Monday, October 5, 2026

NDX Made a New All-time Closing High...SPX, RUT, DJI Closed Higher...Breadth Remained Positive...MS Comments on SPCX...


© 2026


Our iBullyBear Mentoring account maintained its’ Net Liq high on strength in LITE, NET, SPCX, NVDA and other gainers on Monday.

Improve trading results by employing a systematic approach to decision-making in the face of uncertainty.  If you want to improve your skills contact us through the iBullyBear link above.


If you are a trading decision maker, in the face of uncertainty, on the hard right edge of the chart, financial media is for entertainment.  Entertainment. It is for entertainment. 

Nassim Taleb stated it this way, “I will say here that such respect for the time honored provides arguments to rule out any commerce with the babbling modern journalist and implies a minimal exposure to the media as a guiding principle for someone involved in decision-making under uncertainty.  If there is anything better than noise in the mass of ‘urgent’ news pounding us, it would be like a needle in a haystack.  People do not realize that the media is paid to get your attention.”  Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, Fooled By Randomness, 2001, p. 52-53,

Did you catch those key phrases like:
“rule out any commerce with,”
“minimal exposure to the media,”
“if there is anything better than noise,” … “it would be like a needle in a haystack,”
“the media is paid to get your attention”? 

If you get what Nassim Taleb is saying, you should recognize the financial media is entertainment.  It is not a source for financial decision making.  Who would transfer serious financial decision making to someone who is not even aware of their situation?  Certainly, a journalist who is in the business of entertainment to get your attention would qualify as someone who is not aware of the listeners’ situation.


SPX +51.23, 7,773 opened higher, and closed at its third highest close, only exceeded by Aug 13 – 14, 2026.  Breadth remained positive as decliners led on the NYSE and the advancers led on the NASDAQ exchange.  The SPX since August 4th has been in a sideways consolidation pattern.

The NDX made a new high after breaking out of June resistance on Friday. 
RUT 2,847 rose +14.24, continuing Friday’s bounce.
Oil /CL rose -1.96 and closed at 89.30.  

SPX advancers: PTC ILMN CRL MRNA WDC APP GPN NUE ADSK STX FICO.
SPX decliners: CHRW LEN CMG BMY DOC MRK VTR ARE GLW INTC UAL.

SPY +5.19, +0.67%, above average volume of 44.8 million shares, third highest close. 
VIX +0.21, 15.52 rose, but fell from the open.
NDX +0.87% closed at an all-time high.

Up: QQQ, SPY, IWM, DIA,
Down: 


Mega caps TSM, TSLA, NVDA, AVGO, META, MSFT, GOOGL, BRK/B, LLY rose, and AMZN, AAPL, AMD, MU fell on Monday. 


SPCX closed at 158.96, +12.13, volume of 134.7 million shares. Our view is that SPCX, with no earnings, remains an overvalued speculation.  IPO at 135 on June 12.  In the end if buyers are greater than sellers the stock will rise.  People seem to be willing to speculate on this company’s long-term fundamental future.  Positive comments in news from Morgan Stanley. 

The SPY MFC green line is up at 66.3, price-action on Monday, continued to bounce and is short-term bullish. +7.7.

Ten of eleven sectors were higher on Monday, XLK +0.56%.


61 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.

48 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA: MSTR, QCOM, AAPL, META, AMD, INTC, CRWD, FTNT, PANW, ISRG, LITE, MRVL, PLTR, MU, NXPI, SNDK, ADI, ALAB, NBIS, NVDA, TER, TXN, DDOG, MPWR, MSFT, RKLB, WBD, ASML, MAR, KLAC, LRCX, MCHP, SNPS, AMAT, CDNS, SPCX, CRWV, HON, FAST, COST, CSCO, GOOGL, LIN, TSLA, AVGO, IDXX, MELI, STX,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AVGO, IDXX, MELI, STX,         


Moving Below 30 DMA = 0




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Friday, October 2, 2026

NDX, RUT, SPX, DJI Closed Higher...Positive Market Reaction on Below Consensus Jobs Report...


© 2026


Our iBullyBear Mentoring account achieved a new all-time Net Liq high on strength in MU, AMUU, LITE, AMAT and other gainers on Friday.

Improve trading results by employing a systematic approach to decision-making in the face of uncertainty.  If you want to improve your skills contact us through the iBullyBear link above.


If you are a trading decision maker, in the face of uncertainty, on the hard right edge of the chart? Then financial media is for entertainment.  Entertainment. It is for entertainment. 

Nasim Taleb stated it this way, “I will say here that such respect for the time honored provides arguments to rule out any commerce with the babbling modern journalist and implies a minimal exposure to the media as a guiding principle for someone involved in decision-making under uncertainty.  If there is anything better than noise in the mass of ‘urgent’ news pounding us, it would be like a needle in a haystack.  People do not realize that the media is paid to get your attention.”

Did you catch those key phrases like:
“rule out any commerce with,”
“minimal exposure to the media,”
“if there is anything better than noise,” … “it would be like a needle in a haystack,”
“the media is paid to get your attention”? 

If you get what Nasim Taleb is saying, you should recognize financial media is entertainment.  It is not a source for financial decision making.  Who would transfer serious financial decision making to someone who is not even aware of their situation?  Certainly, a journalist who is in the business of entertainment to get your attention would qualify as someone who is not aware of the listeners' situation.


SPX +56.27, 7,722 opened higher, as the futures market rose after the Jobs Report came in at 29K versus 85K consensus.  Breadth improved as advancers led on both the NYSE and the NASDAQ exchanges.  The NDX broke out of June resistance to new all-time closing high.  The SPX since August 4th has been in a sideways consolidation pattern.

RUT 2,832 rose +26.27, a move above the high of the low day.
Oil /CL rose -1.65 and closed at 91.26.  

SPX advancers: TER HPE ECHO ON COHR NTAP TSLA URI P TXN GNRC.
SPX decliners: WDC STX ACN CTVA APP FDS IT CTSH SNDK NKE LDOS.

SPY +5.65, +0.74%, above average volume of 46.3 million shares, close above the high of the low day. 
VIX -1.08, 15.31 fell.
NDX +1.00% price closed above its June high, also at an all-time high.
DJI, 51,176 +0.49%, closed above the high of the low day.

Up: QQQ, IWM, SPY, DIA,
Down: 


Mega caps TSLA, AVGO, TSM, AMD, GOOGL, NVDA, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, BRK/B, META rose, and LLY, MU fell on Friday. 


SPCX closed at 158.96, +10.89, volume of 119.5 million shares. Our view is that SPCX, with no earnings, remains an overvalued speculation.  IPO at 135 on June 12.  In the end if buyers are greater than sellers the stock will rise.  People seem to be willing to speculate on this company’s long-term fundamental future. 

The SPY MFC green line turned up at 58.6, price-action on Friday is a close above the high of the low day bounce and is short-term bullish. +1.0.

Ten of eleven sectors were higher on Friday.  XLK +1.01%.


58 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

44 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA: MSTR, QCOM, AAPL, META, AMD, INTC, CRWD, FTNT, PANW, ISRG, LITE, MRVL, PLTR, MU, NXPI, SNDK, ADI, ALAB, NBIS, NVDA, TER, TXN, DDOG, MPWR, MSFT, RKLB, WBD, ASML, MAR, KLAC, LRCX, MCHP, SNPS, AMAT, CDNS, SPCX, CRWV, HON, FAST, COST, CSCO, GOOGL, LIN, TSLA,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
COST, CSCO, GOOGL, LIN, TSLA,         


Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
ROST, STX, WDC,



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Thursday, October 1, 2026

RUT, NDX, SPX, DJI Closed Higher...Breadth Improved...MU a Big EPS Beat and Buying Opportunity...


© 2026


Our iBullyBear Mentoring account achieved a new all-time Net Liq high on strength in LITE, MU, CIEN, AMAT and other gainers on Thursday.

Improve trading results by employing a systematic approach to decision-making in the face of uncertainty.  If you want to improve your skills contact us through the iBullyBear link above.


On Wednesday, MU closed at 1065.11, then reported earnings after the close of EPS $33.42 beats $31.45 estimate, Sales $54.229B beat $50.751B estimate. Today, Thursday morning, after a lower open of $1054.08, MU fell to a low of 1022.90 within the first hour before a reversal that led to a close of 1097.39.  Why a huge MU beat and initially a lower price you ask?

We teach iBullyBear members that “the stock market is efficient for liquidity, not for value or price.  It is the imbalances in supply and demand that cause prices to fall or rise, not fair value or fair price.”

Did you take advantage of that inefficient price this morning?  We did and it paid off big.


SPX +14.91, 7,666 opened higher, sold off, reversed, rallied, formed a long lower shadow before closing higher. Breadth improved as advancers led the NYSE and decliners led by less than 100 issues on the NASDAQ exchange.  The NDX moved closer to a resistance breakout.  The SPX since August 4 is in a sideways consolidation pattern.

RUT 2,806 rose +9.76, a three-month low bounce, piercing line candle.
Oil /CL rose +2.57 and closed at 92.91.  

SPX advancers: ACN SNPS FICO COHR CIEN LITE MPC CDNS CDW VLO MCK.
SPX decliners: PSKY MKC DHR INCY DIS AMGN TMO A KMB WAT APP.

SPY +1.36, +0.18%, above average volume of 47.7 million shares, range day. 
VIX +0.05, 16.39 rose slightly.
NDX +0.31% a bull flag bounce above the high of the low day, price closed just below its June high, also a setup for a HBO to an all-time high.
DJI, 50,926 +0.04%, a black hammer candle.

Up: IWM, QQQ, SPY, DIA,
Down:  


Mega caps MU, NVDA, TSM, AMD, BRK/B, META rose, and MSFT, TSLA, AMZN, LLY, AAPL, GOOGL, AVGO fell on Thursday. 


SPCX closed at 148.07, -2.79, volume of 68.9 million shares. Our view is that SPCX, with no earnings, remains an overvalued speculation.  IPO at 135 on June 12.  In the end if buyers are greater than sellers the stock will rise.  People seem to be willing to speculate on this company’s long-term fundamental future. 

The SPY MFC green line is flat at 57.6, price-action on Thursday is a bullish harami intraday bounce, potential bull flag setup and is counter-trend defensive. -0.7

Five of eleven sectors were higher on Thursday.  XLK +1.05%.


56 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.

42 NDX stocks are above their 30 DMA: MSTR, QCOM, AAPL, META, AMD, INTC, CRWD, FTNT, PANW, ISRG, LITE, MRVL, PLTR, MU, NXPI, SNDK, ADI, ALAB, NBIS, NVDA, STX, TER, TXN, DDOG, MPWR, MSFT, RKLB, WBD, ASML, MAR, KLAC, LRCX, MCHP, SNPS, AMAT, CDNS, ROST, SPCX, CRWV, HON, WDC, FAST,

NDX Stocks to Watch on Friday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
FAST,         


Moving Below 30 DMA = 4
AMGN, GILD, GOOGL, LIN,



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