Friday, March 13, 2015

Financials Lead, MS, WFC, ZION as SPY, DIA, IWM Bounce...QQQ Setup...DIS, HD Lead DJIA...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLF, XLY and XLU were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 2.76 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.59 to 1 on the NASDAQ.


Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up 2.60 at 207.10 on 93.9 million shares
VIX down 1.45 at 15.42…
TNX down .13 at 20.96…
TLT down .09 at 127.11...
XLF up .52 at 24.49 on 40.9 million shares, above average volume

AAPL up 2.21 at 124.45 on 48.3 million shares
FB up .1.36 at 78.93…on 16 million shares, below average volume

Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.66%, SPY + 1.27%, DIA + 1.49%, IWM + 1.66%.

Major Bull Flag bounce in the SPY, DIA, QQQ, DIS, HD and many other stocks on Thursday.  A great day to be long and many entry signals.

Strong moves in financials including MS, GS, WFC, C, JPM, STI and ZION.

There are still many bull flag setups like QQQ, ADI, ALTR, AMAT, ARMH, ATML, AVGO, CAVM, MXIM, ONNN, TXN, A, ADSK and CRM.  Stocks that had bull flag entries on Wednesday and Thursday likely will lead to breakout setups.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 206.26, 208.97...
QQQ = 107.57, 108.94
IWM = 121.41, 122.92…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.05, 204.13, 203.35, 200.94...
QQQ = 105.73, 104.59, 103.44…
IWM = 120.19, 119.08, 117.97...


Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AAL, AXP, BAC, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, STT, TPX, TSLA,WDC, VRTX, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is at 57.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AMBA, BX, CMGE, RAX, HD 
Diagonal Breakout: CAR, ESI, X,   
Bull Flag: CREE, JUNO, TSL, QQQ, ADI, ALTR, AMAT, ARMH, ATML, AVGO, CAVM, MXIM, ONNN, TXN, A, ADSK, CRM  
At Support: HOG

Moves
New Highs: BBY, SCSS, STI, SWKS,    
H Breakout: DIS  
Bull Flag Bounce: DIS, HD, FEYE, FSLR, GOGO, JD, JDSU, UA, ZION, MFRM, NCLH, TAN, TPX,  
Bounce: SPY, AIG, CRM, DAL, DDD, EMC, EXPE, GLW, IBM, JCP, LVS, MTW, NKE, RCL, SPLK, TWTR, UAL, V, VJET, XONE, AA, CCL, DAVE, VRSN,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: GPRO, LOCO, P, ZU,
Gap Up: IWM, C, FAS, MS,   
Gap Down: KKD
Support Break: SOHU, YOKU,    

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78 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHTR, MYL, MAT, TSCO, AAL, DLTR, PAYX, ORLY, PCAR, CMCSA, AMZN, SBUX

Lagging NDX stocks included: INTC, MSFT, GRMN, TSLA, QCOM, ILMN

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: VJET, MS, FAS, MTW, GPRO, GOGO, ZION, C, SPLK, CMGE,STI, DAL, RCL, UA, EXPE, UAL, JD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SOHU, KKD, VXX, YOKU, UNG, SSYS, NTES, UPL, HOG

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 44
SIAL, MNST, CTSH, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, DLTR, VRSK, COST, GOOG, EXPD, VIP, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, CMCSA, PAYX, ADI, AKAM, ADSK, AVGO, INTU, MAR, PCLN, LVNTA, TRIP, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, SRCL, VIAB, VRTX, CHRW, GMCR, SNDK, EQIX, REGN, MYL, ORLY

Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
AMZN, BRCM, CERN, FB, FISV, FOXA, SBAC, SBUX, TSCO

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
QCOM

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, ALXN, CSCO, ALTR, CA, DISH, DTV, EA, LLTC, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, XLNX,AMAT, AMGN, BIDU, CELG, ESRX, GILD, ILMN, MDLZ, NFLX, WDC, ADP, CTXS, PCAR, HSIC, KLAC, MSFT, MU, SPLS, STX, TSLA, CTRX, SYMC, AAL, BBBY, ISRG, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, YHOO, FAST, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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