Monday, February 4, 2013

EURO, SPY Pull Back As BBRY, NFLX, APKT Rise...


None of the sectors moved higher on Monday… XLU, XLI and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLK was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…3.69 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.28 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led

BBRY new symbol for RIMM.


While the chart continues in an uptrend today may have been the first day of the potential pullback we have been prepared for.

SPY down 1.71 at 151.24...volume 159 million shares…
VIX up 1.77 at 14.67
TNX down .37 at 19.73…
TLT up 1.48 at 117.02…
XLF
down .20 at 17.41…volume 49.9 million shares

AAPL down -11.30 at 442.32…volume 17 million shares…
FB down -1.62 at`28.94on volume of92.3 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings to Watch this Week:
Monday – BIDU, XRAY, GILD, HUM, LIFE, RCL, SOHU, SWI
Tuesday – ADP, CME, CMG, EXPE, FISV, HCA, K, PNRA, SIRI, VMED, DIS, ZNGA
Wednesday – AKAM BMCR, LF, NTES, NWSA, NUS, ORLY, PRU, TSO, TWX, V, YELP
Thursday – CTSH, CSTR, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, NUAN, OPEN, PCAR, PM, RVBD, SIAL,
Friday – AOL, CBOE, MCO  

Positive earnings reactions HUM, SWI

Negative earnings reactions BIDU, RCL, SOHU


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Technical Commentary:
The SPY closed below the low of the high day after a one day bounce and is now neutral for the last nine days.  QQQ - 1.74%, SPY - 1.13%, IWM - 1.21%, DIA - 0.84%, moved lower as AAPL shares moved down -11.30 forming a black candle.  FB moved down -1.62.

The Euro closed below the low of the high day and was down 139 pips to close at 1.3512 forming the first day of a bull flag pattern.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits.  Many traders may have exited short term trades with profits on Monday.  So look potential re-entry.

Disk storage stocks WDC and STX were mixed.

Coal stocks ANR, ACI, CNX, BTU, WLT, and JRCC moved lower on Monday.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout: DECK, GME, GMCR, JNPR, CERN, C, FFIV, TEX, SHLD, LVLT, RSH, ATML, NUAN, STRZA

Diagonal Breakout:  ZNGA, SWK, BAC, LSI, MGM, STI, SBAC, ESI,

Bull Flag: PCLN, MON, CRM, NIHD, XRX, DE, CHK, QCOM, CTXS, PBI, WMS, MJN, TIF, UNG, PMCS, MTW, PRGO, LVS, CRR, ATI, COST, ADI, AVX, SWKS, FTNT, TSCO, VIAB, ZION, FAST, FIVE, GS, MOS, SINA, HES, LIFE

Gap Up:  APKT, BRO, DECK,

Gap Down:  BIDU,


Moves
Gap Up:   

Gap Down:  GCI, GES, TIF,

Breakout:  CLB, GME, JDSU, CLF,
 
Bounce: BBRY, NFLX, HRV, DECK, GME, DNDN,  RMD, BPOP,

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5 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  GOLD, MAT, PRGO, STX, KLAC

Lagging NDX stocks included:  FB, LIFE, EXPE, AVGO, ORCL, CELF, ALXN, EBAY, DELL, AAPL, SHLD, GILD, VMED, VIAB

Leading stocks> +2% on Monday included: NFLX, HUM, DECK, CDE, FAZ, RVBD

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  GRPN, SOHU, FB, SINA, GES, TIF, CRUS, RCL, FAS, ATI, SWKS, UCO, LVS, TBT, COH, A VECO

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 77
SBUX, CSCO, VMED, EXPD, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, SIAL, ADSK, DELL, FFIV, ORCL, COST, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, CTSH, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, NUAN, STX, LBTYA, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, EQIX, STRZA, CHRW, SIRI, BIDU, VRSK, ADP, EBAY, EXPE, LINTA, MU,  SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, CTRX, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD,  ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BBBY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, AKAM, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO                                                        

Moving Above 30 DMA =1                                  
GOLD             

Moving Below 30 DMA = 14
ALXN, AMGN, BMC, CMCSA, ESRX, FISV, INTC, NVDA, VRTX, YHOO, FB, INTU, DLTR, AMZN                                                                                                                                      

Staying Below 30 DMA
DTV, SBAC, BRCM, ALTR, REGN, GRMN, MNST, AAPL

Eleven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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