Eight out of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLV,
XLY and XLE were the strongest
sectors…while XLU was the weakest
sector.
Breadth weakened
slightly as advancers led decliners…1.16 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.07 to
1 on the NASDAQ.
Thursday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Wednesday – Closed Christmas
Tuesday – weakened,
decliners led
Monday – strengthened,
advancers led
Friday – strengthened,
advancers led
SPY up .92 at 183.85 volume 63.2 million shares
VIX down .15 at 12.33…
TNX up .07 at 29.90…highest close since June 2011
TLT down .40 at 102.10...
XLF up .05 at 21.80 volume 14.9 million
shares
AAPL down 3.77 at 563.90 volume 7.2 million shares
FB down .23 at 57.73…volume 55 million shares
Technical
Commentary:
IWM +0.01%,
QQQ + 0.33%, SPY + 0.51%, DIA + 0.80%.
The
positive push behind today’s trading…extending their record run was the weekly
jobless claims which reported that jobless claims fell 42,000…the biggest drop
in 13 months. Investors reacted with the DJIA surging 122.33 points to mark its 50th
record close this year closing at 16,479.88. The SP& 500 gained 8.70 points to close at 1,842.02 setting a
record for the 44th time this year.
Many
stocks closed at record highs including…SPY, CMCSA, CTSH, ESRX, DDD, INTC, WYNN,
ATI, BX, LVS, TPX, TWTR, and V.
DDD closed a record high
gain 6.96% gaining 5.99 to close at 92.06.
Although MFRM did not set a record close today it did gain 2.46 or 5.85% and is close to a horizontal breakout of 46.85 made in early July of
this year.
Take this
time to evaluate your 2013 trading performance and identify specific
improvements that you can make for 2014.
Continue to follow
your rules.
Albert Einstein: “Insanity: doing the same thing over and over
again expecting different results.”
Remember it is big money
that creates and sustains the trend. As Granville wrote,
“technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the
footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.
The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’ It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly,
seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
Short-term
up trend chart targets:
Chart Targets:
SPY = 183.37, 185.02…
QQQ = 87.79, 88.74…
IWM = 117.15, 119.00…
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – LEN, BBRY, RHT, WAG,
ORCL, AVGO, MFRM, SPLK, MRVL, GMCR, JCP, LZB, JKS,
BRCD, TSN, YOKU, SINA, NTAP, SLXP, PCLN, NVDA, GRPN, AWAY,
PRU, TPX, TSO, CTSH, FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI,
ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT,
EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, JCI, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN,
MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL,
ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI,
GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC,
JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA
Negative Reactions – ROST, GME, BBY,
CPB, JEC, TSL, CRM, CSCO, RAX, MNST, QCOM, SCTY, IPGP,
AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, Z, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, GRMN, JDSU, OSK, CNW,
ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS,
VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, SOHU, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP,
EW, MRK, RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL,
ESRX, EMN, FIO, SIRI, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY,
CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS,
UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST
The Market Forecast Green Line is above 80 and pointed up.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: AMAT,
AMZN, DTV, FFIV, GILD, MAT, NVDA, QCOM, SYMC, TXN, C, CIEN, CMG, DDD, DNKN, GLW,
IBM, JNPR, MFRM, SCTY, Z,
Diagonal Breakout: FAST,
TSLA, FSLR, GOGO, NKE, UAL,
Bull Flag: NFLX, A,
Potential Bullish
Divergence:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support:
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: CMCSA, CTSH, ESRX, INTC, WYNN, ATI, BX, LVS, SPY, TPX, TWTR, V,
Gap Up: TBT,
Gap Down:
H Breakout: YNDX,
Diagonal Breakout:
Breakout Test:
Bounce:
MACD Divergence
Bounce:
Bear Flag:
Support Break:
______________________
70 out of 100 NDX
stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Thursday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSLA, AMGN, FAST,
ALXN, AMZN, GMCR, MAT, BBBY, REGN, INTC, CELG
Lagging NDX stocks included: EBAY, NVDA, AKAM,
BIDU, AAPL, ADSK, MXIM, CTRX, WFM, ATVI, YHOO, FB
Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday
included: DDD, MFRM, GOGO, TWTR, XONE, SSYS, YNDX, JCP, YOKU, SCTY
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: BBRY, ANGI, SOHU, SFUN
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 80
CTSH,
AAPL, FISV, INTU, WDC, GOOG, AMZN, ILMN, LLTC, MU, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, ESRX,
ALXN, PCLN, MDLZ, MNST, YHOO, QCOM, DISH, SIAL, CELG, BIIB, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR,
DTV, STX, BIDU, BRCM, WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, TSLA, ORLY, ADBE, AKAM, EBAY,
VIAB, VRSK, CA, CHKP, FFIV, LINTA, PCAR, VOD, TSCO, SNDK, VRTX, XLNX, ADP,
ATVI, CTXS, GILD, PAYX, WFM, ADI, CTRX, DISCA, KRFT, FOXA, NXP, AMAT, EXPD,
KLAC, MAT, NVDA, SPLS, TXN, VIP, ALTR,
BBBY, CSCO, HSIC, SYMC, SBAC, CHTR
Moving Above 30 DMA = 4
AMGN, DLTR, FAST, MYL
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0
Staying Below 30 DMA
NTAP, GRMN, MSFT, CERN, SRCL, TRIP, COST, SBUX, LMCA, LMCA, SIRI, REGN,
ISRG, ROST, GOLD, CHRW, MXIM
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
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