Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Support Bounce Tuesday Afternoon...
DJIA + 50.34, +0.60%
SP500 - 0.89, -0.10%
NASDAQ Comp. - 15.32, -0.88%
Russell 2000 - 6.76, -1.35%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 1,651 1,000
Declining 2,080 1,790
Oil $58.85 +$0.35
Gold $923.50 +$10.50
SOX 242.53 -6.33
VIX 31.88 -1.07
The VIX moved down and did NOT confirm the move down in the SPX on Tuesday. From a practical perspective the SPX was flat or unchanged.
Strongest Sectors: XLV +1.63%...XLP +1.19%...XLB +1.00%
Weakest Sectors: XLY -2.12%...XLF -2.12%...XLI -1.08%
Five of nine Sectors moved higher on Tuesday. Healthcare and Consumer Staples, Materials, Utilities and Energy were stronger than SPX -0.10%.
Financial stocks stronger than XLF -2.12% include: CME, ICE, TRV, TROW, ALL, AFL, NTRS, MS, AOC, SCHW, MET, GS, MMC, CB, SPG, STT, JPM and IVX.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK, -0.53% include: MSFT, VZ, DELL, T, IBM, CSCO, ADP and HPQ. Stocks weaker include: AAPL, YHOO, QCOM, GOOG, AMT, AMAT, EMC and MA.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK, XLY
Sideways: XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI
Down Trending: XLU
SPX Key resistance levels:
944 = horizontal
954 = 200 DMA
957 = short term chart target
Key support levels:
904 = weekly S1
891 = 38.2% Fib level
875 = horizontal
The SPX opened slightly higher then sold off from the open to the 896 area and rebounded after two days of pull back. Does this sound familiar? Two days of pull back? Does this sound familiar? If it doesn’t sound familar you haven’t been reading this blog over the past several weeks. If it doesn’t you weren’t reading this blog last night.
I sincerely hope you are not surprised by this. I hope if you are an intermediate term trader that you didn’t give up this afternoon and sell at the low. If you are a short term trader and exited according to your rules I hope you are prepared to reenter according to your rules if prices rise on Wednesday with a follow through on Tuesday’s support bounce.
After a two day pull back look for stock prices to move higher on Wednesday in the market's alternating pattern of one to two thrust days and one to two pause days.
Exchange stocks CME and ICE were strong while bank and other financial stocks were again weak. Financial stocks did bounce off their intraday lows around 1 pm ET and moved higher into the close. Monday and Tuesday's pull back fournd support this afternoon at the 61.8% fibbonaci retracement level of last week's 22% rise.
Other strong stocks included SNDA from our At the Open on Monday list and drug stocks PFE, GSK, AZN, MRK, SGP, JNJ, LLY, ABT and BMY.
Tech stocks also sold off on Tuesday after rising modestly on Monday as sellers took a big bite out of AAPL. XLK made a higher low on Tuesday, so watch for a support bounce on Wednesday.
Which of these charts is a bull flag and which is a hammer?
(click image to enlarge)
Index Commentary
The DJIA…white spinning top did NOT confirm Monday’s bearish harami…fell below and rallied to close above horizontal resistance at 8,405…three month chart target 10,340…volume slightly below average at 334 million shares…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The SPX formed a hammer…3 month chart target of 1,075…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The Nasdaq formed a black candle and found support at its 20 DMA and formed a lower shadow…closed below its 200 DMA…consolidating after reaching short term chart price target of 1,765…3 month chart target of 2,065…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The RUT formed a black candle that did confirm Monday’s bearish harami…had a support bounce near its 20 DMA…appears to be forming a horizontal flag…3 month chart target 606…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA
At the Open on Wednesday
SPY – hammer in horizontal flag
FAS – black spinning top bounce off 20 DMA
STT – hammer in bull flag
WYNN – black candle in horizontal flag
KOL – hammer in horizontal flag
SCHN – hammer/bullish harami
EBAY – black spinning top in pennant above 200 DMA
SNDA – white candle support bounce
ZION – black confirm bearish harami two day bull flag
ADBE – black spinning top in bull flag
JNPR – white spinning top in bull flag
CTV – black spinning top in bull flag
BBT – large black candle in bull flag
OSG – hammer in bull flag
EL – black spinning top in bull flag
Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, DLB, VPRT, AAPL, CTSH, AXYS, BAP, CAM, GMCR, ATW, GR, SYNA, EBAY, GES, SNA, WRC, HDB, PCP, UYG, FSLR, WCG, RIMM, X, BYI, CBST, HLF, AMX, MHS, WAB, FAS, AFAM, JW.A, K, RBN, ESRX, PCLN, URE, VAR, PCR, PPD, HANS, SWN, FLS, SNHY, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, AMED, JOYG, MON, MUR, PSYS, SPWRA, NTLS, CHL, DECK, MOS, GXDX, CBST, DV, PETS
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
CPLA, WMT
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
AMZN, JOSB, EZPW
Staying Below 30 DMA
JEC, MCD, PWR, DLTR, USD, DECK, ORCL, SYNA, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, GILD, GPRO, BDX, CBST, MYGN, SLGN, BIIB, BKC, APEI, BLUD, ESI
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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1 comment:
ones on left are hammer ones on right bull flag for me
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