Tuesday, January 20, 2015

SPX Buyers Appear at S1, Ends Higher...DAL Leads as Airlines Fly...NFLX Blasts Off After the Close...

Six of nine sectors moved higher and one was unchanged on Tuesday…XLK, XLI and XLP were the strongest sectors and XLY was the weakest.
 
Breadth was weakened as decliners led advancers 1.44 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.43 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – holiday
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .42 at 202.05 on 130.9 million shares
VIX down 1.06 at 19.89…
TNX down .08 at 18.07…
TLT up 1.77 at 134.96...
XLF down .10 at 23.39 on 31.9 million shares

AAPL up 2.73 at 108.72 on 49.8 million shares
FB up 1.06 at 76.24…on 22.8 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ +0.79%, SPY +0.21%, DIA +0.13%, IWM -0.42%.

Who hates support bounces that make traders wade through bounce gaps that fade and traverse through an up down up day just to close 3 points higher?  Maybe ever trader that trades multi-day.  Scalpers and day traders love it.

Tuesday is called price fluctuation.  For those in the know, did you like the way that both the SPX and SPY pulled back to Friday’s S1 level where buyers stepped in rallied the index and ETF in the last four hours of trading? 

We hope so, since this bounce, test, rally pattern is common when the market is moving higher.

DAL +3.13, +7.26% moved higher on strong earnings.

After the close, CREE +1.94, +6.00% and NFLX +55.89, +16.02% gapped higher on positive earnings reactions.  Look for bullish gaps on Wednesday morning.

Earnings continue tomorrow with AXP, UNH and other big name companies reporting. 

SPX was led on Tuesday by gains in DAL, NEM, PSX, BWA, MPC, MOS, NFLX, LUV, GILD REGN, BIIB, PCP, URI, AAPL, VLO and MU.

The MACD histogram bullish divergence continued to confirm on SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, AAPL, ADBE, ADSK, AKAM, AMZN, BIDU, BRCM, EA, FB, GMCR, LRCX, MSFT, NTAP, STX WDC, EXPE, NKE, SCTY SPLK, SWI, UA and XONE.  Most of these charts showed gains on Tuesday. 

Tuesday RUT Movers:  GEVA, ALGT, SYNA, ISIS, PCRX, HMHC

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 203.91, 205.10, 208.97...
QQQ = 102.44, 103.11, 105.26
IWM = 117.89, 118.72, 121.41…
Support Levels
SPY = 198.85, 196.77...
QQQ = 99.62, 98.20
IWM = 114.36, 112.61...


Earnings this week:
Tuesday:  ATI, BHI, CREE, DAL, JNJ, MS, NFLX
Wednesday: AXP, EBAY, FFIV, GD, SNDK, URI, UNH, XLNX
Thursday:  ALK, ALTR, ETFC, ISRG, KLAC, MXIM, SWKS, LUV, SBUX, TRV, UNP, UAL, VZ
Friday:  GE, HON, KSU, KMB, MCD, ST

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – DAL, BHI, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - NFLX

Negative Reactions – JNJ, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - KBH,

Reversal in progress

Reversal of Initial Reaction


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed down at 34.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout:  GILD, XLP, MNST, GME, CREE, TLT  
Bull Flag: JCP, PANW, SPWR, SUNE, TWTR
Gap Up: CREE, NFLX

Moves
Bull Flag Bounce:  AMBA, AVGO, BX, FEYE, GILD, RCL, SCSS, XLP    
Gap Up: DAL, AAL, ALK, LUV

______________________


59 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ILMN, AAPL, VIP, NFLX, GILD, REGN, BIIB, AAPL, YHOO, MU

Lagging NDX stocks included: SPLS, WYNN, CHTR, VIAB, FOXA, ESRX, CMCSA, ISRG, DISH, MYL

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: SOHU, DAL, AMBA, CREE, UAL, BABA, SWKS, NTES, JD, MTW

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: CSIQ, RWLK, UNG, TSL, JASO, UPL, SUNE, SPWR, BBY, VSLR, JCP, DGLY, SFUN, BBRY


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 28
WFM, SIAL, CHKP, KRFT, MNST, ISRG, SRCL, AVGO, HSIC, CA, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, PAYX, SIRI, CELG, DTV, ADP, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, CSCO, CTRX, EA, GILD, NFLX, VOD, VRTX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
AAL, ILMN, LLTC, REGN, SYMC, TXN               

Moving Below 30 DMA = 6
CMCSA, DISH, ESRX, MYL, ROST, SPLS                           

Staying Below 30 DMA
WDC, CHRW, LMCA, TSCO, COST, DLTR, MAR, QCOM, FB, GMCR, LVNTA, STX, TRIP, BBBY, DTV, EBAY, FAST, MDLZ, MSFT, ORLY, SBUX, VRSK, ADI, AKAM, AMAT, BRCM, CHTR, DISCA, FOXA, KLAC, LBTYA, PCAR, PCLN, VIAB, ADSK, EXPD, MAT, MU, ADBE, ALTR, CTXS, EQIX, GOOG, INTC, INTU, YHOO, AAPL, LRCS, NVDA, NTAP, SNDK, AMGN, XLNX, ALXN, SBAC, AMZN, GRMN, BIDU, TSLA, VIP, WYNN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

No comments: