Monday, May 18, 2009
Thrust Day Support Bounce on Monday...
DJIA + 235.44, +2.85%
SP500 + 26.83, +3.04%
NASDAQ Comp. + 9.07, -0.54%
Russell 2000 + 18.95, +3.95%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 1,320 1,072
Declining 2,373 1,644
Oil $59.03 +$2.69
Gold $921.30 -$9.60
SOX 251.28 +9.00
VIX 30.24 -2.88
The VIX moved down and did confirm the move up in the SPX on Monday. Today is the lowest close since September 12, 2009.
Strongest Sectors: XLF +6.59%...XLY +4.93%...XLI +3.67%
Weakest Sectors: XLU +0.00%...XLV +0.99%...XLP +2.10%
Eight of nine Sectors moved higher on Monday. Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Industrials and Energy were stronger than the SPX +3.04%. Financial stocks stronger than XLF: ZION, RF, AFL, PRU, BAC, SPG, USB, STT, TROW, WFC, IVZ, MS, AXP, ICE, JPM, PNC and ETF’s UYG and FAS.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK include: AMT, EBAY, CSCO, AMAT, AAPL, IBM, QCOM and DELL.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK
Sideways: XLY, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI
Down Trending: XLU
SPX Key resistance levels:
902 = Weekly R1
930 = horizontal
945 = 200 DMA
Key support levels:
879 = weekly S2
869 = 30 DMA
866 = 61.8% Fib level
On Friday, May 8 Tom Sosnoff in the Weekly Wrap asked, what was my support target for the week of May 11 to 15? Consistent with my blog posting I saw two key support levels, 890 and 875. So I stated a support range of 875 to 890. On Friday May 15 the close on the SPX (cash) was 882.88. The low on the ESM9 S&P futures was 876.75, the close was 883. The mid point between 875 and 890 is 882.50. Hmmmmmmmm, I wonder if there is any validity to this support and resistance stuff?
In the Friday post I wrote, “The SPX found support at the 882 level for the third straight day. Watch for range expansion on Monday which has recently been typical on the Monday after options expiration.
“Friday was the low day in the recent pull back. If Monday sees a support bounce, watch for a break of the high of the low day.”
You may have all noticed the charts I posted on Friday for you to study over the weekend FWLT, RIMM, CTSH and ORLY were flag support bounce opportunities. You may have also noticed all last week during the pull back I left the three month chart targets under the Index Commentary. If you were paying attention on Monday morning you should have been prepared to have a great day in the market.
At the Open on Monday
SPY – large white candle support bounce
KOL – large white candle confirms inverted hammer
FAS – support bounce large white candle
STT – bullish engulfing
ZION – large white candle break high of low day
EBAY – large white candle resistance breakout new high close
ADBE – white candle break high of low day
WYNN – white candle inside day
SCHN – large white candle break high of low day
SNDA – doji
JNPR – white candle break high of low day
CTV – white candle support bounce
BBT – white candle confirms hammer
OSG – white candle breaks high of low day
EL – white candle breaks high of low day
ICE – white candle new high close
WHR – white spinning top confirms inverted hammer
VAR – hammer
RIMM – hanging man
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, DLB, VPRT, CTSH, BAP, CAM, GMCR, ATW, GR, SYNA, EBAY, TRLG, FSLR, HDB, PCP, RIMM, WCG, UYG, HLF, AMX, MHS, FAS, AFAM, K, RBN, ESRX, PCLN, VAR, PCR, PPD, HANS, SWN, FLS, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, JOYG, MON, MUR, PSYS, NTLS, CHL, DECK, MOS, DV, BDX, AXYS, BIIB, BYI, CPLA
Moving Above 30 DMA = 7
AAPL, JOSB, SPWRA, SYNA, URE, WAB, X
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
AMED, ESI
Staying Below 30 DMA
PETS, CBST, GES, WRC, SNA, SNHY, WMT, AMZN, EZPW, GXDX, JW.A, JEC, MCD, PWR, DLTR, USD, DECK, ORCL, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, GILD, GPRO, MYGN, SLGN, BKC, APEI, BLUD
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up
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