Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Stocks Move Up Third Straight Day...FOSL Up 32% After Reporting Better Than Expected Earnings...


Six of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday… XLE, XLB, and XLI were the strongest sectors.


Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.83 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.81 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Exchange      NYSE    NASDAQ
Advancers     1,935       1,597
Decliners       1,055         879

Tuesday Highlights:

SPY + .70 at 140.32 on 109 million shares, a bull flag bounce past T1 a recent new high close, above 30 DMA for the seventh straight day.


TNX up + .70 at 16.28…
VIX up +0.04 at 15.99…
XLF up + 6 cents at 14.94…

AAPL down - 1.63 at 620.91 on 10.3 million shares...
FB down - 1.20 at 20.72 on volume of 36.7 million shares…


The Market Forecast green line is pointed up.

Technical Commentary:
The SPY continues its bull flag climb…closing at a new high of 140.32 and closing with a white candle…continues to move higher towards it flagpole target of 143.88…

FOSL gapped up on earnings report…up 21.98…a whopping 31.49%...volume was 7,000,000…

GMCR closed up 1.83 or 8.54 % on 8.3 million shares…
  

Chart Signals looks for the nine week up trend to continue following Monday’s and Tuesday’s continuation of Friday SPY bounce and breakout. 

Chart Target Insight: 
SPY = 141.66 Fib extension 161.8, 143.10 S&R Measuring
ES = 1,411 Fib extension 161.8, 1,425.75 S&R Measuring


Chart Patterns
Horizontal or Diagonal Breakout: TPX, TIF, GS, RVBD, BECO, CIEN, CROX, X, JDSU, LNKD, CDE, TSLA, STX, SIRI, MVDA, CELF, LIFE, XRAY, EA, BMC, NUAN…New breakouts on Tuesday:  DECK, NTAP, ALTR, FLEX, WYNN

Bull Flag Bounce: SPY, DIA, QQQ, AAPL, ADP, ADSK, AKAM, ALXN, AMZN, BIIB, CELG, COST, DTV, EXPE, GOOG, LLTC, MAT, MCHP, MRVL, NWSA, ORCL, QCOM, VMED, VRSN, CIEN, CROX, CRUS, GS, HLF, IBM, JDSU, NKE, RVBD, SLB, SWK, V, VMW, WDC…

Pennant Breakout: BIDU…New on Tuesday:  CSTR, GLW, HUM, YHOO, AMAT, FFIV, LRCX

GAP Up:  GES…New on Tuesday:  AKS, FOSL, MU

Double Bottom Bounce: IWM, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, ROST, SIAL, BAC, TBT

Setups:

Breakout: C, FAS, LNKD, URE, X,

Bull Flag: AMGN, EBAY, MU, NTAP, PCAR, PNRA, SIRI, SNDK, CHL, GES, SWKS, TPX


Earnings Reaction Week August 6
Stocks Up
CTSH, SOHU

Earnings of Interest Aug 6 - 9
Monday: CTSH, SOHU
Tuesday: ESRX, EXPD, FOSL, PCLN, SIRI
Wednesday: LINTA, MNST, NUAN, NWSA
Thursday: NVDA


83 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday…


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: FOSL, GMCR, FSLR, WCRX, FLEX, AMAT, MRVL, WYNN, EA, FFIV, SHLD, SIRI, NTAP MNST, SBUX, MU

Lagging NDX stocks included:  NUAN, SRCL, CMCSA, AMGN, EXPD, ALXN, VRTX, COST, CTSH, WFM, DTV, GOOG, TEVA, AAPL, FISV, GILD, VRSN


Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday included: TSLA, DECK, TPX, CDE, GES, MCP, CMG, RVBD, TSL, CSTR, SINA, CRM, TIF, ATI, UCO, FCX, AKS, A

Losing stocks < -2.0% on included:  FB, LNKD, URE


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday…

Holding Above 30 DMA = 45
URE, MOS, CHL, SLB, WDC, UCO, TPX, SWK, TIF, DLR, GS, JNPR, RVBD, SWI, CIEN, CROX, CRUS, DHR, HLF, IBM, SMH, SWKS, V, VECO, FCX,  CREE, A, C, DE, FAS, FCX, GES, JDSU, LNKD, NKE, RCL, STI, TBT, VMW, ATI, BAC, CDE, CRM, SINA, SOHU

Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
DECK, F, LVS, NTES, ZION

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
DLTR


Staying Below 30 DMA
ANF, ZAGG, COH, ICE, FAZ, TSLA, CMG, DECK, ESI, UAL, FB, AKS, CSTR, LDK, MCP, CLF, GLW, INFA, NTES, TSL, CDE, HUM, F, GRPN, ANR, LVS


Nine Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
Short Term Market Trend: Up

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