Monday, July 21, 2014

Stocks End Trading Session Lower...NFLX Earnings Double...CMG 2Q Earnings Rose 26%...In After Hours Trading CMG Up 10.08%...Zion 2Q Earnings Rose 44%...

Just one of nine sectors moved higher on Monday… XLE, XLI and XLU were the strongest sectors…XLP was the weakest sector.

Sector Posture – seven sectors are positive 
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP, XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near resistance: XLI, XLU
Neutral trend near support:


Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.71 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.62 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Monday – weakened, decliners led
Friday – strengthened, advancers led
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led


SPY down .37 at 197.34 on 67.5 million shares, below average volume
VIX up .75 at 12.81…
TNX down .10 at 24.74…
TLT up .57 at 115.09...
XLF down .06 at 22.85 on 14.3 million shares

AAPL down .49 at 93.94 on 38.8 million shares
FB up .98 at 69.40…on 49.4 million shares


Technical Commentary:

QQQ – 0.12%, SPY – 0.19%, DIA – 0.23%, IWM – 0.40%.

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 94.89, 96.31…
IWM = 116.46, 120.51…

Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13, 193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.16…


Earnings this week:
Monday – HAL, HAS, PETS, STI, CMG, NFLX, STLD, TXN, ZION  
TuesdayATI, MO, KO, CMCSA, DD, HOG, KMB, LXK, LMT, MCD, BTU,  RF, STT, TRV, UTX, VZ, AAPL, BRCM, EA, HTZ, ISRG, JNPR, LLTC, MSFT, NBR, VMW, XLNX
Wednesday – ANGI, T, BIIB, BA, CA, CHKP, CRUS, CTXS, DAL, DOW, ETFC, FFIV, FB, FCX, GD, GILD, ILMN, NSC, NXPI, ORLY, QCOM, TSCO, TRIP, WHR
Thursday – MMM, ALK, ALXN, AMZN, BIDU, BMY, CAT, CELG, CNX, DECK, DNKN, F, GM, DHI, JBLU, KLAC, LLY, MXIM, NOK, NUE, OSTK, P, POT, PHM, SBAC, SIAL, SWI, LUV, SBUX, SRCL, TPX, NDAQ, UA, UNP, UAL, V,
Friday – MCO, SWK, STO, WLB, XRX


Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM, PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,


Negative Reactions – AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB, SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,


Reversal in progress – GIS,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone at 84.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: CTRP, FEYE, JDSU, P, SPWR, SWI, JNPR, LNKD, ADSK, AVGO, BRCM, EBAY, GILD, TRIP,
Diagonal Breakout: AIG, ATI, BBY, CSIQ, ETFC, GLW, GOGO, IWM, JD, MTW, RCL, SFUN, HOG, MFRM, SSYS, VJET, XONE, YOKU, ADBE, CTSH, ILMN, MAR, MYL, TSLA, WFM, WYNN, XLNX,
Bull Flag: C, FAS, IBM, SPY, SUNE, V, INTC, MSFT, MU, STX, WDC,
Potential Bullish Divergence: JASO, CRM, YHOO,  
Gap Up:  
Gap Down: UNG,  
Bear Flag:  
At Support: ANGI,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: NTES, SWKS,
H Breakout: SCTY, CREE, SINA, BIDU, FB,  
Diagonal Breakout: CTRP, QIHU, NTAP, QCOM, TXN,
Bull Flag Bounce:
Gap Up: KNDI, BIDU, NFLX,  
Gap Down:
Breakout Test:
Bounce: SOHU, Z,
MACD Divergence Bounce: TWTR, FSLR,
Bear Flag
Support Break:
C- Pattern:
      

______________________

32 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Monday.


Leading NDX 100 stocks included: BIDU, NFLX, FB, ALXN, XLNX, CERN

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIP, MNST, LBTYA, ADSK, ORLY, HSIC, CMCSA, AKAM

Leading stocks > +2% on Monday included: KNDI, SFUN, SCTY, QIHU, CTRP, TWTR, FEYE, JD, SWKS, Z, SINA

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: YNDX, UBNT, UNG, ANR, ESI



Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 64
CHRW, SIAL, MU, CHTR, ADP, EQIX, ATVI, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, BRCM, GOOG, SBUX, KLAC, INTC, STX, WDC, SRCL, LMCA, XLNX, SYMC, DTV, DISH, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, NTAP, MDLZ, EBAY, VRSK, COST, PCAR, PAYX, AMZN, DISCA, FB, CTRX, BBBY, MYL, CERN, SIRI, VIAB, AAPL, ADSK, ALTR, AVGO, CELG, CTSH, EXPD, EXPE, LLTC, SPLS, TXN, REGN, KRFT, NFLX ,ILMN, NXPI, MAR

Moving Above 30 DMA = 3
ALXN, AMGN, QCOM

Moving Below 30 DMA = 5
DLTR, HSIC, ORLY, VOD, LBTYA

Staying Below 30 DMA
NVDA, VIP, PCLN,SNDK, WYNN, CTXS, YHOO, AKAM, BIIB, MAT, MNST, TSLA, FOXA, GMCR, ADI, TRIP, FFIV, ROST, GRMN, CA, FAST, ISRG, LINTA, CHKP, MXIM, WFM, ESRX, TSCO

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up

3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Neutral

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