Thursday, March 21, 2013

SPY, EURO Pull Back To Support...As AAPL, ROST, SSYS, GOLD Rise...


None of the sectors moved higher on Thursday…however XLP, XLU and XLE were the strongest sectors …XBI was the weakest sector…. 

Breadth weakeneddecliners led advancers1.85 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.08 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliner led
Friday – weakened, decliners led



SPY down 1.33 at 154.36...volume 128.6 million shares…
VIX up 1.32 at 13.99…
TNX down .05 at 19.32…
TLT up 1.12 at 117.24…
XLF
down 22 cents at 18.07 volume 57.3 million shares

AAPL up 65 cents at 452.73…volume 13.6 million shares…
FB down 12 cents at`25.74…volume 24.3 million shares…


Technical Commentary:

DIA – 0.64%, QQQ – 1.13%, SPY – 0.85% and IWM – 0.88%, pulled back after Wednesday’s bounce but stayed above Tuesday’s support lows… 

AAPL + 65 cents closed above its 30 dma for the fourth straight day and formed an inverted hammer… The 30 dma which is at the same level of Monday’s S1 continues to act as a short term area of support.  FB  - 12 cents… formed an inverted hammer and closed at Monday’s support low area and its Fib 50% retracement level from its Nov 12 low… is still a setup for a potential C Pattern Entry after a support bounce. 

The Euro was down 90 pips and closed at 1.2853 on Thursday.  Banks in Cyprus are closed until next Tuesday leaving time for alternate bailout plan.


Trade what you see on the chart of your position. The trend is up and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached. As always look for re-entry according to your rules.

The SPY moved lower as TNX was down slightly and TLT Bonds moved higher.
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The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout:  AMGN, NTES, SLM, AL, ANR, ADM, AVX, IM

Diagonal Breakout: ADM, CBOE, CLB, CMCSA, FAST, MGM, BTU, HLF, GNC

Bull Flag: P, ANGI, NVR, CHK, MWV, MOS, CBG, HES, CNW, CRR, CBS, PTEN, CIE, AOL, NAV, ABC, AVGO, CTSH, GILD,  INTU, VIAB,  WDC, MBI, CRM, CIEN, ZION,  ZNGA, DWA, VMW, NFLX, URI, CSTR, VECO, HRB, PMCS, MON, LNKD, CNP, FTNT, SPLK

Potential Bullish Divergence:  FB, SLB, CCL, IPI

Bear Flag: IBM, TXN, KORS, GTI, DSW, QCOM, ULTA, EBAY, MJN, HSP

Break of Support:  EXPD, JOY, A, FL, GRMN, AGU, EXPD, FB, HRS, IPI, SINA, AKAM


Moves
Highlights: NFLX, NTES, TPX, CREE, SSYS, ANGI, Z, BBRY

Gap Up:  AWAY, WSM, PLCM, WAG

Gap DownARG, ORCL, GES, DE, CAH, FDS

Breakout: BBRY, NUAN, DECK, SPWR, Z, TPX, COG, TEX, CORN, UNG, MTW,  MDRX, WPO,  SNDK, PBI, PRGO, STRZA, SHLD, TRIP
 
Bounce: AOL, OGE, ILMN, YHOO, DISH, DISCA, DLTR, GOOG, ICE, LBTYA, MAT, SBUX,  VRTX, ILMN, URI, BBRY, FTI, CHTR, ALXN, XRX, MSFT, AVP,

MACD Divergence Bounce:  RHT, SINA, ROST, EBAY

Bear Flag: DDS, DKS, JCP, CPRT, TFM, DDS, RAX, BTU, MCP, CTL

Support Break: RCL, JDSU, JRCC, KLAC, DDD, CCL, WLT, CLF, FFIV

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16 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  YHOO, BMC, ROST, GOLD, NUAN, EBAY, MAT, PRGO, SIRI

Lagging NDX stocks included:  ORCL, CSCO, FOSL, MU, WDC, ADI, REGN, MXIM, TXN, CHRW, EXPE, FFIV, BRCM

Leading stocks> +2% on Thursday included: FAZ, SSYS, ESI

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  GES, JDSU, CIEN, ANF, TSL, GS, FAS, WDC, A, TIF, CRUS, MOS, TPX, NKE, JNPR, UCO

Stocks to Watch on Friday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 66
VMED, LLTC, DELL, NWSA, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, SYMC,GILD, HSIC, ATVI, CERN, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, ESRX,
MNST, AMGN, DISCA, MU, SBAC, TXN, ADBE, CELG, FISV, INTU, QCOM, MSFT, MYL, SRCL, VRTX, MDLZ, LBTYA, VRSK, SIAL, PCLN, REGN, VIAB, ADSK, ORCL, SBUX, SIRI, BMC, CA, CSCO, MXIM, PCAR, VOD, ALXN, AVGO, BBBY, XLNX, XRAY, SHLD, COST, WDC, BRCM, DTV, LIFE, STX, SPLS,  WYNN, AAPL, COST, LINTA, MNST, CMCSA, NUAN

Moving Above 30 DMA =2
GOLD, ROST                                     

Moving Below 30 DMA = 13
ATVI, CHRW, CSCO, FAST, INTC, MCHP, MXIM, NVDA, ORCL, XRAY, TXN, ADI, WDC                                                                                                                  

Staying Below 30 DMA
CTSH, CTXS, EXPE, FOSL, PCLN, ALTR, AMAT, LLTC, QCOM, AMZN, SIRI, CTRX, EQIX, CHKP, KLAC, ISRG, EBAY, FFIV, NTAP, GRMN, WFM, EXPD, AKAM, BIDU, FB


Ten Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral