Friday, February 15, 2013

SPY Drops Bounces as Euro Holds...MNST, SNDK, CMCSA, NTAP, AKAM Bounce...


Markets are closed on Monday for President’s Day and will reopen on Tuesday.  Have a fun, restful and safe three day weekend.

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Friday and XLV, XLU and XLP were the strongest sectors.   XLE was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers1.06 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.09 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – weakened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 18 cents at 152.11...volume 215.2 million shares…
VIX down .20 at 12.46
TNX up .07 at 20.07…
TLT down 34 cents at 116.50…
XLF
down 8 cents at 17.76…volume 31.3 million shares

AAPL down -6.43 at 460.16…volume 14 million shares…
FB down 18 cents at`28.32on volume of 33.1 million shares…


Look for stocks that have reported good earnings and are in an uptrend. 

Earnings Commentary:
With earnings season winding down notable movers have included:
Positive – ATVI, SNDK, AOL, HUM, CMG, ZNGA, NTES, ORLY, TSO, TWX, HAS, LNKD, MCHP, OPEN, PM, ZION, AMZN, BA, CTXS, EA, JDSU, QCOM, SWKS, AET, MO, CTRP, UA, VIAB, WHR, MAT, PRGO, GE, SLB, STT, GOOG, NFLX, EBAY, GS, CREE, TPX, MJN, FFIV, TSCO, DV, PTEN, CBG, TW, CNW, AAP, ESI, RL, MNST, CMCSA, NTAP

Negative – MCO, BIDU, RCL, SWI, CME, AKAM, CSTR, NUAN, RVBD, BMC, VMW, STX, BRCM, BTU, PHM, MRK, AAPL


Technical Commentary:
The SPY dropped 18 cents on expiration Friday. IWM +0.03% moved slightly higher while DIA -0.04%, SPY -0.12% and QQQ -0.29% were down.

AAPL shares moved down -6.43 falling to 465 indicating it is still in a consolidation pattern.    FB moved down 18 cents pausing after bouncing on Thursday forming a potential bear flag pattern.

The Euro was down 5 pips and closed at 1.3358 in a complex bull flag pattern more clearly seen on a weekly chartThe Euro chart suggests a move up is still likely.  A rising Euro with rising interest rates, falling bonds and rising financial stocks can help lift the SPY towards its chart targets of 154.04 and 158.83.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. Stay with the uptrend according to your rulesIf the stock begins to rollover protect your profits then look potential re-entry according to your rules.

Disk storage stocks WDC -0.45% and STX -1.44% move lower.

Coal stocks ANR, JRCC, WLT, ACI, BTU and CNX +3.36% moved lower on Friday.  Solar stocks SPWR, FSLR, TSL and LDK were lower.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout: GLW, CRR, WLT, SHLD, BPOP, CERN, WDC, SWK, ESI, RS, TSCO, CRM

Diagonal Breakout:  FB, BBRY, SINA, NUS, GME, LVS, COST, STX

Bull Flag: FOSL, NTES, JNPR, FFIV, XRX, QCOM, WMS, PMCS, DNDN, ZNGA, CNW, C, DECK, STI, RCL, FIVE, ALB, RL, RSH, MGM, GES, STZ, IM, ANGI, MAS

Gap Up:

Gap Down:


Moves
Highlights: CTXS, WHR, TPX, NFLX, SWKS, BBRY, SINA, FB, NTES, FSLR

Gap Up:  MWV, WBC, ADM

Gap Down: IPGP, KOS, A

Breakout: NFLX, ATVI, FAST, CTSH, GNC, WFM, CTL, ULTA, ITRI, TFM,
SPWR, ATML, AOL, SLB, SWKS, CNX, GRPN, LNKD, PRGO, MJN, AVX, MBI, SWK, LSI, CSTR, ALTR, PM, TEX, ZION, STRZA, ATI, GS, JDSU, VMI, FTI
 
Bounce:  WYN, KORS, RL, TIF, SINA, CPA, DNB, AKAM, MCO, FTNT, GCI, SBAC, DPS,
GMCR, LIFE, VIAB, CRR, AGO, HES, MTW, AVP, AIZ, MCHP, PCLN, CLB, ORLY, PTEN, CBG, TW, PBI, ADI, RCL

Support Break:  DE, CCL, HSP, RMD, CLF, RAX, IPI,

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41 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and two were unchanged…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  MNST, SNDK, DLTR, ATVI, BIIB, CMCSA, INTU, NTAP, AKAM, NWSA

Lagging NDX stocks included:  GOLD, REGN, SHLD, SBUX, MU, NUAN, DTV, ALXN, BBBY, LINTA

Leading stocks> +2% on Friday included: YELP, VMW

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  BBRY, A, LDK, TSL, SSYS, TSLA, RAX, UCO, DLR, GMCR, CDE, MCP, FLSR, STI, CLF, JDSU

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 64
CSCO, VMED, LLTC, PCAR, XLNX, TXN, ADI, ADSK, DELL, NWSA, DISCA, AMAT, FOSL, KLAC, VIAB, WDC, CHKP, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, STRZA, SIRI, ADP, EBAY, LINTA, MU, SRCL, SYMC, WYNN, CA, CELG, GILD, HSIC, LIFE, PCLN, MDLZ, ROST, SPLS, AVGO, ATVI, SHLD, MSFT, MYL, NTAP, MXIM, CERN, WFM, XRAY, VOD, ISRG, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, CTXS, QCOM, ADBE, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, NVDA, ORCL, CMCSA, CTRX, ESRX, SIAL,
BRCM, COST, EQIX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 4                      
FFIV, GRMN, MNST, VRSK                                           

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
AMZN, BBBY, EXPE, SBUX, STX

Staying Below 30 DMA
ORCL, VOD, VRTX, WFM, MDLZ, EXPD, LBTYA, COST, CTSH, DTV, EQIX, AMGN, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, INTU, BMC, CHRW, BIDU, ALXN, FISV, INTC, FB, SBAC, BRCM, REGN, AAPL


Twelve Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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