Monday, March 11, 2013

SPY, DIA, QQQ New High Close...BBRY Soars as AAPL Bounces...


All nine sectors moved higher on Monday again…  XLF, XLB and XLV were the strongest sectors …XLE was the weakest sector…. 

Breadth weakened…advancers still led decliners1.16 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.05 to 1 on the NASDAQ…

Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led

SPY up 59 cents at 156.03...volume 83.7 million shares…
VIX down 1.03 at 11.56
TNX up .65 at 20.56…
TLT up .11 at 114.86…
XLF
up 14 cents at 18.38 volume 49.4 million shares

AAPL up 6.15 at 437.87…volume 16.9 million shares…
FB up 18 cents at`28.14…volume on35.6 million shares…


Technical Commentary:
Financial led stocks higher on Monday.  TNX has risen over the past weak as the dollar remained strong suggesting increased demand for funds through bonds.  The SPY continued higher making another New High Close.

Stock futures primary trade rolled on Friday from March H to June M:  ESH3 to ESM3 

DIA +0.42%, SPY +0.38%, and QQQ +0.29% moved higher and IWM -0.03% lower.  DIA, SPY and QQQ moved to another new high close as AAPL rallied higher.

AAPL +6.15 had it highest close in more than a week above its short-term support.   FB up 18 cents formed a pennant price pattern just below its 30 DMA and is a setup for a potential C Pattern Entry.  On Friday MS reiterated its overweight rating on FB.

BBRY +14.09% after reporting T to launch Z10 on March 22 and to begin pre-sales on March 12

The Euro gained 50 pips and closed at 1.3045 on Monday.

Trade what you see on the chart of your position. The trend is in consolidation and traders should lock in profits when targets are reached. As always look for re-entry according to your rules.

The SPY’s trend continued higher.  Seven of nine sector ETFs including XLP, XLU, XLV, XLY, XLK, XLF, XLI are now positive XLB and XLE continued neutral.


The Market Forecast Green Line is pointed up in the upper reversal zone. 

____________________


Setups
Breakout:  JDSU, AVX, GES, SPLK, UNG, ESRX, SNDK, URI, MON, MDRX, TSCO, CRR, CBOE, CLB, ANR, JRCC, BTU,

Diagonal Breakout:  STX, MNST, MCHP, FAST, GME, SINA,

Bull Flag: WHR, ICE, SLM, QCOM, STZ, PM, CREE, ASNA, CIEN, P,

Potential Bullish Divergence:  EBAY, HRS, ROST, IPI

Gap Up:

Gap Down:

Bear Flag: INT, ACI, BTU, OC, DNDN, A, LIFE, GRMN, DDS, AGU, PETM, HSP

Break of Support:  DKS, DDD


Moves
Highlights: NFLX, NTES, TPX, CREE, SSYS, ANGI, Z, BBRY

Gap Up:  NAV, HRB, TPX, STI

Gap Down:  FL

Breakout: BBRY, POT, DE, LVS, CNX, CBG, WDC, EQIX, SHLD, CHK, BMC, MWV, TW, CSTR, PPO, AVGO, MOS, YELP, TRIP, RF, ANGI, ATVI, STRZA, Z, JPM, CTSH, ORCL, NDSN, VECO, FIVE, HPQ,TXN, ILMN, AIZ, ORLY, TPX, CBS, VMI, CTXS,  AWAY, AMGN, MBI, LNKD, PBI, YELP, AL, COG, HES, DECK, CRM
 
Bounce:  BBRY, CLR, AVP, MJN, SPWR, CNW, MTW, SHLD, NTES, EQIX, TEX, IM, FTNT, AOL, ADM, ZION, PCLN, IBM, PRGO, GNC, ZNGA, NFLX, HLF, BPOP, FAST, PTEN, XRX, FTI, PMCS


MACD Divergence Bounce:  FB

Bear Flag: CLF, WLT, RAX, CCL, CTL, ULTA, EXPD, CORN, NBR, MGM, SLB, SWKS, AKAM

Support Break:  KORS, AKAM, RCL, TFM, FFIV, JCP

____________________


58 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included:  SHLD, STX, BBBY, DTV, MU, SNDK, DELL, AAPL, NTAP, SPLS, WFM, BMC, GILD, BIIB, MXIM, ESRX

Lagging NDX stocks included:  AKAM, INTU, AMGN, YHOO, AMZN, NVDA, CTSH, KLAC, REGN, EBAY, CTRX, CHKP, COST

Leading stocks> +2% on Monday included: BBRY, F, ZAGG, MOS, GMCR, ESI, CSTR

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  LDK, CLF, TSL, ANR, UAL, NFLX, AKS, FAZ

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 78
VMED, ADI, LLTC, DELL, NWSA, AMAT, FAST, MCHP, SNDK, STRZA, ADP, SYMC,GILD, HSIC, ATVI, CERN, GOOG, ORLY, BIIB, MAT, PAYX, PRGO, YHOO, ALTR, DLTR, CTRX, ESRX,
MNST, AMGN, DISCA, MU, SBAC, TXN, ADBE, CELG, CMCSA, FISV, INTU, NVDA, QCOM, MSFT, MYL, SRCL, VRTX, MDLZ, LBTYA, VRSK, SIAL, CTSH, CTXS, PCLN, REGN, VIAB, ADSK, AMZN, INTC, ORCL, SBUX, SIRI, BMC, CA, CSCO, MXIM, PCAR, VOD, ALXN, AVGO, BBBY, XLNX, XRAY, LINTA, SHLD, COST, EQIX, WDC

Moving Above 30 DMA =4
BRCM, DTV, EXPE, FOSL

Moving Below 30 DMA =1
CHKP                                                  

Staying Below 30 DMA
MNST, ROST, KLAC, LIFE, SPLS, ISRG, EBAY, FFIV, NTAP, GRMN, WYNN,  STX, WFM, EXPD, NUAN, AKAM, GOLD, CHRW, BIDU, FB, AAPL

Ten Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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