Thursday, February 28, 2013

Potential Shooting Star on SPY, IWM, XLF, XLE, XLI and Many More...


Three sectors moved higher on Thursday with XLY, XLU and XLB were the strongest sectors .   XLE was the weakest sector…. 

Breadth weakened however advancers still led decliners1.05 to 1 on the NYSE and decliners leading advancers 1.05 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .30 at 151.61...volume 126.8 million shares…
VIX up .78 at 15.51
TNX down .15 at 18.88…
TLT up 22 cents at 118.51…
XLF
down 3 cents at 17.59…volume 62.3 million shares

AAPL down 3.17 at 441.40…volume 11.5 million shares…
FB up 38 cents at`27.25on volume of 83 million shares…


Technical Commentary:
The SPY rose 96 cents and exceeded Monday’s high (resistance) by one cent before selling pressure took over and the SPY closed down 30 cents on Thursday.  Traders that sold at the resistance target were rewarded again.  IWM +0.19% closed higher on Thursday while SPY -0.20%, QQQ -0.21% and DIA -0.23% moved lower with all four ETFs forming potential shooting star candles.

AAPL -3.17 continued to trade above its recent low of 435 made on Jan 25.  FB rose 38 cents formed a white hammer like candle while continuing to form a potential MACD bullish divergence.

The Euro gave back Wednesday’s gains falling 82 pips to close near its multi-month support at 1.3056 on Thursday.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Many stocks reached resistance targets on Thursday.  The trend is in consolidation and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached.

The SPY’s is neutral trend as XLY led sector and shifted to strong neutral.  XLB continues negative; XLE, XLF, XLI, XLY and XLK are neutral with XLP, XLU and XLV positive.  XLE, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLP, XLV and XLB formed potential shooting star patterns.


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up below the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout:  TSCO, AIZ, WHR, VMI, JPM, CRR, CPA, MDRX, CBOE, MWV, TXN, MCHP, ATVI, TW, CLB, ORLY

Diagonal Breakout: CSTR, ICE, BBRY, PBI, HES, GME, SINA, CTXS,

Bull Flag:  PM, GNC, P, KORS, ADM, STRZA, NTES, JDSU, SPWR, AVP, GES, IM, AVX, MJN, PRGO

Potential Bullish Divergence:  FB, BBRY, EQIX, ACI, ANR

Gap Up: CRM

Gap Down:

Bear Flag:  LVS, CTL, RAX, SWKS, NBR, PPO, AVGO, ROST, WDC, STX, DNDN, DDD, MGM, A, LIFE, GRMN, NDSN, DDS, IPI, POT, MOS, MON, AGU, CORN, DE, CCL, SLB, STI, EXPD, WFM, SIRI, FOSL

Break of Support:  AMZN, HSP, CNX, OC, JRCC, QCOM, PAY


Moves
Highlights: NFLX, NTES, TPX, BBRY, FB, P, ANGI,

Gap Up:  CLR, PCLN, CWH, ZNGA

Gap Down:  GRPN, JCP, NIHD, CVC, FSLR, GTI, CRI,

Breakout: TPX, LNKD, AWAY, AMGN, STZ, FIVE, FTNT, HPQ, COG,
 
Bounce:  Z, NFLX, HLF, AIZ, BPOP,  ANGI, SHLD, MDRX, FAST, CBG, CNW, AOL, TEX, ZION, PTEN, IBM, XRX, FTI, VMI, PMCS,


MACD Divergence Bounce:  CTSH, ORCL, VECO, STX, RCL, WHR

Bear Flag:  TFM, ULTA, AKAM

Support Break:  FFIV, WLT, BTU, CLF, INT

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42 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…one remained the same…



Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  MYL, ESRX, MU, CELG, LBTYA, MNST, EXPD, LINTA, BIDU, AVGO, FFIV, ADSK,FB, REGN, VMED

Lagging NDX stocks included:  ISRG, SHLD, CTRX, GOLD, NTAP, ORCL, FAST, ALTR, PCLN, GRMN, CMCSA, PRGO, STRZA, ADBE

Leading stocks> +2% on Thursday included: HLF, VECO, GMCR, NFLX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  GRPN, ESI, RVBD, CSTR, ANR, JDSU


Stocks to Watch on Friday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 53
VMED, ADI, LLTC, DELL, NWSA, AMAT, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, SYMC,GILD, HSIC, ATVI, CERN, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, CTRX, ESRX,
MNST, AMGN, DISCA, MU, SBAC, TXN, ADBE, BRCM, CELG, CMCSA, FISV, INTU, NVDA, QCOM, KLAC, MSFT, MYL, PCAR, SRCL, VRTX, XLNX, MDLZ, LBTYA, VRSK, WDC

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1                       
SIAL                                                            

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
CA, ISRG, PCLN, SHLD, SPLS

                                                                             
Staying Below 30 DMA
CTXS, LINTA, MXIM, VIAB, ADSK, CSCO, EBAY, FFIV, NTAP, XRAY, AMZN, AVGO, BBBY, CTSH, EQIX, FOSL, GRMN, LIFE, ORCL, ROST, SIRI, COST, WYNN, EXPE, SBUX, STX, VOD, WFM, EXPD, DTV, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, BMC, CHRW, BIDU, ALXN, FB, INTC, REGN, AAPL

Four Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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