1.2% higher for the week and was the strongest broad index each day Tuesday through Friday.

IWM, LOCO, MS, SUNE, VSLR, XONE, P, AAL, AKAM, MAR, MU, MYL, ROST, SBUX, SNDK, AMBA, BBY, C, DAL, ETFC, EXPE, FAS, GME, JASO, JCP, MTW, PANW, RAX, SCSS, SPLK, STI, SWKS, TLT, UA, UAL, VJET, VXX, ZION closed higher for the week on Friday.

GPRO formed a dragonfly doji on weekly chart.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 206.26, 208.97...
QQQ = 107.57, 108.94
IWM = 121.41, 122.92…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.05, 204.13, 203.35, 200.94...
QQQ = 105.73, 104.59, 103.44…
IWM = 120.19, 119.08, 117.97...


Earnings this Week
CTRP, NKE, XONE,

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AAL, AXP, BAC, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, STT, TPX, TSLA,WDC, VRTX, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is at 54.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, AMBA, ETFC, FAS, GOGO, JASO, JDSU, MS, RAX, STI, SUNE, UA, UAL, VSLR, YELP
Diagonal Breakout: EXPE, UPL, V, X, Z,
Bull Flag: CIEN, CMGE, CREE, CRM, CSIQ, FEYE, FSLR, JD, JUNO, RCL, SCHW, SPLK, SPWR, TSL, TWTR, UBNT,
Potential Bullish Divergence: NTES, YOKU
Bear Flag:  GPRO, TLT,
At Support: DDD, EMC, ESI, GLW, HPQ, LC, LVS, SLCA, SOHU, SWI, UNG, X

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, SWKS    
Breakout Test: BBY, C, DIS, SCSS, VJET, ZION,
Bull Flag Bounce: GME, SPY,
Bounce: JCP, KKD,
MACD Divergence Bounce: GPRO,
Gap Up: LOCO
Support Break: CAR, HOG, LNKD, SCTY,

______________________


28 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NXPI, MU, AMAT, BIIB, LRCX, DLTR, INTU, AAL, REGN, MSFT

Lagging NDX stocks included: MYL, PCLN, MAT, VIAB, NFLX, TRIP, MNST, VIP, FOXA, NTAP

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: LOCO, XONE, GME, JCP, YOKU, VXX, TSL

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ATI, SLCA, DGLY, CMGE, X, HOG, CTRP, CAR, VSLR, LNKD, SSYS, SCTY, ESI, FEYE, LC, IBM, Z, SCHW, DDD, FAS, MS


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 45
MNST, CTSH, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, DLTR, VRSK, COST, GOOG, EXPD, VIP, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, ADBE, CHTR, CMCSA, PAYX, ADI, AKAM, ADSK, AVGO, INTU, MAR, PCLN, LVNTA, TRIP, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, SRCL, VRTX, CHRW, GMCR, SNDK, EQIX, REGN, MYL, ORLY, CERN, FB, SBUX, TSCO

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
AAL, AMAT

Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
AMZN, BRCM, FISV, FOXA, SBAC, SIAL, TXN, VIAB

Staying Below 30 DMA
QCOM, AAPL, ALXN, CSCO, ALTR, CA, DISH, DTV, EA, LLTC, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, XLNX,AMAT, AMGN, BIDU, CELG, ESRX, GILD, ILMN, MDLZ, NFLX, WDC, ADP, CTXS, PCAR, HSIC, KLAC, MSFT, MU, SPLS, STX, TSLA, CTRX, SYMC, AAL, BBBY, ISRG, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, YHOO, FAST, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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