Friday, January 23, 2015

NDX Gains Led by SBUX...SPX Pulls back to Thursday's S1...ETFC leads SPX...

One of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLU, XLK and XLY were the strongest sectors and XLB was the weakest.
 
Breadth was weakened as decliners led advancers 1.23 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.25 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, mixed
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – holiday


SPY down 1.13 at 204.97 on 117.5 million shares
VIX up .26 at 16.66…
TNX down .79 at 18.17…
TLT up 1.85 at 134.77...
XLF down .26 at 23.77 on 27.6 million shares

AAPL up .58 at 112.98 on 46.4 million shares
FB up .18 at 77.82…on 16.7 million shares

Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.22%, IWM -0.07%, SPY -0.55%, DIA -0.85%.

The SPX produced its first weekly gain rising 32 points, 1.6% this week.  The SPX paused after a four day rally and pulled back to Thursday’s S1 level.  Through Friday’s close the SPX has risen for six days and fallen for nine days and is down -7 points or -0.34% YTD.  The SPX formed a bullish engulfing pattern on the weekly chart.

The NDX gained on Friday and is up 41 points or +0.98% YTD.  NDX gainers on Friday included SBUX, DLTR, NFLX, AVGO, ILMN and ALXN.

The SPX was led by gains in ETFC, SBUX, VLO, TSO, MPC, HON, URI, HAR, DLTR, NFLX, HAS and EXPE.

Friday’s RUT Movers:  PBYI, PCRX, MSCC, ABY.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 205.10, 206.42, 208.97...
QQQ = 105.26
IWM = 117.89, 118.72, 121.41…

Support Levels
SPY = 204.02, 202.33, 201.50...
QQQ = 103.72, 102.59, 101.35
IWM = 116.57, 115.10, 114.20...

Earnings this week:
Monday:  MSFT, STX, TXN, ZION
Tuesday:  AAL, AAPL, AMGN, EA, ILMN, WDC, YHOO, FSL, GLW, JNPR, X,
Wednesday: BIIB, FB, LRCX, QCOM, TSCO, VRTX, CAVM
Thursday:  ALXN, AMZN, BRCM, CELG, CHKP, MAT, VIAB, WYNN, MCHP, BABA, BX, HOG, JDSU, RCL, SWI,

Friday:  PCAR

Q4 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – NFLX, ALK, BHI, CREE, DAL, EBAY, ETFC, GE, HON, KMB, LUV, MXIM, SBUX, SWKS, TRV, UAL, UNH, UNP, SNX, LLTC, TSM

More than 10% - NFLX

Negative Reactions – AXP, ALTR, FFIV, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KLAC, KSU, MCD, STT, XLNX, AA, BAC, C, JPM, KBH, WFC,

More than -10% - FFIV, KBH,


Reversal in progress – BAC, C, IBM, JNJ, JPM,  


Reversal of Initial Reaction – WFC


The SPX Market Forecast is pointed up at 53.

___________________


Setups
Horizontal Breakout:  SPY, XLB, XLE, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLV, ADSK, CREE, CRM, ETFC, EXPE, FEYE, GME, GPRO, KKD, MFRM, RAX, STI, TWTR, Z

Moves
New Highs: BX, CREE, ETFC, GLW, LOCO, NTES, SCSS, SWKS, TLT, UAL
______________________


52 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: SBUX, DLTR, NFLX, AVGO, ILMN, ALXN, SBAC, CA, CTXS, BIDU

Lagging NDX stocks included: KLAC, GMCR, ALTR, AMAT, TRIP, MDLZ, LMCA, ISRG, VRTX, MAT

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday: P, GPRO, ETFC, Z, RWLK, FEYE, QIHU, LNDK, GOGO, UNG, PANW, MBLY, JDSU, EXPE

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: X, ATI, SFUN, AMBA, CAR, FAS, UPL, BAC, LC


Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 57
WFM, SIAL, CHKP, KRFT, MNST, SRCL, AVGO, HSIC, CTSH, FISV, NXPI, PAYX, SIRI, CELG, ADP, ATVI, BIIB, CERN, CSCO, CTRX, EA, GILD, NFLX, VOD, VRTX, AAL, ILMN, LLTC, REGN, TXN, AMAT, BBBY, BIDU, DISH, GOOG, LMCA, LRCX, LVNTA, NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, AAPL, ADBE, AMZN, CHRW, DLTR, EBAY, EQIX, ESRX, EXPD,  FB, GRMN, MAR, MSFT, ROST, SYMC, TSCO, VRSK

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
CA, COST, ORLY       

Moving Below 30 DMA = 9
AMAT, CMCSA, DTV, FAST, GMCR, INTC, ISRG, KLAC, MDLZ                           

Staying Below 30 DMA
BRCM, VIP, MYL, SPLS, WDC, QCOM, STX, TRIP, ADI, AKAM, CHTR, DISCA, FOXA, LBTYA, PCAR, PCLN, VIAB, ADSK, MAT, MU, ALTR, CTXS, INTU, YHOO, NTAP, SNDK, AMGN, XLNX, ALXN, TSLA, WYNN

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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