Tuesday, May 26, 2015

SPX Down 1% From Friday's All-time Weekly Closing High...Broad Market, Sectors Forming Bull Flag...

All nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday…XLU, XLY and XLP were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest. 
 
Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 3.67 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.02 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – Memorial Day
Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – mixed, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down 2.29 at 210.70 on 124.3 million shares, 42% above average volume
VIX up 1.93 at 14.06…
TNX down .78 at 21.37…
TLT up 2.06 at 122.46…
XLF down .28 at 24.58 on 44.5 million shares, 69% above average volume

AAPL down 2.92 at 129.62 on 70.6 million shares, 43% above average volume
FB down 1.21 at 79.33 on 16.3 million shares, 34% below average volume


Technical Commentary:
QQQ -1.15%, SPY -1.08%, DIA -1.04%, IWM -0.96%.


The SPX sold off 1% on Tuesday from Friday’s all-time weekly high close of 2,126.06. The SPX/SPY are in a bull flag pattern along with QQQ, IWM and DIAXLF, XLK, XLP, XLV and XLY are also in bull flag patterns.

CMCM setup bull flag at 33.66, old high potential 9.37%, flagpole potential 21.66%
FL setup bull flag at 64.09, old high potential 5.29%, flagpole potential 8.08%
NCLH setup bull flag at 55.26, old high potential 4.21%, flagpole potential 8.96%
GIMO setup bull flag at 31.83, old high potential 2.45%, flagpole potential 9.83%


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 212.91, 213.91...
QQQ = 110.38, 111.16
IWM = 124.04, 125.47…

Support Levels
SPY = 208.62, 206.76...
QQQ = 108.76, 106.80, 105.55…
IWM = 122.52, 120.87, 120.24...


The SPX Market Forecast is at 82.

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Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CRM, FEYE, GOGO, GPRO, JCP, JD, SFUN, SINA, TSL, VSLR, INTC, LRCX, SBUX, AXP, JD, NVO, NXPI, ZTS
Diagonal Breakout: STX
Bull Flag: QQQ, AIG, ESRX, ADBE, BX, CCL, MS, NCLH, RCL, SCHW, STI, V, ZNGA, BRCM, AKAM, BMY, BURL, CMCM, CTSH, CVS, DATA, EA, FAS, FL, HCA, INTU, MCK, MNK, NKE, , SABR, SCI, SEE, SKX, SNE, TTWO, UNH, VMC, ADM, BG, COG, JNPR, NEM, PRE, QLIK, VOD, GIMO, GLUU, HPQ
Bear Flag: ATHM

Moves
New Highs: AMBA, ASHR, PANW, GT
H Breakout: FEYE

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Watch List Stocks
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: AMBA, VXX, SFUN
                                                       
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: FSLR, GOGO, YOKU, HPQ, SVXY, ATI, GLNG, VSLR, CTRP, DAL, SPWR, ZNGA, FAS, SWI, X, CIEN, UNG, JNPR, UPL, EXPE, SINA, SCTY, YELP


7 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and two were unchanged on Tuesday.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: CHTR, MYL, CMCSA, LBTYA, WFM, ILMN

Lagging NDX stocks included: LVNTA, ALXN, TRIP, AMGN, AAL, TSCO, ADSK

NDX Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
CMCSA
  
Moving Below 30 DMA = 16
ADP, ALXN, AMGN, BBBY, BIDU, CHKP, CSCO, GOOG, KLAC, LVNTA, MAR, PCAR, SIRI, SYMC, VRSK, WBA


6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down