Friday, May 22, 2015

SPX Tests Resistance as Support...XLF Forming Bull Flag...Breakout Setups...

One of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLF, XLK and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLI was the weakest.  Trading volume was light going into the three-day Memorial Day weekend with XLB, XLE, XLF XLK, XLV and XLY had 42% to 50% below average volume.  Markets are closed Monday.


Thank you to all who serve or have served defending our country, we remember you this Memorial Day.
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.76 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.36 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .51 at 212.99 on 57.4 million shares, 32% below average volume
VIX up .02 at 12.13…
TNX up .30 at 22.15…
TLT up .05 at 120.40…
XLF up .01 at 24.85 on 13.1 million shares, 49% below average volume

AAPL up 1.15 at 132.54 on 45.5 million shares, 5% below average volume
FB up .06 at 80.54 on 19.5 million shares, 22% below average volume


Technical Commentary:
QQQ -0.10%, SPY -0.24%, DIA -0.29%, IWM -0.43%.

The SPX was led by gains in DGX, EXPE, DE, NTAP, TWC, CRM, HPW, INTU, ADI, AVGO, CI, CPB and ALXN.

XLF and XLP are forming a bull flag pattern.

FEYE setup horizontal breakout at 45.09, price target 50.31, potential 11.5%
VSLR setup horizontal breakout at 15.38, price target 17.56, potential 14.1%
GOGO setup horizontal breakout at 22.60, price target 25.14, potential 11.2%
GPRO horizontal breakout at 54.26, price target 61.62, potential 13.5%

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 213.91...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 212.16, 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 109.32, 106.80, 105.55…
IWM = 123.17, 120.87, 120.24...

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, VSAT, TJX, ADI, LGF
CTRP, MBLY, NTES, SINA,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, YOKU, ZBRA, DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – MRVL, ROST, NTAP
LOCO, JUNO, RAX, JCP, KNDI, VSLR, VJET, XONE, YY
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU, LNKD
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - NTAP, LOCO, JUNO, DGLY, RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress NTAP, AAPL, GRMN, RCL, X, YHOO,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, AXP, BAC, BHI, CAR, CELG, DD, DHR, DTV, ESRX, FCX, FOXA, GME, GOGO, GS, HCA, JNJ, K, KLAC, LBTYA, MU, PEP, STT, SWN, URI, V, VLO, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU

The SPX Market Forecast is at 91.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: QQQ, AIG, CRM, FEYE, GOGO, GPRO, JCP, JD, SFUN, SINA, TSL, VSLR, ADBE, INTC, LRCX, SBUX,
Diagonal Breakout: STX
Bull Flag: BX, CCL, MS, NCLH, RCL, SCHW, STI, V, ZNGA, BRCM

Moves
New Highs: CIEN, CTRP, EXPE, PANW, SUNE, SWKS, YOKU,
H Breakout: ESRX, NTAP
Bounce: X
Gap Up: CTRP, EXPE, HPQ

______________________



Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: CTRP, YOKU, SFUN, EXPE, X, FEYE, SUNE, VSLR, JD, LC, CRM, HPQ, SINA, BBRY
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: SLCA, UNG, SSYS, XONE, BBY, NTES, JASO


40 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: NTAP, INTU, ADI, LVNTA, AVGO, ALXN

Lagging NDX stocks included: ROST, ADSK, DLTR

NDX Stocks to Watch on Monday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
ALXN, BBBY, BIDU
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
CTXS, EXPD


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up