Tuesday, March 17, 2015

IWM, QQQ Rise as SPY Pauses...AAPL, FB Bounce...Solar Stocks Sizzle...

One of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLK, XLU and XLF were the strongest sectors and XLB was the weakest for the second straight day.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers led 1.11 to 1 on the NYSE and advancers led decliners 1.02 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, mixed
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led

SPY down .62 at 207.96 on 94.5 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .05 at 15.66…
TNX down .40 at 20.58…
TLT up 1.06 at 129.00...close above 30 DMA
XLF down .06 at 24.56 on 18.1 million shares

AAPL up 2.09 at 127.04 on 51.0 million shares, below average volume
FB up 1.29 at 79.36…on 22.1 million shares, below average volume

Technical Commentary:
IWM +0.27%, QQQ +0.16%, SPY -0.30%, DIA -0.71%.

SPY which bounced on Thursday, tested support on Friday, rose forming a large white candle on Monday tested Monday’s S1 level today and held that short-term support level.  Meanwhile IWM and QQQ rose while DIA closed lower.  Current trend is up and strength in IWM and QQQ suggest the broad market up trend will likely continue

FOMC announcement at 2 pm EDT on Wednesday


VSLR CEO appears on Fast Money and gets mention on Street Talk.  CS rates outperform.  JASO jumps on positive Q4 earnings reaction.

Solar stocks VSLR +12.20%, CSIQ +8.19%, TSL +7.73%, JASO +6.86% and SCTY +2.70% heat up on Tuesday.

AAPL +2.09 +1.67%, nice bull flag bounce
IWM +0.33, +0.27%, HBO setup
VSLR +1.33, +12.20%, bull flag bounce & breakout

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 208.97...
QQQ = 107.57, 108.94
IWM = 123.78, 124.85, 126.22…

Support Levels
SPY = 206.26, 205.05, 204.13...
QQQ = 105.73, 104.59, 103.44…
IWM = 122.77, 120.19, 119.83...


Earnings this Week
CTRP, JUNO, MFRM, NKE, XONE, YOKU,

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – XONE, JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – ZNGA, AAL, AXP, BAC, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, ALTR, ATML, C, BAC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, QCOM, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, STT, TPX, TSLA,WDC, VRTX, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is rising and at 59.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, AIG, BABA, CIEN, EXPE, FAS, JASO, JCP, JDSU, KKD, STI, SWKS, TLT, UAL, UNG, VSLR, YELP, AKAM, AVGO, CELG, FB, ROST, SBUX, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: TXN, BX, FEYE, FSLR, RCL, TWTR, UBNT, Z, CYBR, TPX, VRSN, BRCM, GILD, GMCR, ILMN, INTC, LRCX, MAR, WFM,
Bull Flag: C, CMGE, LOCO, MS, ZION, CCL, KNDI, P, ZNGA, AMZN, EBAY, GOOGL, MNST, SNDK, TRIP,
Potential Bullish Divergence: ESI, SSYS, VXX, X, GRMN, NFLX
At Support: LC, SLCA, XONE, BIDU

Moves
New Highs: BBY, ETFC, GOGO, RAX, SCSS, STI, SUNE, UA, MBLY, NCLH, MYL,
H Breakout: UA, UPL, VSLR, MBLY
Breakout Test: AMBA,
Bull Flag Bounce: CREE, CSIQ, SPLK, SPWR, TSL, VSLR, AAPL,  
Bounce: CRM, JD, KKD, TAN,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: NTES, SCTY, QIHU,  
Gap Up: AAL,   
Gap Down: MU
______________________

31 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AAL, REGN, ALXN, FAST, MYL, VIP, ADBE, AAPL, FB, LVNTA

Lagging NDX stocks included: MU, EA, MAT, STX, WDC, DISCA, AMAT, CHTR, FOXA, WFM

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: VSLR, CSIQ, TSL, JASO, UPL, CTRP, UNG, KKD, JD, SCTY, GPRO, GOGO

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: XONE, CMGE, RCL, AMBA

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 53
MNST, CTSH, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, DLTR, VRSK, COST, GOOG, EXPD, VIP LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, ADBE, CHTR, CMCSA, PAYX, ADI, AKAM, ADSK, AVGO, INTU, MAR, LVNTA, TRIP, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, SRCL, VRTX, CHRW, GMCR,SNDK, EQIX, REGN, MYL, ORLY, CERN, FB, SBUX, TSCO, AAL, ALTR, AMGN, CELG, FISV, ISRG, LLTC, SIAL, TXN, XLNX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AAPL, ALXN, FAST, YHOO

Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
ADP, AMAT, BBBY, BRCM, ILMN, LLTC, PCLN, VIAB

Staying Below 30 DMA
AMZN, FOXA, SBAC, QCOM, CSCO, CA, DISH, DTV, EA, LRCX, NTAP, WFM, BIDU,E SRX, GILD, MDLZ, NFLX, WDC, CTXS, PCAR, HSIC, KLAC, MSFT,MU, SPLS, STX, TSLA, CTRX, SYMC, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up