Monday, December 22, 2014

S&P 500 And DJIA Notch Record Highs...Also Closing At A Record High FB...GILD Has Largest Single Session Drop After Competition Lands Nod...GILD Slumps Down 14.34%...

Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Monday…XLK, XLY and XLP were the strongest sectors and XLE was the weakest.
 
Breadth strengthened on the NASDAQ as advancers led decliners1.40 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.55 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – weakened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened slightly, advancers led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led


SPY up .95 at 207.47 on 148 million shares
VIX down 1.24 at 15.25…
TNX down .14 at 21.62…
TLT up .17 at 126.04...
XLF up .02 at 24.85 on 15.5 million shares

AAPL up 1.16 at 112.94 on 45.1 million shares
FB up 1.57 at 81.45…on 31.7 million shares

Technical Commentary:
DIA +0.96%, IWM +0.68%, SPY +0.46%, QQQ +0.25%.

The SPX hit a new all-time high for the 50th time in 2014.  The SPX was led by gains ins PCLN, KLAC, RTN, LM, CMG, LUV, GOOGL, ROST, WIN and INTC.

Oil was down 39 cents to 55.38.  XLE fell 82 cents, -1.02% to close at 79.75.

FB +1.57, +1.97% broke through intermediate-term horizontal resistance and made a new all-time closing highIntermediate-term (two month) breakout Chart target: 89.81.

Look for horizontal breakout setups in stocks that are up trending or creating are reversal breakout.

AAL, EA and LRCX were added to the NDX today before the open and EXPE, FFIV and MXIM were removedmake adjustment to your NDX watch list.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term Chart Targets:
SPY = 207.33, 209.06, 210.49...
QQQ = 106.94
IWM = 118.25, 119.37, 121.27…
Support Levels
SPY = 200.06...
QQQ = 102.42, 101.38
IWM = 114.37, 113.35...


Q3 Earnings Reaction
Positive Reactions – ADBE, CIEN, LULU, AVGO, ADI, HPQ, PANW, QIHU, ADSK, JASO, ROST, SPLK, GOGO, RAX, NTES, XONE, YOKU, VJET, BABA, MNST, WFM, ABC, ACI, AMGN, BIDU, BWLD, CBOE, CLF, CLX, CNX, EA, ESRX, EQIX, EXPE, FISV, GLW, GPRO, GRPN, GT, HSY, JCI, JDSU, LNKD, LVLT, MA, MAR, MO, MTW, MYL, PCAR, FE, SCHN, STX, SWI, SWKS, TASR, V, WY, X, WHR,  AAPL, ALK, ALXN, APOL, BMY, BRCM, CAT, CELG, CERN, CHKP, CMCSA, CNI, EMC, EW, GD, HAL, HAS, HOG, ILMN, IM, KLAC, KMB, LLY, LRCX, LXK, MMM, MXIM, MSFT, N, ORLY, PG, RMD, STLD, STT, SWK, TRV, TSCO, TXN, UNP, VRSN, WOOF, YHOO, YNDX, ZION, AMD, C, CSX, DAL, GE, HON, LVS, MS, SCHW, SLB, STI, URI, XLNX, COST, BBBY, BBRY, MU, NKE, PAYX, LULU, PANW, ULTA, MFRM, SPLK,

More than 10% - GOGO, RAX, WFM, GPRO, GPRN, LNKD, BWLD, SWI, N, EW, TSCO, NKE, ULTA, LULU, PANW, MFRM,

Negative Reactions – COST, AMBA, MFRM, GME, CRM, JD, MBLY, SINA, YY, SWKS, FEYE, FSLR, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, SCTY, SSYS, SUNE, UBNT, Z, ZU, AEM, CHRW, COH, FB, GRMN, KRFT, MDC, MRK, NEM, PNRA, RGR, SLCA, TPX, TWTR, ALTR, AMZN, BA, BTU, CMG, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, F, GM, IBM, JNPR, KO, LMT, LUV, NDAQ, P, UA, VMW, XRX, YELP, AXP, BAC, COF, EBAY, GOOGL, INTC, JNJ, JPM, KEY, MAT, NFLX, WFC, AZO, ADBE, KKD, CIEN,

More than -10% - GME, CSIQ, FSLR, UBNT, ZU, AEM, P, TPX,

Reversal in progress – PCLN, TPX, KO,

Reversal of Initial Reaction – AMZN, FEYE, SWKS, Z, ADBE, ALTR, ALTR, AXP, AZO, BA, BAC, BTU, CHRW, CMG, COF, COH, CREE, DECK, DNKN, DOW, EAT, EBAY, F, GM, GOGO, GOOGL, GRMN, INTC, JNJ, JNPR, JPM, KEY, KKD, KO, KRFT, LMT, LUV, MAT, MDC, MRK, NDAQ, PNRA, UA, VMW, WFC, XRX,

The SPY Market Forecast is at 46.

___________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: AAL, BAC, BBY, CRM, CTRP, DAL, EMC, FAS, FEYE, IBM, RAX, SCHW, V, ESI, ZNGA, AKAM, AVGO, BRCM, CMCSA, COST, GMCR, INTC, MAR, MNST, NTAP, QCOM, TRIP, WFM,   
Diagonal Breakout: CSIQ, JD, MBLY, NKE, SCTY, SPWR, DDD, SSYS, GOOGL, MSFT,
Potential Bullish Divergence:  
Gap Up:  
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag:  
At Support:   
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: IWM, MS, PANW, STI, SWKS, FB, ROST, WDC,        
H Breakout: AIG, FB,        
D Breakout: ATI, BBRY, JNPR, TWTR, AMZN,    
Breakout Test:   
Bull Flag Bounce 
Bounce:       
MACD Divergence Bounce: GPRO,
Gap Up:  
Gap Down: GILD,     
C- Pattern:
Bear Flag:  
Support Break: GLD, X,   

______________________


78 out of 100 NDX stocks closed higher and one was unchanged on Monday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: PCLN, KLAC, ROST, INTC, AMZN, ALTR, AMAT, XLNX, FB, BBBY

Lagging NDX stocks included: GILD, REGN, AMGN, CELG, DISCA, BIIB, VRTX, WYNN, NFLX, DISH

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday: GPRO, RWLK, BBRY, AMBA, TWTR, TSL, MFRM, SWKS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: UPL, X, SFUN, YELP, JCP, SUNE


Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA = 73
ROST, DLTR, ORLY, TSCO, AAL, BBBY, PCAR, SPLS, INTU, EA, AMAT, WFM, AVGO, WDC, ADI, ALTR, EBAY, LLTC, FOXA, SIAL, BIIB, ADBE, ADP, CELG, CHKP, CHTR, CMCSA, CSCO, DISCA, EQIX, FAST, FB, HSIC, INTC, KLAC, KRFT, LBTYA, MNST, NXPI, QCOM, REGN, STX, TRIP, TXN, VIAB, VRSK, AKAM, AMGN, BRCM, CA, CERN, CHRW, COST, CTSH, DISH, FISV, GILD, ILMN, ISRG, LRCX, MAR, MU, MYL, NTAP, SRCL, SYMC, VOD, VRTX, YHOO, ADSK, CTRX, NVDA, SNDK


Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
DTV, ESRX, EXPD, MSFT, PCLN, SBUX

Moving Below 30 DMA = 1
GILD                          

Staying Below 30 DMA
MAT, PAYX, XLNX, MDLZ, AAPL, ALXN, ATVI, CTXS, SBAC, AMZN, LMCA, LMCK, SIRI, GRMN, BIDU, GOOG, TSLA, VIP, GMCR, WYNN, NFLX

6-month Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-day Short Term Market Trend: Up


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