Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Bullish Engulfing Tuesday...Trend Wins Again...
DJIA + 196.17, +2.27%
SP500 + 23.33, +2.63%
NASDAQ Comp. + 58.42, +3.45%
Russell 2000 + 22.69, +4.75%
Exchange NYSE NASD
Advancing 2,508 2,124
Declining 476 641
Oil $62.45 +$0.78
Gold $953.30 -$5.60
SOX 259.82 +9.36
VIX 30.62 -2.01
The VIX moved down and did confirm the move up in the SPX on Tuesday.
Strongest Sectors: XLI +3.64%...XLY +3.37%...XLF +3.26%
Weakest Sectors: XLV +0.91%...XLP +1.26%...XLE +2.12%
All nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday. Industrials, Consumer Discretionary, Financials and Utilities were stronger than the SPX +2.63%.
Financial stocks stronger than XLF +3.26%: ZION, BK, USB, JPM, SPG, IVZ, AFL, NTRS, WFC, PNC, AXP, TROW, SCHW, GS, CME, STT, CB and ETFs UYG and FAS.
Leading tech stocks stronger than XLK +2.60% include: AAPL, ADBE, QCOM, GLW, EMC, T, CSCO, AMT, IBM, MSFT, INTC, VZ, ADP, GOOG, TXN and DELL.
Sector Watch
Up Trending:
Horizontal Breakout: XLB, XLK
Sideways: XLE, XLV, XLF, XLP, XLI, XLY
Down Trending: XLU
SPX Key resistance levels:
902 = Weekly R1
924 = horizontal
935 = 200 DMA
Key support levels:
899 = Tuesday’s S1
891 = 38.2% Fib level
875 = horizontal
866 = 61.8% Fib level
The markets opened after Memorial Day with strong buying. DJIA volume jumped from 244 million on Friday to 314 million on Tuesday. Many stocks and indices formed bullish engulfing or large white candles today. The SPX broke through the 902 resistance today leaving the 925 to 935 area as the next major resistance area. This has been the resistance area of the past three weeks.
On Friday in the Weekly Wrap webcast Dave gave 40 to 45 points to the upside as the probable range for this week if the market bounced at support. The SPX achieved half of that today
Gold prices moved down on Tuesday. Gold stocks GDX, GLD and AEM moved lower while NEM, GOLD and GG moved higher.
Steel stocks SCHN, AKS, ATI, X and STLD rose more than the broad market on Tuesday.
While we know that technical analysis is based on probabilities and not certainties, you may have noticed that even last week as the market was pulling back that we continued to list the three months price target to the upside on all four indices. We believe in staying focused on the higher probability until the chart signals tell us the high probabilities are failing.
Index Commentary
The DJIA formed a bullish engulfing pattern confirming Friday’s inverted hammer … three month chart target 10,340…volume was 314 million shares…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The SPX formed a large white candle outside day confirming Friday’s inverted hammer…3 month chart target of 1,075…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA.
The Nasdaq formed a bullish engulfing pattern…3 month chart target of 2,065…closed above its 20, 30 50 and 200 DMA.
The RUT formed a bullish engulfing pattern….3 month chart target 606…closed above its 20, 30 and 50 DMA
At the Open on Tuesday
SPY – bullish engulfing
KOL – bullish engulfing
SHLD – piercing line
ADBE – large white candle new high close
STLD – large white candle new high close
CTV – shooting star
EBAY – white candle
EL – white candle confirms bullish harami
JOYG – large white candle new high close
USD – bullish engulfing
JNPR – bullish engulfing
SCHN – bullish engulfing
STT – bullish engulfing
FAS – bullish engulfing
URE – bullish engulfing
ZION – large white candle support bounce
OSG – spinning top
LEAP – bullish engulfing new high close
WAB – piercing line
Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Leading Stocks
Holding Above 30 DMA
BIDU, CLB, ICE, VPRT, CTSH, BAP, CAM, GMCR, ATW, GR, EBAY, TRLG, FSLR, HDB, PCP, RIMM, WCG, UYG, HLF, AMX, MHS, K, PCLN, VAR, PCR, PPD, SWN, FLS, TDG, NIHD, RCI, STRA, ACN, JOYG, MUR, PSYS, CHL, MOS, DV, AXYS, BIIB, BYI, CPLA, SPWRA, SYNA, X, MCD, BDX, APEI, CBST
Moving Above 30 DMA = 15
AAPL, AFAM, DLB, ESI, ESRX, FAS, GES, HANS, JOSB, ORCL, RBN, SNA, URE, USD, WRC
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
MON
Staying Below 30 DMA
WAB, NTLS, AMED, PETS, SNHY, WMT, AMZN, EZPW, GXDX, JW.A, JEC, PWR, DLTR, DECK, ALGT, JCOM, NFLX, GME, GILD, GPRO, MYGN, SLGN, BKC, BLUD
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Neutral
Short Term Market Trend: Up
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