Tuesday, May 19, 2015

SPX Pauses at 2,127 Following Record Close on Monday...TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, VSAT, TJX Soar on EPS Reaction...

Three of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLF, XLV and XLU were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest. 
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.48 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.31 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led


SPY down .07 at 213.03 on 72.1 million shares, 17% below average volume
VIX up .12 at 12.85…
TNX up .34 at 22.62…
TLT down 1.06 at 118.49…
XLF up .14 at 24.98 on 26.4 million shares, 3% above average volume

AAPL down .12 at 130.07 on 44.6 million shares, 6% below average volume
FB down .25 at 80.63 on 17.9 million shares, 28% below average volume


Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.14%, SPY -0.03%, QQQ -0.11%, IWM -0.14%.

The DJIA rose and the SPX -1.37, stayed above recent short-term resistance and bounced at Monday’s S1, following Monday’s breakout to a new all-time high close.

The Euro fell for the second straight day to its short-term support at the 1.11 area.
Oil prices fell 2.06 as the XLE Energy sector led on the downside on Tuesday.  Oil was up 53 cents in evening trading.
Interest rates rose and bonds fell as financial stocks led all sectors. 

TJX, ENDP, MCD and SYY led the SPX while MCD, DD, AXP and JPM led the DJIA.

TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, VSAT and TJX gapped higher following a positive earnings reaction in each stock.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 213.91...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 212.16, 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 109.32, 106.80, 105.55…
IWM = 123.17, 120.87, 120.24...

Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, VSAT, TJX,
CTRP, MBLY, NTES, SINA,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - TTWO, CMCM, RRGB, YOKU, ZBRA, DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions –
LOCO, JUNO, RAX, JCP, KNDI, VSLR, VJET, XONE, YY
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU, LNKD
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - LOCO, JUNO, DGLY, RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AAPL, AXP, DHR, ESRX, GOGO, GRMN, GS, LBTYA, PEP, RCL, VLO, X, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CAR, CELG, DD, DTV, FCX, FOXA, GME, HCA, JNJ, K, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 88.


___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BABA, ETFC, GPRO, IBM, JD, TPX, UA, Z,
Diagonal Breakout: VSLR,
Bull Flag: ATI, CSIQ, CTRP, GLD, NKE, P, SCTY, SINA, SPLK, TASR, YELP

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, BAC, C, CIEN, FAS, MS, NCLH, PANW, STI, SUNE, SVXY, SWKS, ZION
H Breakout: STI, ZION
MACD Divergence Bounce: JUNO,
Gap Up: TTWO, RRGB, TJX
Support Break: TSL

______________________

Watchlist Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: JUNO, YY, NCLH, AMBA

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: UPL, TSL, CSIQ, SLCA, X, LOCO, ATI, CMGE, YNDX, SPWR, DAL, AA


36 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: LBTYA, FOXA, LRCX, NTAP, ESRX

Lagging NDX stocks included: YHOO, STX, AAL, WDC


NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
GOOGL, TXN
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
FB, PCLN, STX, TRIP, WDC, YHOO


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up