Monday, August 20, 2012

Stocks Take A Pause...

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLF, XLV, and XLU were the strongest sectors.

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.26 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.43 to 1 on the Nasdaq

Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers     1,315       1,001
Decliners       1,657       1,432

Monday Highlights:
SPY gained 1 cent…closed at 142.98…volume was 78.2 million…

VIX down + .57 at 14.02…
Euro unchanged…
TNX down -.02 at 18.14…
TLT up .25 cents at 121.85…
XLF up +.04 cents at 15.17…

AAPL up +17.04 at 665.15…volume 21.9 million shares
FB up +.96 cents at 21.01volume 101.1 million…

The Market Forecast green line is in upper zone.


Technical Commentary:
The SPY inched to an all-time high again closing at 142.19…

Short-term support at
140.92, 139.80 = SPY
1,403, 1,387 = ES
2,743, 2,700 = NQ

Chart Signals looks for the eleven week up trend to continue and the Euro continues to be an important factor.   Continue to have stops under support and if the SPY does break support protect profits.  The SPY did reach its 141.66 Fib extension 161.8 and the ES its 1,411 Fib extension 161.8 price targets this week. 

Next Chart Targets
SPY = 143.10 S&R Measuring
ES = 1,425.75 S&R Measuring


Setup Chart Patterns
Bull Flag: EXPE, ALTR, ESRX, GRMN, INTC, LRCX, MU, NVDA, RIMM, AKS, CLF, JNPR, SMH, VECO, X

Horizontal or Diagonal Breakout: ADSK, BRCM, CHKP, FFIV, FOSL, GMCR, GOLD, KLAC, NTAP, ATI, CIEN, COH, CREE, CROX, FCX, LVS, RAX, RCL, RVBD, SINA, SLB, SOHU, SWK, SWKS, VMW, ZION, ADP, ALTR, AMZN, AVGO, BBBY, BIDU, BMC, CA, CTXS, FAST, MSFT, SNDK, WFM, WYNN

                                    Monday:  C, AKS, UAL, TSL

Break of Support:  Monday:  VECO, NWSA, AVGO


GAP UP:                    Monday:  LVS

GAP DOWN:             Monday: ZAGG


Bounce:
Friday - ADSK, CIEN
Thursday – BRCM, CHKP, FFIV, FOSL, GMCR, GOLD, KLAC, NTAP, ATI, CLF, COH, CREE, CRM, CROX, FAS, FCX, IBM, ICE, LVS, MOS, RAX, RCL, RVBD, SLB, SOHU, SWK, SWKS, URE, VMW, WDC, AVGO,


22 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: FSLR, DELL, AAPL, CELG, GRMN, EXPE, WCRX, MYL, NFLX, WYNN, TEVA, CHRW, CA, KFT

Lagging NDX stocks included:  SHLD, ADSK, GMCR, AVGO, BIDU, CERN, FFIV, ORLY CTXS, STX, RIMM, FOSL, EA, PCAR, FAST

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: LDK, UAL, FB, AKS, LVS, C

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:  ZAGG, VECO, CROX, JDSU, SWK, COH, SWI, TPX, GRPN, INFA

Stocks to Watch on Tuesday…
Holding Above 30 DMA = 50
MOS, SLB, WDC, UCO, TPX, SWK, GS, JNPR, RVBD, SWI, CIEN, CROX, DHR, HLF, IBM SMH, SWKS, V, VECO, CRUS, X, CREE, C, FAS, FCX, GES, JDSU, NKE, RCL, STI, TBT, TIF, VMW, ATI, BAC, CDE, CRM, SINA, SOHU, F, AKS, DECK, ZION, ANF, INFA, COH, ICE, LVS, URE, GLW

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
DE

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
COH, VECO

Staying Below 30 DMA
LNKD, TSLA, A, CHL, NTES, DE, GRPN, ANR, CLF, DLR, TLT, ZAGG, FAZ, CMG, ESI, UAL, FB, CSTR, LDK, MCP, TSL, HUM


Eleven Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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