Monday, December 9, 2013

Stocks Advance...Add To Friday's Gains...As S&P 500 Closes At Record High...ANR Up 14.61%...SYY Bounces Up 9.65%...TWTR Hits Record High...

Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLB, XLF and XLP were the strongest sectors…while XLU was the weakest sector. 

Breadth weakened slightlyadvancers led decliners1.01 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.44 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led advancers.

Monday - mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – mixed, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened slightly, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliners led

SPY up .46 at 181.40 volume 70.1 million shares
VIX down .30 at 13.49…
TNX down .26 at 28.57…
TLT up .24 at 103.16...
XLF up .09 at 21.48 volume 22.1 million shares
AAPL up 6.41 at 566.43 volume 11.4 million shares
FB up .90 at 47.94…volume 36 million shares


Technical Commentary: 
QQQ + 0.41%, SPY +0.25%, DIA +0.04%, IWM – 0.03%.

Stocks rose higher on Monday’s session adding to Friday’s gains with the S&P 500 closing at a new high to close at 1,808.36 or up 3.28% with SYY leading the pack with a large gap and bounce closing up 3.31 up 9.65% after news of the company acquiring fellow food-service distributor US Foods.

Also bouncing was ANR which gained .96 or 14.61% on heavy volume of 25.6 million shares.  TWTR closed the day with a gain of 4.29 up 9.32% on volume of 17.3 million shares to close at a record high.


Albert Einstein: “Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results.”

Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”


New short term chart targets:
Chart Targets:
SPY = 182.06, 183.02…Friday’s high 181.75
QQQ = 85.14, 85.77…touched on Friday
IWM = 114.39, 116.10…Friday’s high over 114

Short-term SPY posture is up at horizontal resistance.
Support Levels
ES = 1,797, 1,783, 1,774
SPY = 179.93, 177.98
QQQ = 84.11
IWM = 111.62, 110.88


Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AVGO, MFRM, SPLK, MRVL, GMCR, JCP, LZB, JKS, BRCD, TSN, YOKU, SINA, NTAP, SLXP, PCLN, NVDA, GRPN, AWAY, PRU, TPX, TSO, CTSH, FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI, ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT, EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, JCI, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN, MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL, ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI, GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC, JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA

Negative Reactions – ROST, GME, BBY, CPB, JEC, TSL, CRM, CSCO, RAX, MNST, QCOM, SCTY, IPGP, AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, Z, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, GRMN, JDSU, OSK, CNW, ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS, VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, SOHU, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP, EW, MRK,  RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL, ESRX, EMN, FIO, SIRI, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY, CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS, UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST


The Market Forecast Green Line is below 80 and turned up.   
____________________
Setups 
H Breakout: BRCM, DTV, FB, FFIV, GRMN, MYL, CVX, GE, UTX, XOM, A, FAS, JNPR, SPY,
Diagonal Breakout: ATVI, NTES,  
Bull Flag: NFLX, GOGO,  
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: NVDA,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: ADSK, BIDU, MU, WYNN, LVS,
Gap Up: CELG, MU,
Gap Down:     
H Breakout: LNKD, SWI,    
Diagonal Breakout:    
Breakout Test:
Bounce: ALK, ANR, GRPN,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Bear Flag: 
Support Break: FSLR,
______________________

45 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, WYNN, TSLA, DTV, CELG, FFIV, BIDU, FB, KRFT, EQIX, GILD

Lagging NDX stocks included: NVDA, BIIB, CTSH, STX, AKAM, CERN, VRSK, CTXS, REGN, MDLZ, LINTA, CTRX

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: ANR, TWTR, WLT, GRPN, JCP, SWI, VECO, SWKS, ATI, UNG, Z, UAL, MCP

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: TSL, GOGO, SPWR, SCTY, ZONE, FSLR, KKD, ESI, PWRD, BBRY

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 59
CTSH, VOD, MSFT, AAPL, FISV, INTU, WDC, CHKP, GOOG, ADP, AMZN, MAT, CA, LLTC, TXN, MCHP, MU, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, GILD, MYL, PCLN, MDLZ, MNST, YHOO, QCOM, NTAP, SIAL, CELG, BIIB, CMCSA, CTXS, LBTYA, GMCR, DTV, STX, BIDU, BRCM, WYNN, FB, AVGO, GRMN, INTC, EQIX, ATVI, BBBY, EBAY, FFIV, HSIC, PAYX, PCAR, SPLS, XRAY, VIAB, VRSK, KRFT
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
SNDK, TSLA, VRSK

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
CERN, LINTA, NVDA, ORLY, SRCL, ADI

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADBE, AKAM, COST, KLAC, SBUX, LMCA, SHLD, SIRI, DISCA, REGN,CHTR, FOSL, ISRG, NUAN, ROST, SYMC,AMGN, DLTR, GOLD, SBAC, CHRW, FOXA, CSCO, AMAT, VIP,WFM, CTRX,EXPD, FAST, MXIM, ALTR, XLNX

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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