Wednesday, December 31, 2014

NDX, SPX, DJIA End 2014 with Double-Digit Gains...Bull Flag Pattern Forming...Happy New Year 2015...

All nine sectors again moved lower on Wednesday…XLY, XLE and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLU was the weakest.
 
Breadth was mixed as decliners led advancers 1.81 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.31 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Wednesday – mixed, decliners led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – weakened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – Christmas Holiday


SPY down -2.06 at 205.54 on 130.3 million shares
VIX up 3.28 at 19.20…
TNX down .20 at 21.70…
TLT up .24 at 125.92...
XLF down .28 at 24.73 on 24.2 million shares

AAPL down 2.14 at 110.38 on 41.4 million shares
FB down 1.20 at 78.02…on 20 million shares

Technical Commentary:
IWM -0.60%, DIA -0.88%, SPY -0.99%, QQQ -1.03%.

2014 is in the books with a terrific year that finished with a pullback on the last two days forming a bull flag going into 2015.  The broad indexes finished 2014 with positive annual gains; NDX +19%, SPX +12.5%, DJIA +8.5% and RUT +4.65%.

The SPY closed lower on the last day of the year.  The SPX was led to the downside by weakness in DO, FE, NE ETR, NRG, EXC, PEG, HOY, PPL and DOV.

The IWM finished the year with a bull flag pullback test of the recent breakout of the yearlong sideways channel.  IWM short-term Chart Target: 124.07; 6-month Chart Target: 136.30

SPY, IWM, QQQ, DIA, XLK, XLP, XLU, EA, EBAY, FB, QCOM, STX, WDC, BX, CIEN, CRM, EMC, ETFC, GLW, JNPR, LNKD, MTW, PANW, RAX, SCHW, SWKS and V are in bull flag patterns.  SOHU gave a flag bounce entry.

Look for bull flag setups in stocks that are up trending or reversal breakouts from stocks that recently pulled back.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 207.33, 209.06, 210.49...
QQQ = 106.94
IWM = 119.90, 121.88, 124.07…
Support Levels
SPY = 207.33, 204.24...
QQQ = 103.08, 102.40
IWM = 118.34, 116.15...

The SPX Market Forecast is at 89. 

___________________


17 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: TSCO, NXPI, MAT, LVNTA, ISRG, SPLS, REGN, BRCM, BBBY, AAL

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, DISCA, CSCO, EBAY, AAPL, MDLZ, SNDK, AKAM, WYNN, NVDA

Leading stocks > +2% on Wednesday: TSL, Z, SOHU, CSIQ, JASO, SUNE

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: UNG, RWLK, DGLY, FAS, GPRO, AMBA, FEYE, LC


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 53
ROST, DLTR, AAL, ORLY, SPLS, TSCO, BBBY, PCAR, EA, AMAT, WFM, AVGO, WDC, ADI, EBAY, FOXA, SIAL, BIIB, CHKP, CHTR, CMCSA, CSCO, DISCA, FAST, FB, HSIC, KLAC, KRFT, LBTYA, LVNTA, QCOM, STX, TRIP, VIAB, VRSK, BRCM, CERN, CHRW, COST, FISV, ISRG, MAR, MU, SRCL, ADSK, CTRX, DTV, ESRX, EXPD, PCLN, SBUX, VRTX, MAT

Moving Above 30 DMA = 1
NXPI

Moving Below 30 DMA = 20
ADBE, AKAM, ALTR, CA, CELG, CTSH, CTXS, DISH, EQIX, GOOG, INTC, INTU, LLTC, LMCA, MNST, MYL, SIRI, SYMC, TXN, YHOO

Staying Below 30 DMA
AAPL, ADP, ILMN, LRCX, NVDA, REGN, MSFT, NTAP, PAYX, SNDK, AMGN, VOD, GILD, XLNX, MDLZ, ALXN, ATVI, SBAC, AMZN, GRMN, BIDU, TSLA, VIP, GMCR, WYNN, NFLX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Down

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