DJIA - 52.81, -0.62%
SP500 - 4.66, -0.51%
NASDAQ Comp. - 6.70, -0.39%
Russell 2000 - 3.91, -0.79%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,020 1,276
Declining 1,715 1,464
Oil $62.04 +$1.94
Gold $937.40 +$10.70
SOX 256.99 +0.66
VIX 28.80 +0.23
The VIX moved up and did confirm the move down in the SPX on Wednesday.
Strongest Sectors: XLB +0.45%...XLV +0.39%...XLE +0.34%
Weakest Sectors: XLF -2.66%...XLU -1.82%...XLY -1.08%
Five of nine Sectors moved higher on Wednesday. Materials, Healthcare, Energy, Consumer Staples and Industrials were stronger than the SPX -0.51%.
XLF was again the weakest sector. Financial stocks weaker than XLF: RF, ICE, STT, WFC, BK, ZION, JPM, GS, MET, AXP, MS, PRU, NTRS, PNC, ALL and ETF’s UYG and FAS.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK -1.04% include: GLW, TXN, MA, BZ, QCOM, MSFT, ORCL, GOOG, INTC, AMT, ADBE and EBAY.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK
Sideways: XLY, XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI
Down Trending: XLU
SPX Key resistance levels:
902 = Weekly R1
930 = horizontal
945 = 200 DMA
Key support levels:
891 = 38.2% Fib level
879 = 50% Fib level, 30 DMA
866 = 61.8% Fib level
Stocks traded to higher highs during the first hour of trading on Wednesday and then reversed to finish the day lower. The SPX rose to 924 within six points of horizontal resistance before reversing. The SPX hit 930 on May 8. Technicians should watch carefully going into Thursday as it is today’s could be a second top in a potential double top.
Steel stocks SCHN, X, ATI, AKS and STLD moved higher on Wednesday but formed shooting stars for the most part..
Solar stocks FSLR, SPWRA, TSL and LDK all had strong gains on Wednesday. We alerted you to both of these groups last night also including charts last night and this morning.
Since Wednesday is the high day it is also another Yellow Alert. Watch for the break of the low of the high day especially if you are a short term trader. Because the indices had bearish candle patterns in the area of horizontal resistance (potential double top), intermediate term traders would be wise to consider taking protective action if markets begin to break support.
Look at these charts...
(click image to enlarge)
Index Commentary - Yellow Alert
The DJIA formed a black shooting star that traded above Monday’s S1 level and below Tuesday’s low…closed above horizontal resistance at 8,405…three month chart target 10,340…volume well above average at 468 million shares…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The SPX formed a black shooting star that traded above Monday’s S1 level and below Tuesday’s low…3 month chart target of 1,075…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The Nasdaq formed a dark cloud cover that was within a half a point of being a bearish engulfing pattern…closed above Tuesday’s low…3 month chart target of 2,065…closed above its 20, 30, 50 and 200 DMA.
The RUT formed a black shooting star that traded above Monday’s S1 level and just above Tuesday’s low….3 month chart target 606…closed at its 20 DMA and above its 30 and 50 DMA.
At the Open on Wednesday
SPY – bearish engulfing
KOL – black shooting star
FAS – bearish engulfing
URE – bearish engulfing
USD – black shooting star
STT – bearish engulfing
ZION – black candle pullback to 20 DMA
EBAY – black shooting star
ADBE – black shooting star at 200 DMA
WYNN – black spinning at 30 DMA
SCHN –white shooting star
STLD – white shooting star
JNPR – black shooting star
CTV – black spinning top near resistance
OSG – black shooting star
EL – black shooting star
WHR – black shooting star
RIMM – white spinning top
Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, DLB, VPRT, CTSH, BAP, CAM, GMCR, ATW, GR, SYNA, EBAY, TRLG, FSLR, HDB, PCP, RIMM, WCG, UYG, HLF, AMX, MHS, FAS, AFAM, K, RBN, ESRX, PCLN, VAR, PCR, PPD, HANS, SWN, FLS, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, JOYG, MON, MUR, PSYS, CHL, DECK, MOS, DV, AXYS, BIIB, BYI, CPLA, AAPL, SPWRA, SYNA, WAB, X, ESI, USD
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
MCD, CBST, BDX
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
URE, NTLS, JOSB
Staying Below 30 DMA
AMED, PETS, GES, WRC, SNA, SNHY, WMT, AMZN, EZPW, GXDX, JW.A, JEC, PWR, DLTR, DECK, ORCL, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, GILD, GPRO, MYGN, SLGN, BKC, APEI, BLUD
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
3 comments:
Thank you Dave for all you do and your continued commitment to this blog.
I follow it daily and I find it to be most insightful.
Peggy
Peggy,
You're welcome...there are still improvements that are coming...so stayed as it gets even better!
Dave
I second what Peggy says! Thanks Dave. I struggle most, now, with my exits. I can let a stock go to my stop but I know that may not always be the most ideal exit. Anything you post in your blog or talk about on the Th AIT webex on this topic would be most helpful! I understand the short term exits just fine - break below the low of the high day - but most of my trades are intermediate term now so that doesn't really apply. I suppose it's just a break below the prior low or a moving average. But I've seen the area of the prior low tested/broken and the trend continue. I guess if/when I do exit, it's just important to have my reentry ready! Thanks again for all your mentoring.
Steve
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