Monday, December 30, 2013

Broad Markets Pause Near Record Highs Going into 2014...Twitter, Social Media Stocks Lower as Solar Stocks Bounce...

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLY, XLP and XLU were the strongest sectors…while XLE was the weakest sector. 
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers…1.05 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.09 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
 
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – weakened, mixed
Thursday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Wednesday – Closed Christmas
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
 
 
SPY down .03 at 183.82 volume 56.8 million shares
VIX up 1.10 at 13.56…
TNX down .30 at 29.76…
TLT up .70 at 102.51...
XLF down .04 at 21.75 volume 16.1 million shares
 
AAPL down 5.57 at 554.52 volume 9 million shares
FB down 1.73 at 53.71…volume 68.2 million shares
 
Technical Commentary: 
DIA +0.07%, SPY -0.01%, IWM -0.06%, QQQ -0.15%.
 
Stocks for the most part changed little in Monday’s trading session…However… the DJIA did finish the day up 25.88 closing at 16,504.29 and closed the session with another record high…it’s 51st record high in the next to last day of trading of 2013!
 
TWTR continued to decline but is in a bull flag pattern.  TWTR closed down 3.24 or 5.08% closing at 60.51 with a volume of 55.5 million shares.
 
TSL gapped up today gaining .86 or 6.54% on 5.5 million shares to close at 14.01.
 
 
The trend continues higher for the overall market with basic materials, industrial, energy, technology and financial sectors leading the way.  Trade with the trend, move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
 
The economic outlook continues to strengthen heading into 2014.  While the stock market does not go straight up and instead moves in a zig zag manner of higher highs and pull backs to higher lows, currently the weight of the technical evidence suggests trend continuation as 2013 comes to a close.
 
 
Take this time to evaluate your 2013 trading performance and identify specific improvements that you can make for 2014.
 
Albert Einstein: “Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again expecting different results.”
 
Remember it is big money that creates and sustains the trend.  As Granville wrote, “technical analysis is the art of tracking the market, following the footsteps of the ‘smart money’ crowd.  The ‘smart money crowd’ is no mysterious ‘THEY.’  It is simply a collection of people who are reading the market correctly, seeing through the maze, unconfused by this hall of mirrors.”
 
Short-term up trend chart targets:
Chart Targets:
SPY = 183.37, 185.02
QQQ = 87.79, 88.74
IWM = 117.15, 119.00
 
 
Q3 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – LEN, BBRY, RHT, WAG, ORCL, AVGO, MFRM, SPLK, MRVL, GMCR, JCP, LZB, JKS, BRCD, TSN, YOKU, SINA, NTAP, SLXP, PCLN, NVDA, GRPN, AWAY, PRU, TPX, TSO, CTSH, FSLR, TRMB, MDVN, NATI, SPR, ONNN, EXPE, CRR, HAR, GTI, ATML, THOR, TRN, FLT, MCHP, ITT, DICSA, ANR, SWKS, FB, CMCSA, GILD, DWA, LVLT, EA, SEE, SPW, TFX, JCI, X, XRAY, XYL, JLL, PBI, ALR, HUN, ACT, DECK, AMZN, MSFT, FLS, AVY, ALXN, WOOF, COG, BA, CLGX, ESI, EQIX, WLL, TSCO, RRD, PHM, RCL, ALXN, APOL, BCR, NDAQ, NSC, WHR, ILMN, NUS, GNTX, LXK, DD, VFC, CMG, GOOG, BHI, GE, KSU, MS, SLB, STI, LVS, VZ, SNDK, NUE, BTU, AXP, KEY, STLD, URI, USB, INTC, JNJ, SCHW, COST, AA
 
Negative Reactions – ROST, GME, BBY, CPB, JEC, TSL, CRM, CSCO, RAX, MNST, QCOM, SCTY, IPGP, AIG, BRKR, HME, NEM, XLS, Z, NIHD, AVP, WTW, ROVI, GRMN, JDSU, OSK, CNW, ITRI, CTRX, KRFT, GRMN, MYL, DLR, XCO, WU, LNKD, IACI, MSM, INGR, HTS, VRTX, AAPL, PMCS, MWV, SOHU, AGNC, AGCO, PCL, GT, CMI, VSH, ALSN, ROP, EW, MRK,  RYN, RMD, NCR, KBR, FSL, ESRX, EMN, FIO, SIRI, CAM, TKR, SYMC, CVA, CDNS, AKAM, XRX, CRI, ORLY, CAT, NFLX, COH, ZION, WAT, EMC, UTX, TXN, HON, ISRG, GS, UNP, UNH, EBAY, IBM, XLNX, SCSS, SWK, MU, FAST
 
 
The Market Forecast Green Line is above 80.
 
____________________
 
Setups 
H Breakout: DTV, FAST, GILD, NVDA, CIEN, VECO, XONE,
Diagonal Breakout: ANR, CSIQ, QIHU, SINA,
Bull Flag: AMZN, ATVI, EBAY, FB, NFLX, PCLN, YHOO, GRPN, MFRM, STI,
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: 
C- Pattern:
 
Moves
New Highs: CMCSA, CTSH, INTC, MAT, WYNN, TIF, TPX,
Gap Up: TSL,       
Gap Down:     
H Breakout: SYMC, TXN,  
Diagonal Breakout: IBM,
Breakout Test: 
Bounce:   
MACD Divergence Bounce: 
Bear Flag: 
Support Break:  
 
______________________
 
 
68 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.
 
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CTXS, SYMC, MAT, WFM, DISC, STX, SBAC, NVDA, VIAB, SPLS, WYNN
 
Lagging NDX stocks included: FB, GOLD, PCLN, VIP, AMZN, MU, AAPL, LBTYA, EQIX, GOOG, YHOO
 
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: TSL, SPWR, CSQ, MFRM, SCSS
 
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: TWTR, ESI, XONE, P, GRPN, MCP, YOKU
 
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 82
CTSH, AAPL, FISV, INTU, WDC, GOOG, AMZN, ILMN, LLTC, EXPE, NFLX, ADSK, ESRX, ALXN, MDLZ, MNST, YHOO, QCOM, DISH, SIAL, CELG, BIIB, CMCSA, LBTYA, GMCR, DTV, STX, BIDU, BRCM, WYNN, FB, AVGO, INTC, EQIX, TSLA, ORLY, ADBE, AKAM, EBAY, VIAB, VRSK, CA, CHKP, FFIV, LINTA, PCAR, VOD, TSCO, SNDK, VRTX, XLNX, ADP, ATVI, CTXS, GILD, PAYX, ADI, CTRX, DISCA, KRFT, FOXA, NXP, AMAT, EXPD, KLAC, MAT, NVDA, SPLS, TXN, VIP, ALTR, BBBY, CSCO, HSIC, SYMC, SBAC, CHTR, AMGN, FAST, CHRW, ISRG, NTAP
 
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
DLTR, MYL, WFM
 
Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
MU
 
Staying Below 30 DMA
GRMN, MSFT, CERN, SRCL, TRIP, COST, SBUX, LMCA, SIRI, REGN, ROST, GOLD, MXIM
 
Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up
 

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