Six of nine
sectors
moved higher on Wednesday…XLK, XLF and XLI were the strongest sectors…while
XLE was the weakest sector.
Breadth weakened
as
advancers led decliners 1.86 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.84
to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
Friday – strengthened,
advancers led
Thursday - mixed
SPY up .99 at 184.66 volume 91.5 million shares
VIX down .01 at 12.27…
TNX up .15 at 28.84…
TLT down .11 at 104.34...
XLF up .27 at 22.15 volume 61.5
million shares, above average volume
AAPL up 10.97 at 557.36 volume 13.8 million shares, above
average volume
FB down .14 at 57.60…volume 33.6 million shares, below average volume
Technical
Commentary:
QQQ + 0.82%,
IWM + 0.75%, DIA + 0.69%, SPY + 0.54%.
IWM and QQQ make new high close while SPY closes within
3 cents of all-time high. BAC helped
lift financial stocks which added momentum to the broad market.
Oil prices
rose USO +0.73, +2.21% on Wednesday and airline stocks DAL -0.51, -1.59%, ALK -0.65,
-0.82%, UAL -0.25, -0.53% pulled back.
Social
media stocks were led
by TWTR +5.77%, P +2.70%, ANGI +1.66%, and Z +1.19%. Solar stocks
still had sizzle with CSIQ +5.80%, SCTY +4.50%, TSL +2.72%, AEIS
+2.61%, FSLR +1.84%,
YGE +1.74%, SUNE +0.97%.
JPM +1.75,
+3.03% and WFC
+0.81, +1.78%
which had neutral reactions after reporting earnings on Tuesday bounced
along with many financial stocks after BAC +0.28,
+2.27% gapped up after reporting before
the open on Wednesday.
LLTC +0.95,
+2.10% which gained
+0.36, +0.80%
in after-hours on Tuesday extended gains from its positive earnings
report.
CREE +0.91,
+1.44% gained for
the second day after selling off Monday following an analyst downgrade. As often occurs, the downgrade was a net one
day negative impact.
The intermediate-term trend is still
up, while the short-term trend is neutral.
Trade with the trend, move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’ It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 184.69, 186.06, 186.90…
QQQ = 87.79, 88.74…
IWM = 115.98, 116.70, 118.54…
Q4 earnings season is underway.
Monday – WEN
Tuesday – JPM, LLTC, WFC
Wednesday – BAC, CSX,
FAST
Thursday – AXP, COF, C,
GS, INTC, SWKS, UNH
Friday – GE, MS, SLB,
STI
Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BAC,
LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL
Negative Reactions – FAST,
AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN,
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – FDO, AA,
The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up above 80.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: ESI,
F, FAS, LNKD, MFRM, QIHU, SCTY, YOKU, FB, GILD, GOOG, GRMN, YHOO
Diagonal Breakout:
Bull Flag: AAL, ANGI, BBRY, BX, CMG, DDD, GLD, NTES, SINA,
SOHU, SPWR, AMZN, BRCM, DISH, GMCR, MNST, MU, SNDK, TRIP,
Potential Bullish
Divergence: GOGO, NKE,
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: ANR, CLF,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: IWM, QQQ, ADSK, AVGO, A, ATI, CRM, CSIQ, GLW,
JNPR, P, RCL, STI, SWI, SWKS, VRSN, CMCSA, CTSH, DTV, ESRX, FFIV, STX, WDC,
WYNN,
Gap Up: BAC,
Gap Down: XONE, FAST,
H Breakout: IWM, QQQ, CRM, CSIQ, ADBE, AKAM, CMCSA, NTAP, PCLN, TSLA, TXN,
Diagonal Breakout: F,
Breakout Test:
Bounce: SPY, ATI, C, CNX, CREE, DRYS, FAS, GS,
IBM, LVS, MCP, MFRM, RAX, SCTY, SFUN, TSL, TWTR, V, VECO, Z, ZION, AAPL, DTV, QCOM,
MACD Divergence
Bounce: FSLR, MSFT,
Bear Flag:
Support Break:
______________________
69 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher on Wednesday
and one was unchanged.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NTAP, CTXS, AKAM,
SYMC, FFIV, AVGO, XLNX, CHRW, MSFT, CMCSA
Lagging NDX stocks included: FAST, REGN, NFLX,
ISRG, MYL, GMCR, MU, BIDU, CELG, CHTR
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday
included: MFRM, DRYS, MCP, CSIQ, TWTR, RAX, CNX, SCTY, WLT, CRM, SWI,
FAS, SSYS, QIHU, BBRY, ANR, TSL, VECO, P, BAC, ATI
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: XONE, GRPN
Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 72
CTSH,
FISV, WDC, GOOG, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, YHOO, MNST, DISH, SIAL,
CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, STX, DTV, BRCM, WYNN, FB, INTC, AVGO, EQIX, ORLY, ADBE,
AKAM, VIAB, CA, PCAR, CHKP, FFIV, XLNX, VRTX, SNDK, CTRX, KRFT, AMAT, CSCO,
SBAC, CHTR, HSIC, SIRI, AMGN, ISRG, MYL, MU, TRIP, BIIB, CHRW, EXPD, ADI, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, CTXS, EBAY, GILD, INTU,
KLAC, MXIM, NVDA, NXPI, QCOM, REGN, SRCL, TSLA, TXN, VIP, VOD
Moving Above 30 DMA =
8
AAPL, CERN, GRMN, LINTA, NTAP, PCLN, SYMC, TSCO
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
BIDU, CELG, FAST
Staying Below 30 DMA
ATVI, PAYX, ROST, DLTR, BBBY, SPLS, FOXA, MAT, DISCA, WFM, VRSK, NFLX, MSFT,
COST, SBUX, LMCA, GOLD
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
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