Wednesday, February 6, 2013

IWM Leads, SPY Steady As Euro Pulls Back...NFLX Breaks Out...


Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday… XLU, XLY and XLF were the strongest sectors.   XLK was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened but advancers still led decliners…1.44 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.22 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Wednesday – weakened, advancer led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led

BBRY new symbol for RIMM.

While the chart continues in an uptrend today may have been the first day of the potential pullback we have been prepared for.

SPY up .11 at 151.16...volume 138 million shares…
VIX down .31 at 13.41
TNX down .48 at 19.68…
TLT up .95 at 116.93…
XLF
up .03 at 17.61…volume 29.9 million shares

AAPL down .49 at 457.35…volume 21.2 million shares…
FB up .41 at`29.05on volume of 38.3 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BIDU, XRAY, GILD, HUM, LIFE, RCL, SOHU, SWI
Tuesday – ADP, CME, CMG, EXPE, FISV, HCA, K, PNRA, SIRI, VMED, DIS, ZNGA
Wednesday – AKAM, GMCR, LF, NTES, NWSA, NUS, ORLY, PRU, TSO, TWX, V, YELP
Thursday – CTSH, CSTR, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, NUAN, OPEN, PCAR, PM, RVBD, SIAL,
Friday – AOL, CBOE, MCO 

Positive earning reaction LF, NTES, ORLY, TWX
Negative earnings reaction AKAM, GMCR, NWSA, YELP

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Technical Commentary:
The SPY was up .11 cents just .08 cents below its all time closing high on Friday.  QQQ
- 0.33%, SPY +0.07%, IWM  +0.42%, DIA + 0.14% moved higher.  AAPL shares moved down .49 forming a doji.  FB moved up .41 confirming its bullish harami pattern.

The Euro closed down 60 pips to close at 1.3521 in a bull flag pattern.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.  Many traders may have exited short term trades with profits on Monday.  So look potential re-entry.

Disk storage stocks WDC and STX were higher.

Coal stocks WLT, ANR, CNX, JRCC, BTU, ACI, were higher on Wednesday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout: DNDN, MJN, FIVE, DECK, JNPR, C, FFIV, TEX, SHLD, LVLT, RSH, ATML, STRZA

Diagonal Breakout:  SWK, LSI, MGM, STI, SBAC, ESI, GES,

Bull Flag: MON, CRM, XRX, DE, QCOM, CTXS, PBI, WMS,TIF, PMCS, PRGO, LVS, CRR, COST, ADI, AVX, VIAB, FAST, MOS, HES, LIFE, RCL, CLB, GME,

Gap Up:  LF, NTES,

Gap Down:  GMCR, AKAM, NWSA, NUS,


Moves
Gap Up:  MBI, AGO, RS, WYN, RL,  

Gap Down:  CHRW, CFX, AFL, CME,

Breakout: NFLX, GS, CERN, NUAN, ZNGA, JDSU, CLF, CHK
 
Bounce: QCOM, PBI, MTW, AVX, SWKS, FTNT, SINA, APKT, GCI, ATI, PCLN, BBRY,  DNDN, RMD, BPOP, UNG, TSCO, ZION,

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44 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and one remained the same…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  WDC, MNST, BIIB, CERN, BIDU, STX, SNDK, FB, FFIV, AKAM, FOSL, MY, HSIC, YHOO, NUAN

Lagging NDX stocks included:  CHRW, LBTYA, EXPE, CTSH, WYNN, CELG, AMZN

Leading stocks> +2% on Wednesday included: NFLX, CMG, YELP, GRPN, UAL, ATI, ESI, SSYS, GMCR, AKS, WDC, TSLA,  RVBD, SINA, SWKS, GES, X, ANR, TSL, CRUS, CDE, DECK

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  

Stocks to Watch on Thursday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 92
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, SIRI, VRSK, ADP, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD,  ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, AKAM, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO, GOLD, AMGN, CMCSA, DTV, ESRX, INTU, NVDA, VRTX                                                        

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2                                  
YHOO, ALTR                                        

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
AMZN, CTSH, LBTYA, CHRW, BMC, DLTR                                                                                                                                                             

Staying Below 30 DMA
BIDU, ALXN, FISV, INTC, YHOO, FB, SBAC, BRCM, ALTR, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL

Eleven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral


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