Friday, February 27, 2015

SPX Forming Bull Flag on Light Volume Pullback...Monster Earning Reactions from MNST, ROST...

Eight of nine sectors moved lower on Friday…XLP, XLU and XLY were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.04 to 1 on the NYSE and weakened on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers 1.61 to 1.

Friday – mixed
Thursday – mixed
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .72 at 210.66 on 88.4 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .57 at 13.34…
TNX down .14 at 20.02…
TLT up 1.08 at 129.53...
XLF down .09 at 24.35 on 23.5 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down 1.95 at 128.46 on 61.2 million shares, above average volume
FB down 1.44 at 78.97…on 30.4million shares

Technical Commentary:
SPY -0.34%, QQQ -0.44%, DIA -0.45%, IWM -0.54%.

The SPX which pulled back into a bull flag pattern on Friday was led by strong earning reactions in MNST and ROST followed by gains in ADSK, DO, GPS, KSS, AES, NBR, FCX, HPQ, SND, SPLS and XRX.


RUT Gainers: DGI, SEMG, SLCA, HSNI, AMSG, PBYI, CVLT


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.45, 212.95...
QQQ = 109.41, 111.16
IWM = 122.50, 123.54…

Support Levels
SPY = 210.18, 208.97, 207.24...
QQQ = 107.27, 106.41, 105.85…
IWM = 121.41, 120.82, 119.39...


Earnings this week:

COST, MYL, AMBA, BBY, CIEN, CSIQ, CTRP, JD, PANW, SSYS, TSL, VSLR

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, CRM, MNST, ROST, ADSK, GOGO, SPWR, ESRX, CMCSA, ANGI, CAR, INTU, JWN, RAX, MAR, NEM, PCLN, Z, TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - AVGO, MNST, CRM, SPWR, ANGI, UPL, TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – JCP, SPLK, LL, LC, HPQ, SCTY, ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - LL, LC, TPX, ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progress – AAL, AXP, BIDU, CHRW, FFIV, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, KBH, KLAC, MSFT, NTAP, SOHU, STX, VRTX,

Reversal of Initial ReactionTSLA, QCOM, STT, TPX, WDC, ALTR, ATML, FOXA, GMCR, HSIC, JDSU, JPM, KSU, PCAR, SFUN, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, HSIC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast is at 95.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AIG, BX, CMGE, MTW, SCSS, SLCA, UBNT, YELP, ZION, CMCSA, XLNX,
Diagonal Breakout: STI,
Bull Flag: SPY, ANGI, CREE, ETFC, EXPE, FAS, FEYE, GLW, GOGO, IBM, JCP, JNPR, JUNO, KKD, LNKD, RCL, SCHW, SPWR, SUNE, SWI, UPL, Z, TAN, AAPL, AKAM, AVGO, CELG, ESRX, GILD, LRCX, NFLX, PCLN, WDC, WFM,
Potential Bullish Divergence: BABA, GPRO

Moves
New Highs: CIEN, FSLR, UA, ADBE, ADSK, GOOG,
H Breakout: GMCR
Bull Flag Bounce: JDSU, SCSS, SNDK
Gap Up: MNST, ROST

Support Break: GPRO
______________________


32 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and three were unchanged on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MNST, ROST, ADSK, VIP, SBAC, SNDK, SPLS, GMCR, XLNX, BBBY

Lagging NDX stocks included: AAL, CTRX, DISH, TSLA, FB, NFLX, FAST, ILMN, AAPL, ALXN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: SLCA, JDSU, HPQ, RWLK, SCSS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JCP, GPRO, NTES, SFUN, SPLK, UAL, DAL, DGLY, TWTR, QIHU, XONE, FEYE, PA, AA


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 79
WFM, SIAL, MNST, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, EA, NFLX, SBAC, SBUX, AMZN, DLTR, CSCO, VRSK, AAPL, COST, GOOG, BBBY, DISH, EXPD, ORLY, VIP, ADP, BRCM, CA, CTXS, DTV, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, PAYX, ADI, LLTC, AKAM, ADSK, AMAT, AVGO, INTU, LRCX, MAR, MU, PCLN, ESRX, MDLZ, ALTR, CSCO, LVNTA, TRIP, WDC, XLNX, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, GILD, MYL, PCAR, QCOM, ALXN, AMGN, FB, SRCL, CELG, REGN, VIAB, VRTX, CHRW, MSFT, KLAC, NTAP, GMCR

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
SNDK, STX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
EQIX, ILMN, TSLA

Staying Below 30 DMA
CTRX, HSIC, SYMC, AAL, BBBY, ISRG, VOD, WYNN, GRMN, KRFT, SPLS, BIDU, YHOO, FAST, INTC, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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