Tuesday, December 9, 2014

IWM Leads Intra-day Reversal...AAPL, AMZN, AVGO, NFLX, GOOG, YHOO, WDC Lead NDX Rally...

Four of nine sectors moved higher on Tuesday…XLE, XLU and XLB were the strongest sectors and XLV was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners1.51 to 1 on the NYSE and 2.17 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – weakened slightly, advancers led


SPY down .23 at 206.38 on 125 million shares
VIX up .68 at 14.89…
TNX down .37 at 22.20…
TLT up .63 at 123.20...
XLF down .06 at 24.88 on 45 million shares

AAPL up 1.73 at 114.13 on 60.1 million shares
FB up .31 at 76.83…on 25.3 million shares


Technical Commentary:

IWM + 1.68%, QQQ + 0.27%, SPY – 0.11%, DIA – 0.39%.

Futures moved lower overnight after China tightened lending rules and Greece’s election announcement.  After making lows during the first 10 minutes of trading small cap IWM reversed direction and rose over $3 to close at 118.17.

Semiconductors $SOX rallied over 11 points from morning lows led by reversal gains in SUNE, AVGO, ATML, TER, FSL, NXPI, CREE, XLNX, QCOM and SWKS.

Reversals and gains also occurred in NDX stocks AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, GOOG, YHOO and WDC.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 207.33, 209.06, 210.49...
QQQ = 106.94
IWM = 118.25, 119.37, 121.27…

Support Levels
SPY = 205.71, 203.13, 201.90...
QQQ = 104.42, 102.42, 101.38
IWM = 115.04, 114.37, 113.35...

Earnings this week: COST, ADBE,

Q3 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – AVGO, ADI, HPQ, PANW, QIHU, ADSK, JASO, ROST, SPLK, GOGO, RAX, NTES, XONE, YOKU, VJET, BABA, MNST, WFM, ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE, FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL, PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR,  AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB, LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO, TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - GOGO, RAX, WFM, GPRO, GPRN, LNKD, BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – AMBA, MFRM, GME, CRM, JD, MBLY, SINA, YY, SWKS, FEYE, FSLR, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, SCTY, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, Z, ZU, AEM, CHRW, COH, FB, GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA, BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P, UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% - GME, CSIQ, FSLR, UBNT, ZU, AEM, P, TPX,

Reversal in progress – GOGO, P, PCLN, TPX, KO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AMZN, FEYE, SWKS, Z, ADBE, ALTR, ALTR, AXP, AZO, BA, BAC, BTU, CHRW, CMG, COF, COH, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, EBAY, F, GM, GOOGL, GRMN, INTC, JNJ, JNPR, JPM, KEY, KKD, KO, KRFT, LMT, LUV, MAT, MDC, MRK, NDAQ, PNRA, UA, VMW, WFC, XRX,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 93.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: EBAY,   
Diagonal Breakout: FB,   
Bull Flag: SPY, BAC, CAR, DGLY, ETFC, HPQ, NKE, UAL, INTC, ROST, STX, TXN,  
At Support: GPRO, MU,   

Moves
New Highs: ESRX, WDC,   
H Breakout: JD, JDSU,   
Bounce: ATI, BABA, GLW, IWM, JCP, MFRM, P, QIHU, SOHU, TWTR, UBNT, X, YELP, ANGI, SINA, WLT, YNDX, YY, ZNGA, AAPL, AMZN, BIDU, GOOGL,   
Gap Up: GLD,
Gap Down: AA, AAL, DAL, TBT, MYL,

______________________


46 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Tuesday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: ORLY, AMZN, WDC, AVGO, YHOO, AAPL, NFLX, PCAR, GOOG, COST, TSLA

Lagging NDX stocks included: BRCM, VIP, VOD, MU, EXPD, SNDK, AMGN, ILMN, ADBE, DTV, CHRW, MYL

Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday: JD, JDSU, UBNT, QIHU, GOGO, X, SOHU, AMBA, CMGE, JCP, RAX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: AAL, KKD, SFUN, UAL


Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 77
ROST, CHRW, MYL, SRCL, DLTR, ISRG, MNST, PAYX, REGN, ADP, ALXN,  COST, ORLY, TSCO, VRTX, XLNX, AAPL, AMGN, BBBY, CELG, ESRX, FISV, HSIC, KRFT, MAR, PCAR, SPLS, SYMC, TXN, BRCM, YHOO, CA, CERN, CHKP, CTSH, EXPD, INTU, LBTYA, NVDA, SBAC, SBUX, STX, ADBE, ADSK,  KLAC, MDLZ, MSFT, AMAT, MU, WFM, AVGO, FFIV, NTAP, NXPI, VOD, WDC, AKAM, CTRX, DISH, EQIX, ADI, ALTR, CSCO, EBAY, EXPE, FAST, INTC, LLTC, MXIM, SNDK, FOXA, SIAL, CMCSA, CHTR, VIAB, ATVI, CTXS, DISCA, BIIB, QCOM, ILMN, TRIP, FB, VRSK, GILD

Moving Above 30 DMA = 2
DISCA, QCOM                                                                                           

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
ILMN, MAT                             
                                                                                       
Staying Below 30 DMA
CTXS, MSFT, PAYX, SBAC, TRIP, AMZN, LMCA, LMCK, SIRI, GRMN, DTV, PCLN, BIDU, GOOG, TSLA, VIP, GMCR, WYNN, NFLX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

1 comment:

Scott Avery said...

thank you. This blog is SO helpful. I myself have been wanting to get into apple for a few months. I followed my discipline and continued to wait and was able to get in close to the reversal. I always do my own analysis first and then check it with your blog. After years of doing this it's still always energizing if/when I come up with the same stocks for set ups as you have.