Thursday, February 12, 2015

Stocks Gain...Fueled by Optimism of Russian/Ukraine Deal...S&P 500 Has Highest Close In 2015...AAPL Sets Another Record Close...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLB, XLK and XLE were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.58 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.39 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – Mixed, decliners led
Friday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up 1.99 at 208.90 on 97.1 million shares, below average volume
VIX down 1.62 at 15.34…
TNX down .02 at 19.86…
TLT down .43 at 129.52...
XLF up .24 at 24.45 on 33.0 million shares

AAPL up 1.58 at 126.46 on 73.4 million shares, above average volume
FB down .28 at 76.23…on 17.2 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 1.16%, IWM +1.14%, SPY + 0.96%, DIA +0.64%.

The NDX +50.69 was led by gains in CSCO, MSFT, INTC, GOOG, TRIP, PCLN, TXN, AAPL, CMCSA, GILD, MU, WFM, YHOO and AMZN.

The SPY +1.99, 208.92 made a new all-time closing higher eclipsing its Dec 29 high by 20 cents.  The SPX was led by gains in TRIP, EXPE, CSCO, EFX, IFF, NVDA, AKAM, HAR, BWA and WFM.

AAPL, +1.58, +1.27% made another all-time closing high and finished the day with a $736 billion market cap.

Oil gained $1.89 to close at 51.34.


Following downtrends and consolidations 3-D printing stocks DDD +3.18%, VJET +7.34%, SSYS +2.23% and XONE +6.68% again saw higher than market gains on Thursday.

RUT Movers:  EPAM, XON, POOL, SSTK, SKX, LPX, FANG, UBNT, CGNX, KS, ISIS, WSO, FAF, PDCE


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 206.42, 208.97...
QQQ = 104.58, 105.25
IWM = 119.45, 120.82, 121.41…

Support Levels
SPY = 203.66, 202.51, 201.62...
QQQ = 102.10, 101.65, 100.48
IWM = 1117.38, 116.57, 115.32...


Earnings this week:
Monday: NTES, SOHU,
Tuesday: AKAM, CERN, REGN, SFUN
Wednesday: AMAT, BIDU, FEYE, HSIC, NTAP, NVDA, SCSS, TRIP, TSLA, WFM, ZU
Thursday: JD, KRFT, Z, ZNGA
Friday: 

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – ZU, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - ZU, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – AXP, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, QCOM, STT, 

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, BAC, C, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast rising at 76.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IWM, BAC, BBY, CIEN, CREE, ETFC, GLW, IBM, LVS, NTES, SCTY, SPLK, SUNE, TSL, V, X, XONE, DDD, SINA, ESRX, MAR, MNST, WYNN,
Diagonal Breakout: HPQ, FB, STX,
Bull Flag: KKD, LNKD, COST

Moves
New Highs: SPY, AAPL, RAX, AKAM, AVGO, BRCM, TXN,
H Breakout: CRM, FAS, JASO, JNPR, SPWR, VJET, ADSK, GOOGL, SNDK,  
D Breakout: EMC, XLNX
Bull Flag Bounce: ZION, UPL,   
Bounce: BABA, CTRP, YHOO
Gap Up: ATI, CSIQ, EXPE, FEYE, VRSN, YNDX, ADBE, PCLN, TRIP, WFM,
Gap Down: VXX, ZU, BIDU, NTAP, TSLA
Support Break: YY,

______________________


83 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TRIP, CSCO, NVDA, LVNTA, AKAM, WFM, VIP, CERN, EQIX, PCLN

Lagging NDX stocks included: NTAP, TSLA, BIDU, CELG, GMCR, FOXA, DLTR, DISCA, EBAY, AMAT

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: EXPE, FEYE, XONE, CSIQ, UBNT, ATI, SUNE, TSL, CRM, VSLR, JASO, FAS, LVS, X, YELP, SCHW, Z, SPWR, ZION, BBY, C, SSYS, MTW, EMC, SPLK, RAX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: VXX, DGLY, JUNO, UNG, LC, QIHU, NTES


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 59
WFM, SIAL, KRFT, MNST, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, EA, NFLX,  ILMN, SBAC, SBUX, AMZN, DLTR, TSCO, VRSK, AAPL, COST, GOOG, BBBY, CTRX, DISH, EXPD, GRMN, ORLY, VIP, ADP, BRCM, CA, CTXS, DTV, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, CMCSA, PAYX, ADI, LLTC, AKAM, ADSK, AMAT, AVGO, INTU, LRCX, MAR, MU, PCLN, VOD, WYNN, ESRX, MDLZ

Moving Above 30 DMA = 9
ALTR, CSCO, EQIX, HSIC, LVNTA, SYMC, TRIP, WDC, XLNX                              

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
CELG, NTAP, TSLA,                                                                  

Staying Below 30 DMA
EBAY, REGN, SRCL, CHRW, GILD, SPLS, ALXN, AAL, FB, VRTX, BIDU, CHKP, MYL, MSFT, YHOO, FAST, GMCR, INTC, ISRG, KLAC, QCOM, STX, DISCA, FOXA, PCAR, VIAB, MAT, SNDK, AMGN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up


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