Monday, June 10, 2013

SPY Unchanged...FSLR Up 6.2%...FB Up 4.47%...AAPL Down Slightly...

Four of nine sectors moved higher  on Monday… XLB, XLK and XLV were the strongest sectors…XLY was the weakest sector.

Breadth strengthened slightly decliners led advancers…1.26 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.77 to 1 on the NASDAQ…where advancers led decliners…


Monday - mixed
Friday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY unchanged…volume 102.5 million shares
VIX up .30 at 15.44
TNX up .54 at 22.15
TLT down .54 at 112.63...
XLF up .01 at 19.98…volume 65.9 million shares                 

AAPL down 2.92 at 438.89volume 16 million shares
FB up 1.04 at 24.33volume 58.3 million shares


Technical Commentary:

IWM + 0.61%, QQQ + 0.04%, SPY + 0.00%  and DIA – 0.07%. 

The SPY opened slightly higher and traded in a narrow range on lighter volume before closing unchanged at 164.80.  Many individual stocks including solar stocks FSLR, CSIQ, JASO, SPWR, YGE and TSL were sizzling hot on Monday.  Other stocks like TSLA, GME, ALXN, BIIB, CELG GILD and STX took a breather and pulled back or paused like the broad market.

TSLA -1.95% closed at $100.05 following a Barron’s article highlighting challenges that the Company faces.  It’s great to have an insightful journalist that discovers that an innovative company actually faces challenges.  No short-sellers behind that novel observation.

The Euro up 35 pips closed at 1.3255.

FB +4.46% broke out of diagonal resistance and rallied higher out of a W pattern base with MACD histogram bullish divergence.

The current market condition is support bounce entry and trend resumption.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position.  The intermediate term trend is up and the short-term trend is again up.  Many bull flag entries and diagonal breakout entries including the broad and sector indexes occurred on Friday.  Trade to targets according to your rules.


Chart Signals Strategy Guidelines
When the market is trending up Chart Signals looks for support bounce and resistance breakout entries. 

When the market is trending down Chart signals looks for resistance pull back and support break entries. 

When the market is sideways in consolidation Chart Signals will look for support bounce, diagonal breakouts and pull backs at resistance where price action stays between support and resistance

Technical setups for short-term option trades be in and out by earnings release.
Over earnings release use earnings option strategies such as straddles, strangles, OTM calls or puts.
After earnings look for bullish setups in positive reaction stocks and bearish setups in negative reaction stocks.


Setups
H Breakout:  ADBE, AMAT, BBBY, BIDU, PCLN, SNDK, TXN, YHOO, ANGI, CREE, ESI, F, FAS, FSLR, GMCR, NTES, SCSS, SINA, SOHU, STI, XONE,

Diagonal Breakout:  CMCSA, DTV, EBAY, NFLX, NTAP, NVDA, BBRY, CRM, GLW, LNKD, RCL, UAL,

Bull Flag:  CTSH, DELL, FFIV, GME,

Potential Bullish Divergence: 

Gap Up:

Gap Down: 

Bear Flag:  CELG,

At Support:   


Moves
New Highs:  AMZN, MNST, MU, WDC, CIEN, GS, PWRD, TBT,

Gap Up:  FB, SBUX,

Gap Down: 

H&D Breakout:

Breakout Test:

Bounce:  AAPL, INTC, ORCL, FIVE,


MACD Divergence Bounce:

Bear Flag:  

Support Break:   

______________________


41 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one unchanged on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: FB, EBAY, EQIX, SNDK, MU, INTC, SBUX, EXPE, AMZN, TXN, GOOG, WYNN, WFM, MNST, HSIC, PCLN

Lagging NDX stocks included:  CTSH, CTRX, LBTYA, DISCA, ALXN, MXIM, CELG, ADSK, REGN, SHLD, SIRI, SBAC, LMCA

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: LDK, TSL, SSYS, ESI, GRPN, MCP, GMCR, CRUS, CIEN, ZAGG

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CRM


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 44
MSFT, LIFE, INTC, WFM, WDC, AMAT, LMCA, SIAL, STX, CA, ESRX, PCAR, XLNX, CERN,  KLAC, LINTA, CHKP, ADI, PCLN, MU, NTAP, SPLS, BIDU, HSIC, SNDK, AVGO, CSCO, ISRG, AMZN, GOLD, DELL, MNST, DLTR, DTV, EXPD, FOSL, MYL, NVDA, SBUX, YHOO, BBBY, GOOG, ORLY, VRTX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
ORCL, VOD, WYNN, TXN

Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
BIIB, CTSH, INTU SIRI, VIAB, LBTYA, REGN

Staying Below 30 DMA
COST, AAPL, ALTR, NFLX, ADBE, FAST, LLTC, MCHP, NWSA, KRFT, ADP, AKAM, BMC, FFIV, PAYX, SRCL, XRAY, DISCA, BRCM, CELG, GILD, ALXN, ATVI, CTXS, EBAY, GRMN, ROST, FISV, MAT, MDLZ, CHRW, CMCSA, SHLD, SBAC, QCOM, EQIX, VRSK, ADSK, AMGN, EXPE, SYMC, MXIM, FB, CTRX, NUAN

Five Month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up







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