Monday, May 11, 2009
Bearish Harami Monday...
DJIA - 155.88, -1.82%
SP500 - 19.99, -2.15%
NASDAQ Comp. - 7.76, -0.45%
Russell 2000 - 9.88, -1.93%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 1,077 1,125
Declining 2,651 1,668
Oil $58.50 -$.13
Gold $913.00 -$1.40
SOX 248.86 -0.79
VIX 32.87 +0.82
The VIX moved up and did confirm the move down in the SPX on Monday.
Strongest Sectors: XLK +0.29%...XLU -0.44%...XLP -0.48%
Weakest Sectors: XLF -5.84%...XLE -3.05%...XLI -2.98%
Eight of nine Sectors moved lower on Monday. Technology, Utilities, Consumer Staples, Materials, Health Care and Consumer Discretionary were stronger than SPX -2.15%. Financials, Energy and Industrials, last week’s winners, were Monday’s biggest losers.
Financial stocks weaker than XLF -5.84% include: PRU, PANC, STT, AFL, USB, KEY, ZION, RF, MET, BAC, AXP, BK, JPM, MS, TROW, IVZ, WFC and ETF’S UYG and FAS.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK, +0.29% include: SYMC, ADBE, YHOO, DELL, IBM, ORCL, HPQ, INTC, T, AMT, QCOM and AAPL. Stocks weaker include: GLW, EMC and MA.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK, XLY
Sideways: XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI
Down Trending: XLU
After Friday's thrust day, stocks again had a pause day. Tomorrow can be a second pause day or rotate to a thrust day once again. Many stocks formed a high day Thursday or Friday and are still above the low of the high day. That puts us on Yellow Alert again for short term traders looking for a break of the low of the high day.
Trading rotated out of financials and into tech stocks on Monday as all four major indices finished lower. The SPX, DJIA and RUT each formed a bearish harami candle pattern. The DJIA could also be viewed as tweezers top candle pattern.
The SPX stayed above key support levels:
904 = weekly S1
891 = 38.2% Fib level
875 = horizontal
Tech stocks that pulled back from their highs finished slighty higher or lower for the day. Look at MSFT, AAPL, CSCO, GOOG, ORCL, INTC, QCOM, RIMM, AMZN and EBAY, they had a total net change of $1.18. That's for all ten stocks, six were up and four were down.
Index Commentary - Yellow Alert
The DJIA…bearish harami, tweezers top…again closed above horizontal resistance at 8,405…three month chart target 10,340…volume slightly below average at 332 million shares…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The SPX…bearish harami…3 month chart target of 1,075…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The Nasdaq formed a white spinning top above Thursday’s low…below its 200 DMA…consolidating after reaching short term chart price target of 1,765…3 month chart target of 2,065…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The RUT formed a bearish harami…3 month chart target 606…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA
Can you tell the difference between a Bullish Harami, Bullish Engulfing and a Piercing Line pattern?
(click image to enlarge)
At the Open on Tuesday
SPY – black spinning top in horizontal flag
FAS – black spinning top in pennant
STT – black candle at low of high day
HANS – white candle…resistance break…new high close
WYNN – white candle confirm bullish harami
KOL – shooting star in horizontal flag
SCHN – black spinning top close below of the high day
EBAY – white spinning top in pennant above 200 DMA
ISRG – white spinning top above horizontal break out
SNDA – bullish engulfing
ZION – bearish harami
LEAP – white spinning top
ADBE – bullish engulfing in bull flag
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, DLB, VPRT, AAPL, CTSH, AXYS, BAP, CAM, GMCR, JOSB, ATW, GR, SYNA, EBAY, GES, SNA, WRC, HDB, PCP, UYG, FSLR, WCG, RIMM, X, BYI, CBST, HLF, AMX, MHS, WAB, FAS, AFAM, JW.A, K, RBN, ESRX, PCLN, URE, VAR, PCR, PPD, HANS, SWN, FLS, SNHY, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, AMED, EZPW, JOYG, MON, MUR, PSYS, SPWRA, NTLS, CHL, DECK, MOS, GXDX
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
AMZN, DV, PETS
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
JEC, MCD, PWR
Staying Below 30 DMA
DLTR, USD, DECK, ORCL, SYNA, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, CPLA, GILD, GPRO, BDX, CBST, MYGN, SLGN, BIIB, WMT, BKC, APEI, BLUD, ESI
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral
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4 comments:
Hi Dave!
Just finsihed with your advanced tech capstone. Thank you for your commentary. We love everything that you do, so much--
See you in VC tomorrow morning!
PS
So glad that your girl is alright..
Hi Dave,
I'd have to say the two tops stocks are bullish engulfing. Bottom left stock is a piercing line pattern and the bottom right stock GME a bullish harami.
Thanks for your insight and looking forward to additional commentary.
Toni
Dave,
If you get a chance look at the title of the Market Cast for
May 11, 2009. Jason and Shay
Sell in May and Go Away!
Jim
Jim,
What can I say?
Dave
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