Thursday, May 14, 2009
Bullish Harami Thursday...
DJIA + 46.43, +0.56%
SP500 + 9.15, +1.04%
NASDAQ Comp. + 25.02, +1.50%
Russell 2000 + 8.89, +1.88%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,653 1,857
Declining 1,048 866
Oil $58.62 +$0.60
Gold $928.00 +$2.50
SOX 244.38 +7.58
VIX 31.37 +2.28
The VIX moved down and did confirm the move up in the SPX on Thursday. This is the lowest close since September 16, 2008.
Strongest Sectors: XLF +3.34%...XLK +1.08%...XLB +0.86%
Weakest Sectors: XLU -0.08%...XLV +0.12%...XLY +0.13%
Eight of nine Sectors moved higher on Thursday. Financials and Technology rose more than the SPX +1.05%.
Financial stocks again was the strongest sector rising +3.34%. Financial stocks stronger than XLF: AFL, STT, PRU, WFC, RF, MET, MS NTRS, KEY, JPM ICE, ALL, C, SPG, CME, IVZ, GS and
ETF’s UYG and FAS.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK, +1.08% include: GLW, EBAY, ADBE, AMT, AAPL, TXN, INTC, ORCL, HPQ, YHOO, MSFT, QCOM and MA.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK
Sideways: XLY, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI
Down Trending: XLU
SPX Key resistance levels:
944 = horizontal
954 = 200 DMA
957 = short term chart target
Key support levels:
904 = weekly S1
891 = 38.2% Fib level
875 = horizontal
The SPX found support at the 882 level and rose 9 points on Thursday after falling 48 points through Wednesday from Friday’s high. High priced financials CME, GS and ICE led financial stocks higher.
Friday is May options expiration which can sometimes be more volatile as option positions get resolved and closed.
Look for a break of the high of the low day as many stocks are set up for a support bounce follow through. Watch key support levels on Friday if the support bounce does not follow through to the up side.
Index Commentary
The DJIA…bullish harami…stayed below horizontal resistance at 8,405…three month chart target 10,340…volume slightly below average at 323 million shares…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The SPX formed a bullish harami…3 month chart target of 1,075…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The Nasdaq formed a bullish harami bounced off its 30 DMA and horizontal support level of 1,665…it is below its 20 and 200 DMA…3 month chart target of 2,065…closed above its 30 and 50 DMA.
The RUT formed a bullish harami that closed below its 20 DMA…3 month chart target 606…closed above its 30 and 50 DMA
At the Open on Friday
SPY –bullish harami
KOL – white spinning top
FAS – piercing line
STT – bullish engulfing
ZION – bullish harami in bull flag
EBAY – large white candle stays above gap support at 200 DMA
ADBE – large white candle bullish harami
WYNN - hammer
SCHN – white spinning top
SNDA – hammer/bullish harami
JNPR – white candle in bull flag above gap support
CTV – large white candle closes at high of low day
BBT – hammer breaks high of low day
OSG – bullish harami in bull flag
EL – doji
ICE – white spinning top
WHR – bullish harami
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, DLB, VPRT, CTSH, BAP, CAM, GMCR, ATW, GR, SYNA, EBAY, TRLG, FSLR, HDB, PCP, RIMM, WCG, UYG, HLF, AMX, MHS, WAB, FAS, AFAM, K, RBN, ESRX, PCLN, VAR, PCR, PPD, HANS, SWN, FLS, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, AMED, JOYG, MON, MUR, PSYS, NTLS, CHL, DECK, MOS, DV, PETS, BDX
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
AXYS, BIIB, BYI, ESI, SYNA, X
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, CBST, CPLA, GES, WRC, SNA, SNHY, SPWRA, WMT, URE, AMZN, EZPW, GXDX, JOSB, JW.A, JEC, MCD, PWR, DLTR, USD, DECK, ORCL, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, GILD, GPRO, MYGN, SLGN, BKC, APEI, BLUD
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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