Thursday, May 14, 2015

S&P 500 Closes At Record High...Bull Flag Bounces...YOKU Soars With 17.19% Gain...

Eight out of nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…XLK, XLP and XLV were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest. 
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.12 to 1 on the NYSE and weakened 2.20 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – mixed, decliners led
Monday – mixed, mixed
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
                                                                                                                                        

SPY up 2.19 at 212.21 on 95.8 million shares
VIX down 1.02 at 12.74…
TNX down .43 at 22.39…
TLT up .32 at 119.20…
XLF up .22 at 24.81 on 21.4 million shares

AAPL up 2.33 at 128.95 on 45.1 million shares
FB up 2.93 at 81.37 on 49.4 million shares


Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 1.46%, IWM + 1.07%, SPY + 1.04%, DIA +0.99%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 211.40, 212.48...
QQQ = 109.91, 111.16
IWM = 123.44, 125.55, 127.13…

Support Levels
SPY = 207.62, 205.39...
QQQ = 107.06, 106.50, 105.55…
IWM = 120.66, 119.47...


Earnings Week of May 4 – CMCSA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, APC, DVA, EOG, XEC, ADM, CAR, DIS, DISCA, DTV, HCA, ICE, K, NBL, SFUN, ALL, CTRP, DVN, EA, FISV, FOSL, FTR, HLF, LC, NFX, NWSA, PXD, SCTY, Z, CHK, DDD, EXPD, ATVI, CF, FOXA, GMCR, MET, MRO, PRU, RIG, TSLA, WFM, APA, BABA, BDX, GOGO, PCLN, REGN, SIAL, SUNE, CA, CBS, CERN, CSIQ, CYBR, LBTYA, MCHP, MNST, NVDA, SPWR, UBNT, ZNGA, ZU, JD, LMCA, TGI, AOL,
Earnings Week of May 11- CTRP, DGLY, VSLR, JASO, JCP, JUNO, LOCO, MBLY, NTES, RAX, SINA, YOKU, KNDI, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YY,


Q1 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – MBLY,
SUNE, DATA, CYBR, BABA, CSIQ, ZNGA, JD, MCHP, REGN, SPWR, ATVI, CA, EA, EXPD, CF, FISV, HLF, LC, PRU, SCTY, TSLA, CTSH, DO, HSIC, ICE, MNK, EL,
OCN, MRC, SWKS, TER, EXPE, TASR, AET, AIG, CME, F, FEYE,  GILD, LEG, LYV, MDLZ, NXPI, SLCA, TDS, TPX, UPL, UPS, VRSK, WY, AMZN, MSFT, JNPR, SBUX, GOOGL, CVX, AAL, CTXS, CAM, EBAY, FFIV, ORLY, SWK, T, ALTR, BAX, BRCM, DOW, EMC, HP, ILMN, KO, MCD, NDAQ, YUM, ABT, ATI, LRCX, PCAR, ARMH, AMGN, HAS, CHKP, HAL, MS, STI, NFLX, CE, MAT, C, DAL, FAST, INTC, JPM, LLTC, STZ, WBA, KMX, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, KBH, MFRM, NKE,

More than 10% - ZBRA, DATA, SUNE, ZU, AOL, HLF, TGI, GPRO, OCN, MRC, TER, AMZN, MSFT, ATI, HAS, NFLX, CE, DGLY, CTRP, JUNO, 

Negative Reactions – RAX, YY, KNDI, VSLR, VJET, XONE,
ALL, APA, APC, AVP, CAR, CERN, CHK, DISCA, DTV, DVA, DDD, EOG, FOSL, FOXA, FTR, GMCR, GOGO, HCA, K, LBTYA, MNST, MRO, NBL, NSM, NVDA, NWSA, NFX, PXD, SFUN, WFM, XEC, Z, ZU,
AAPL, AKAM, ATHN, BIDU, CAH, CELG, CHRW, COH, ESRX, FSLR, GLW, GRMN, LLL, MAR, PFE, SWI, TWTR, V, VIAB, VLO, WDC, WHR, HBI, BIIB, STT, TXN, XLNX, MMM, SRCL, SWN, ALXN, CMG, CREE, DHR, FB, FCX, HSY, ISRG, KLAC, PEP, PG, BA, HOG, TRV, UA, UNP, URI, YHOO, DD, BHI, RCL, AXP, BAC, GS, JNJ, SNDK, AA, BBBY, MU, GME, YOKU, XONE, 

More than -10% - RAX, MNST, FTR, NSM, AVP, LNKD, YELP, TWTR, X, WYNN, NOW, AMD, YOKU, 

Reversal in progress – AXP, DHR, ESRX, GRMN, GS, PEP, VLO, X, YHOO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AA, AKAM, BAC, BHI, CELG, DD, FCX, GME, JNJ, KLAC, MU, STT, SWN, URI, V, WDC, YOKU, XLNX, XONE, ZU


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 77.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BABA, BAC, BBRY, DAL, HPQ, JNPR (long term), MBLY, AVGO, DTV, EBAY, ILMN, INTC, MSFT,  
Diagonal Breakout: QIHU, SWKS, CELG, GRMN, MYL, TRIP, WDC,   
Bull Flag: SOHU,   
Potential Bullish Divergence:    
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: 
At Support: JCP,  
C- Pattern:  

Moves
New Highs: SPY, BX, NKE, NTES, V, AKAM, BRCM,   
H Breakout: SPY, FAS, LOCO, UNG, YOKU (long term), ADBE, FB, GILD, QCOM, TXN, XLNX,
D Breakout: QQQ, EMC, AAPL, SBUX,
Breakout Test:  
Bull Flag Bounce: IWM, AIG, AMBA, CCL, CIEN, CRM, EXPE, NCLH, PANW, AMZN, GOOGL, MAR,
Bounce: RAX, RCL, SFUN, UA, YNDX, CAR, ESI,  
MACD Divergence Bounce: MTW, VJET,
Gap Up: CTRP, IBM, SVXY, NTAP,
Gap Down: DGLY,  
C- Pattern:   
Bear Flag:
Support Break: BBY, VXX, HOG,
______________________


86 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: VIP, FB, CTSH, AVGO, ADBE, AKAM, REGN, XLNX, WDC, MAR

Lagging NDX stocks included: VRTX, WYNN, ROST, MU, SPLS, DLTR, CSCO, COST, AMAT, CHTR

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday: CTRP, NTES, AMBA, RCL, NCLH, CMGE, CCL, LOCO, FAS, UNG, SFUN, ATI, EXPE, SVXY

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: DGLY, JCP, BBY, JUNO, FEYE, YY

Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 46
SIAL, XLNX, CTRX, MDLZ, CTXS, TSLA, MYL, DTV, NFLX, SBUX, PCAR, STX, VOD, AKAM, CSCO, INTC, SYMC, AMZN, EA, MSFT, BRCM, LRCX, FAST, INTU, ALTR, SPLS, REGN, ATVI, CHKP, EXPD, ILMN, ADP, EBAY, FISV, NXPI, ORLY, PAYX, QCOM, ADBE, CTSH, GILD, VRSK, AVGO, VIP, YHOO

Moving Above 30 DMA = 16
AAPL, AMGN, CA, CELG, ESRX, FB, GOOG, HSIC, KLAC, LLTC, MAR, MAT, NTAP, TRIP, TSCO, WDC                                       
                                                                                                                                                                       
Moving Below 30 DMA = 0

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAL, GRMN, LVNTA, SNDK, VRTX, LBTYA, MNST, NVDA, PCLN, MU, DISCA, ADI, CHTR, CMCSA, FOXA, LMCA, VIAB, GMCR, SIRI, KRFT, BIDU, CERN, WYNN, ADSK, SBAC, ALXN, BIIB, SRCL, ISRG, TXN, WBA, DLTR, BBBY, COST, ROST, CHRW, AMAT, DISH, WFM

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral/Up