Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Fed Minutes Suggest 'Rate Hike' Unlikely...Stocks End Mixed...

Four out of nine sectors moved higher on Wednesday…XLE, XLU and XLV were the strongest sectors and XLI was the weakest. 
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 1.10 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.00 to 1 on the NASDAQ where decliners led decliners.

Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .15 at 212.88 on 76.5 million shares
VIX up .03 at 12.88…
TNX down .11 at 22.51…
TLT up .20 at 118.69…
XLF down .07 at 24.91 on 30.3 million shares

AAPL down .01 at 130.06 on 36.2 million shares
FB down .08 at 80.55 on 23 million shares


Technical Commentary:
DIA -0.12%, SPY -0.07%, QQQ +0.06%, IWM +0.18%.



Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 213.91...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 212.16, 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 109.32, 106.80, 105.55…
IWM = 123.17, 120.87, 120.24...

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, VSAT, TJX,
CTRP, MBLY, NTES, SINA,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, YOKU, ZBRA, DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions –
LOCO, JUNO, RAX, JCP, KNDI, VSLR, VJET, XONE, YY
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU, LNKD
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - LOCO, JUNO, DGLY, RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AAPL, AXP, DHR, ESRX, GOGO, GRMN, GS, LBTYA, PEP, RCL, VLO, X, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CAR, CELG, DD, DTV, FCX, FOXA, GME, HCA, JNJ, K, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 92.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: GOGO, GPRO, IBM, ESRX,  
Diagonal Breakout: GME, JCP, JUNO, LC, HOG, WLT, CELG, MU, NTAP,  
Bull Flag: MBLY, ANGI, AKAM, DTV, EA, QCOM, WBA,  
Potential Bullish Divergence:   
Gap Up
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: AA, CSIQ, FSLR, QIHU, WDC,
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, NTES,
H Breakout: AIG, BABA,
D Breakout:
Breakout Test: 
Bull Flag Bounce:
Bounce: SLCA, YHOO,
MACD Divergence Bounce: LVS,  
Gap Up:
Gap Down: DAL, LOCO, NCLH, TAN,
C- Pattern:   
Bear Flag:
Support Break: BBY, CRM, P, SFUN, UPL, UAL, AAL,  


______________________



Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: GOGO, GPRO, AMBA, SLCA, BABA, VSLR, NTES,  

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: QIHU, DAL, JASO, CSIQ, NCLH, LOCO, BBY, UPL, SFUN, MBLY, Z


39 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Wednesday and three were unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: YHOO, LBTYA, ADI, VOD, REGN, ALXN, BIIB, WYNN, BIDU, ATVI

Lagging NDX stocks included: AAL, CHTR, BBY, ISRG, ROST, DLTR, SPLS, SBAC, CHRW, MYL


NDX Stocks to Watch on Thursday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
FOXA, GOOG, TXN
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 7
FB, PCLN, SBAC, STX, TRIP, WDC, YHOO


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up