Tuesday, February 24, 2015

DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM Another New High...SPWR, FSLR Gap and Shine...

Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLU, XLF and XLY were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.63 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.37 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY up .60 at 211.81 on 72.2 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .87 at 13.69…
TNX down .71 at 19.88…
TLT up 1.68 at 129.67...
XLF up .12 at 24.50 on 27.5 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down .83 at 132.17 on 69.2 million shares, above average volume
FB down .39 at 78.45…on 18.8 million shares, below average volume

Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.55%, SPY +0.28%, IWM +0.13%, QQQ +0.07%.

FSLR gapped higher on a positive earnings reaction and SPWR gapped higher on news of a joint venture with FSLR.

DIA, SPY, IWM and QQQ all moved to new highs.   The SPX was led by gains in FSLR, EXPD, HD, FCX, CNX and EXC.  The DJIA was led by HD, JPM, INTC, CAT, IBM and GS.


The NDX was also led by EXPD and semiconductor stocks XLNX, KLAC, ALTR, BRCM, INTC, AMAT, NXPI, LLTC, LRCX and TXN.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.45, 212.95...
QQQ = 109.41, 111.16
IWM = 122.50, 123.54…

Support Levels
SPY = 210.18, 208.97, 207.24...
QQQ = 107.27, 106.41, 105.85…
IWM = 121.41, 120.82, 119.39...


Earnings this week:
Monday: ESRX
Tuesday: FSLR, HPQ, LC, SPWR, CMCSA, SLCA
Wednesday: CRM, YOKU, AVGO
Thursday: DDD, GOGO, JCP, MBLY, SPLK, ADSK, MNST, ROST

Friday: 

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – AAL, AXP, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX, VRTX,

Reversal of Initial ReactionTSLA, QCOM, STT, TPX, WDC, ALTR, ATML, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, HSIC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is at 98.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: ATI, BX, C, EMC, FAS, IBM, JUNO, TPX, V, YELP, ZION, CELG, CMCSA, GMCR, INTC, STX,
Diagonal Breakout: CMGE, LOCO, TSLA, YHOO,  
Bull Flag: ANGI, BAC, BBY, DGLY, FEYE, LNKD, RAX, RCL, SCSS, SWI, TWTR, UBNT, UNG, VJET, XONE, Z, ADBE, AKAM, FB, GOOGL, MAR, NFLX, SNDK, WDC,  
Potential Bullish Divergence: BABA          
Gap Down: HPQ, LC, SLCA

Moves
New Highs: DIA, SPY, IWM, QQQ, CREE, SWKS, ETFC, JNPR, SUNE, AVGO, ESRX, LRCX, MNST, TXN,  
H Breakout: AMBA, KKD, GOGO, GPRO, JCP, KKD, UPL, EBAY
D Breakout: NKE
Bull Flag Bounce: CIEN, KKD, MS, SCHW, STI, X, BRCM, PCLN, XLNX,  
Bounce:  AMBA, TLT, DAL, UAL, AAL, CMCSA,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Gap Up: SPWR, FSLR, CSIQ, JASO, TSL, TAN, MNST,
Gap Down: LVS, WYNN, MU

______________________


54 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: EXPD, XLNX, KLAC, ALTR, BRCM, SIRI, MNST, DISCA, INTC, AMAT

Lagging NDX stocks included: WYNN, VOD, VIP, STX, MU, WDC, SNDK, TSLA, SBAC, HSIC

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: SPWR, FSLR, UPL, CSIQ, AMBA, JCP, VJET, SUNE, X, GOGO, KKD, UAL, CREE, TSL, SWKS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: LVS, XONE, VXX, SPLK, Z, JD


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 83
WFM, SIAL, MNST, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, EA, NFLX, ILMN, SBAC, SBUX, AMZN, DLTR, CSCO, VRSK, AAPL, COST, GOOG, BBBY, CTRX, DISH, EXPD, ORLY, VIP, ADP, BRCM, CA, CTXS, DTV, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, PAYX, ADI, LLTC, AKAM, ADSK, AMAT, AVGO, INTU, LRCX, MAR, MU, PCLN, ESRX, MDLZ, ALTR, CSCO, EQIX, HSIC, LVNTA, TRIP, WDC, XLNX, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, GILD, MYL, PCAR, QCOM, SNDK, ALXN, AMGN, FB, SRCL, CELG, REGN, TSLA, VIAB, AAL, VRTX, CHRW, MSFT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
GMCR, KLAC                                                                               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
BBBY, ISRG, STX, TSLA, VOD, WYNN                                                                                                                    

Staying Below 30 DMA
SYMC, GRMN, KRFT, NTAP, SPLS, BIDU, YHOO, FAST, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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