Tuesday, February 19, 2013

SPY New High Close as Euro, TNX Move Higher...Bonds Fall...


Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday and XLE, XLP and XLF were the strongest sectors.   XLB was the weakest sector. 

Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers2.25 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.93 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday - strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led


SPY up 1.14 at 153.25...volume 95 million shares…
VIX down .15 at 12.31
TNX up .19 at 20.26…
TLT down 58 cents at 115.92…
XLF
up 17 cents at 17.93…volume 44.4 million shares

AAPL down 17 cents at 459.99…volume 15.5 million shares…
FB up 61 cents at`28.93on volume of 49.3 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings Commentary:
With earnings season winding down notable movers have included:
Positive – ATVI, SNDK, AOL, HUM, CMG, ZNGA, NTES, ORLY, TSO, TWX, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, OPEN, PM, ZION, AMZN, BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS, AET, MO, CTRP, UA, VIAB, WHR, MAT, PRGO, GE, SLB, STT, GOOG, NFLX, EBAY, GS, CREE, TPX, MJN, FFIV, TSCO, DV, PTEN, CBG, TW, CNW, AAP, ESI, RL, MNST, CMCSA, NTAP,

Negative – MCO, BIDU, RCL, SWI, CME, AKAM, CSTR, NUAN, RVBD, BMC, VMW, STX, BRCM, BTU, PHM, MRK, AAPL



Technical Commentary:
The SPY rose 1.14 to a new high close on Tuesday following a three day holiday. IWM +0.88%, DIA +.037%, SPY +0.75% and QQQ +0.72%.  All closed higher.

AAPL shares moved down .17 forming a hammer candle pattern in a flag consolidation.     FB moved up 61 cents after a pause on Friday following a MACD bullish divergence.

The Euro rose 40 pips and closed 1.3388 bouncing in a complex bull flag pattern.  A rising Euro with rising interest rates, falling bonds and rising financial stocks can help lift the SPY towards its chart targets of 154.04 and 158.83.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits then look potential re-entry according to your rules.

Disk storage stocks WDC and STX moved slightly lower.

Coal stocks ANR, JRCC, ACI, BTU and CNX were mixed while WLT gained 5.38%Solar stocks SPWR, FSLR, TSL and LDK rose again on Tuesday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout: TW, CLB, MCHP, AGO, VIAB, GCI, TIF,  KORS, ZION, TEX, LSI, SWKS, ADM, GLW, CRR, WLT, SHLD, BPOP, CERN, WDC, RS, TSCO, CRM

Diagonal Breakout: PBI, ORLY, HES, LIFE, BBRY, NUS, GME, LVS, COST, STX

Bull Flag: CBG, AVP, WYN, VMI, ATI, CSTR, LNKD, SLB, MWV, FOSL, XRX, QCOM, WMS, DNDN, ZNGA, C, RCL, FIVE, ALB, MGM, GES, STZ, IM, ANGI, MAS

Gap Up: SINA

Gap Down:


Moves
Highlights: CTXS, WHR, TPX, NFLX, SWKS, BBRY, SINA, FB, NTES, FSLR

Gap Up:  WBC

Gap Down:

Breakout: ADI, AIZ, FB, ESI, SWK, NFLX, ATVI, FAST, GNC, SPWR, ATML, AOL, CNX, GRPN,  PRGO, MJN, AVX, MBI,  ALTR, PM, STRZA, GS, JDSU, FTI
 
Bounce: HSP, RMD, TFM, CTL, CTSH, KOS, A, RL, RSH, CNW, DECK, PMCS, JNPR, FFIV, NTES,   CPA, DNB, AKAM, MCO, FTNT, DPS, GMCR, MTW, PCLN,  PTEN

Support Break:  ULTA, STI, DE, CCL, CLF, RAX, IPI

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70 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  SPLS, XLNX, STRZA, MY, SHLD, ESRX, ISRG, CSCO, FB, VRTX, CTSH, BRCM, FFIV

Lagging NDX stocks included:  ALXN, MNST, REGN, VOD, BIDU, WYNN, DLTR, EQIX, NVDA, SBAC, BIIB, WFM, LBTYA

Leading stocks> +2% on Tuesday included: TSLA, DECK, RVBD, ESI, NFLX, NTES, LDK, HLF, GS, FAS, ANF, GMCR, FB, TPX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  HUM, SINA, ATI, CDE, LVS, AKS, FAZ, FCX

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 69
CSCO, VMED, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, ADSK, DELL, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, STRZA, SIRI, ADP, EBAY, LINTA, MU, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, NVDA, CMCSA, CTRX, ESRX, SIAL,
BRCM, EQIX, FFIV, GRMN, MNST, VRSK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5                      
AMZN, BBBY, CTSH, ORCL, VRTX                                     

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
COST, WYNN

Staying Below 30 DMA
EXPE, SBUX, STX, VOD, WFM, MDLZ, EXPD, LBTYA, DTV, AMGN, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, INTU, BMC, CHRW, BIDU, ALXN, FISV, INTC, FB, SBAC, REGN, AAPL

Twelve Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral


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