Tuesday, March 19, 2013

Markets Await FOMC, Cyprus...Euro Falls...Bull Flags Wait for Bounce...


Three of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLP, XLU and XLV were the strongest sectors …XLE was the weakest sector…. 

Breadth strengthened…decliners led advancers…1.36 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.35 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, decliner led
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down 36 cents at 154.61...volume 167.5 million shares…
VIX up 1.03 at 14.39…
TNX down .48 at 19.08…
TLT up 79 cents at 117.43…
XLF
down 10 cents at 18.16 volume 65 million shares

AAPL down 1.23 at 454.49…volume 18.8 million shares…
FB up 6 cents at`26.55…volume 25.2 million shares…


Technical Commentary:
The SPY gapped lower on the open and recovered half of its loss.  TNX fell as TLT bonds moved higher for the third straight day.  The FOMC meeting will conclude on Wednesday with economic comments to be released at 2 pm ET and a Bernanke press conference at 2:30 pm.  

DIA +0.09%, QQQ -0.19%, SPY -0.23% and IWM -0.42%, and were mixed and formed black candles closing below their opening price. 

AAPL -1.23 pulled back to its 30 DMA and bounced closing up $6 above its low on Tuesday.  FB was up 6 cents and confirmed Monday’s hammer while continuing to form a MACD bullish divergence at support below its 30 DMA.  FB is still a setup for a potential C Pattern Entry after a support bounce

The Euro was down 92 pips and closed at 1.2865 on Tuesday.  The Euro moved lower as the Cyprus parliament voted against proposed tax on bank deposits.  Concerns exists of the potential exit for Cyprus from the Euro.  Banks in Cyprus are closed until Thursday leaving for alternate bailout plan.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. The trend is up and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached. As always look for re-entry according to your rules.

The SPY’s trend continued higher.  Eight of nine sector ETFs including XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY, XLK, XLF, XLI, XLE are positive XLB continued neutral.  Most sectors are in a bull flag pattern.  XLB, XLE, XLF and XLY formed bearish engulfing patterns.


The Market Forecast Green Line is in the upper reversal zone. 

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Setups
Breakout:  SLM, AL, ANR, MGM, ICE, ADM, AVX, CBOE, CLB, IM, NAV

Diagonal Breakout:  CMCSA, EXPD, FAST, JRCC, DECK, SPWR, HLF, GNC

Bull Flag: AVGO, CTSH, DISCA, DLTR, GILD, GOOG, INTU, LBTYA, MAT, SBUX, STX, TXN, VIAB, VRTX, WDC, YHOO, MBI, CRM, CIEN, JDSU, ZION, ILMN, ZNGA, DWA, VMW, NFLX, URI, CSTR, IBM, VECO, BBRY, HRB, PMCS, MON, LNKD, CNP, FTNT, FTI, SPLK, OGE

Potential Bullish Divergence:  FB, SLB, GES, ROST, CCL, IPI, SINA, RHT

Bear Flag: QCOM, ULTA, EBAY, CPRT, MJN, DKS, JCP, DDS, HSP

Break of Support:  JOY, A, FL, GRMN, AGU, EXPD, FB, DNDN, HRS, AOL, IPI, SINA, AKAM, RCL


Moves
Highlights: NFLX, NTES, TPX, CREE, SSYS, ANGI, Z, BBRY

Gap Up:  WAG, ABC

Gap DownCAH, DSW, FDS

Breakout: Z, TPX, COG, TEX, BTU, CORN, UNG, MTW, CBS, PTEN, CRR, MDRX, WPO, HES, CNW, SNDK, PBI, PRGO, STRZA, DE, CBG, SHLD, CHK, MWV, MOS, TRIP
 
Bounce:  NTES, AMGN, NVR, CHTR, ALXN, XRX, MSFT, ANGI, BBRY, P, AVP

MACD Divergence Bounce:  EBAY

Bear Flag: TFM, KORS, DDS, RAX, BTU, MCP, CTL

Support Break:  KLAC, DDD, CCL, WLT, CLF, FFIV

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44 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  MNST, REGN, AMGN, EBAY, VOD, LIFE, VRTX, DELL, YHOO, MU

Lagging NDX stocks included:  FOSL, EXPE, STRZA, STX, ATVI, GRMN, EXPD, CTRX, PCLN, NWSA

Leading stocks> +2% on Tuesday included: FSLR, LDK, UNG, GMCR

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  CLF, JNPR, ANR, JDSU, RAX, GRPN, ANF, UCO, MCP, SLB, ATI, VMW, X, NFLX, AKS, RCL, GS

Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 62
VMED, LLTC, DELL, NWSA, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, SYMC,GILD, HSIC, ATVI, CERN, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, ESRX,
MNST, AMGN, DISCA, MU, SBAC, TXN, ADBE, CELG, FISV, INTU, QCOM, MSFT, MYL, SRCL, VRTX, MDLZ, LBTYA, VRSK, SIAL, PCLN, REGN, VIAB, ADSK, ORCL, SBUX, SIRI, BMC, CA, CSCO, MXIM, PCAR, VOD, ALXN, AVGO, BBBY, XLNX, XRAY, SHLD, COST, WDC, BRCM, DTV, LIFE, STX, SPLS, CHRW, WYNN, AAPL

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
COST, LINTA, MNST

Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
CMCSA, INTC, NVDA                                              

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADI, CTSH, CTXS, EXPE, FOSL, MCHP, PCLN, XRAY, ALTR, AMAT, LLTC, QCOM, AMZN, SIRI, FAST,CTRX, EQIX, CHKP, ROST, KLAC, ISRG, EBAY, FFIV, NTAP, GRMN, WFM, EXPD, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, BIDU, FB

Ten Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

1 comment:

Scott Avery said...

hanks for posting the ten week and short term market trends. It's very helpful.