Thursday, February 19, 2015

Stocks End Mostly Down...INTU Up In After Hours Trading After Reported Earnings Better Than Expected...PCLN Gains 8.46%...

Five out of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLK, XLY and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.08 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.14 to 1 on the NASDAQ where advancers led decliners.

Thursday – mixed
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – mixed
Monday – Holiday
Friday – weakened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .15 at 209.98 on 91.3 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .16 at 15.29…
TNX up .47 at 21.13…
TLT down .84 at 126.17...
XLF down .10 at 24.26 on 17.4 million shares, below average volume

AAPL down .27 at 128.45 on 37.2 million shares, below average volume
FB up 2.71 at 79.42…on 45.7 million shares, above average volume

Technical Commentary:
DIA – 0.21%, SPY – 0.07%, IWM + 0.01%, QQQ + 0.49%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 210.35, 211.45...
QQQ = 107.56, 109.41
IWM = 122.50, 123.54…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.97, 207.24...
QQQ = 105.85, 105.26, 104.58…
IWM = 121.41, 120.82, 119.39...


Earnings this week:
Monday: NTES, SOHU,
Tuesday: AKAM, CERN, REGN, SFUN
Wednesday: AMAT, BIDU, FEYE, HSIC, NTAP, NVDA, SCSS, TRIP, TSLA, WFM, ZU
Thursday: KRFT, Z, ZNGA
Friday: 

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – TRIP, FEYE, CSCO, NVDA, AKAM, WFM, Z, EEFT, TMH, CTLT, SKX, NTES, WCG, ADP, ATVI, CTSH, FISV, ONNN, ORLY, SIRI, UA, VRSN, AMZN, AAPL, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CAVM, CELG, EA, FB, FSL, GLW, HOG, JNPR, TSCO, TSS, TUP, VIAB, WDC, X, NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - TRIP, FEYE, EEFT, TMH, MLM, SEE, LNKD, TWTR, UBNT, ONNN, AMZN, BIIB, NFLX, FSL, EA, TUP, X

Negative Reactions – ZU, ZNGA, NTAP, BIDU, TSLA, HSIC, KRFT, SFUN, SOHU, ATML, CHRW, FOXA, GILD, GMCR, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, QCOM, JDSU, RCL, BABA, PCAR, YHOO, MSFT, STX, VRTX, AAL, ZION, AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - ZU, ZNGA, EXPE, GPRO, YELP, P, TPX, QCOM, FFIV, KBH,

Reversal in progressAXP, ISRG, JNJ, JPM, QCOM, STT, 

Reversal of Initial ReactionAA, BAC, C, HSIC, IBM, KBH, KSU, MCD, WFC, ZION


The SPX Market Forecast rising at 99.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BBY, BX, EMC, EXPE, GOGO, SWI, SWKS, UBNT, MNST, ROST,   
Diagonal Breakout: ESI, HPQ, NKE, GMCR, STX,   
Bull Flag: ATI, BAC, ETFC, SCSS, SOHU, STI, V, ZION, SINA, BRCM, CMCSA,    
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:              
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:   
At Support:
C- Pattern:   

Moves
New Highs: VRSN, AKAM,    
H Breakout: CMGE, CREE, IBM, JUNO, UPL, ADSK, EBAY, FB, LRCX, MYL,      
D Breakout: CELG,     
Breakout Test: 
Bull Flag Bounce:   
Bounce: GOOGL, TSLA, YHOO,     
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Gap Up: DAL, RCL, MAR, PCLN,  
Gap Down: CSIQ, SCTY, X,    
C- Pattern:  
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: QIHU, VXX,   

______________________


62 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and three were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: PCLN, REGN, TRIP, TSLA, FB, AMAT, MAR, ILMN, AKAM, VIAB

Lagging NDX stocks included: MAT, CTRX, VRTX, SPLS, BBBY, GILD, BRCM, MU, WFM, SBAC

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: CMGE, ESI, JUNO, CAR, UBNT, SPLK, SWI, SLCA, EXPE, GOGO

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SCTY, QIHU, RAX, NTES, X, Z, CSIQ, LC, MBLY, SPWR, CTRP, VXX, MTW


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 77
WFM, SIAL, MNST, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, SIRI, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, EA, NFLX, ILMN, SBAC, SBUX, AMZN, DLTR, CSCO, VRSK, AAPL, COST, GOOG, BBBY, CTRX, DISH, EXPD, ORLY, VIP, ADP, BRCM, CA, CTXS, DTV, LBTYA, LMCA, NVDA, ROST, TXN, ADBE, CHTR, PAYX, ADI, LLTC, AKAM, ADSK, AMAT, AVGO, INTU, LRCX, MAR, MU, PCLN, WYNN, ESRX, MDLZ, ALTR, CSCO, EQIX, HSIC, LVNTA, SYMC, TRIP, WDC, XLNX, CHKP, DISCA, EBAY, FOXA, GILD, MYL, PCAR, QCOM, SNDK, ALXN, AMGN, FB, SRCL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
CELG, REGN, TSLA, VIAB, VOD                                                        

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
BBBY                                                                                                                     

Staying Below 30 DMA
GRMN, CHRW, KRFT, CELG, NTAP, TSLA, REGN, SPLS, AAL, VRTX, BIDU, MSFT, YHOO, FAST, GMCR, INTC, ISRG, KLAC, STX, MAT

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up

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