Eight of nine sectors moved lower on Tuesday…XLU,
XLE and XLP were the strongest sectors…XLY was the
weakest sector.
Sector Posture – seven sectors are positive
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP, XLV,
XLY
Neutral trend near
resistance: XLU
Neutral trend near
support: XLI
Breadth strengthened…as decliners led advancers 1.55 to 1 on the NYSE and 3.85 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Tuesday – strengthened, decliners led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
Friday - Holiday
Thursday - strengthened,
advancers led
Wednesday – weakened,
decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led
SPY down 1.27 at 196.24 on 108 million shares
VIX up .65 at 11.98…
TNX down .52 at 25.65…
TLT up 1.25 at 112.74...
XLF down .20 at 22.74 on 34.3 million shares
AAPL down .62 at 95.35 on 65.13 million shares
FB down 2.53 at 62.76…on 68.8 million shares
Technical Commentary:
QQQ – 1.21%,
IWM – 1.21%, SPY –
0.64%, DIA – 0.60%.
DIA, SPY, QQQ and IWM formed large
red candles with a lower shadow, suggesting the broad indices may have found support following a
two-day selloff. SPY, DIA and QQQ
are forming a potential bull flag pattern and found support at the
61.8% Fibonacci area.
NDX stocks were pounded to the downside on
Tuesday as 84 of 100 stocks moved lower. However, after two to four days of
pullback MU, TSLA, GILD, GRMN, XLNX, ADSK, MYL, SNDK and BRCM formed
hammer patterns.
(click image to enlarge)
(click image to enlarge)
After the
close, AA +0.17, +1.14% gained on a
positive earnings reaction, unofficially kicking off the start of earnings
season.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection
stops. Continue to follow
your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart
Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 94.89, 96.31…
IWM = 120.67, 121.76…
Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13,
193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73,
90.44…
IWM = 116.65, 116.05,
114.66…
Earnings this week:
Monday –
Tuesday –
AA, HTZ,
Wednesday
–
Thursday –
FDO,
Friday –
FAST, WFC
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions –
STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,
Negative Reactions – CAMP,
BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,
Reversal in progress –
Reversal of Initial
Reaction –
The SPY Market Forecast green line is rising in the upper zone at 92.
____________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout:
Diagonal Breakout:
Bull Flag:
AIG, ATI, BAC, BX, C, CREE, CTRP, DDD, ETFC, FAS, GLW, JCP, JDSU, MTW, NTES, P,
QIHU, RCL, SCSS, SCTY, SPY, SSYS, SUNE, VJET, XONE, YELP, YNDX, YOKU, SINA,
WLT, AMZN, BIDU, CELG, CMCSA, EBAY, EXPE, GILD, GOOG, GRMN, ILMN, INTC, MU,
NFLX, NTAP, SBUX, SNKD, WDC, WYNN, XLNX,
Potential Bullish
Divergence:
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: CSIQ, IWM,
MFRM, MS, SOHU, SWI, TSL, MNST, TRIP,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs:
H Breakout: COST,
Diagonal Breakout:
Bull Flag Bounce:
Gap Up:
Gap Down: LVS,
Breakout Test:
Bounce:
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Bear Flag:
Support Break: AAL, ANGI,
CIEN, CRM, FEYE, GOGO, LNKD, PANW, Z, ANR, KKD, ADBE, ADSK, AKAM, ESRX, FB,
C- Pattern:
______________________
16 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Tuesday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: PAYX, COST, MU, ROST
Lagging NDX stocks included: TRIP, ILMN, FB, CELG, AKAM, NFLX, WYNN, BIDU,
AMZN, CA, YHOO
Leading stocks > +2% on Tuesday
included: UAL
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
FEYE, ANGI, P, SPLK, SSYS, SFUN, TWTR,
YELP, UBNT, CSIQ, YNDX, YOKU, LNKD, VJET, SCTY, PANW
Stocks to Watch on Wednesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 67
MAR, CHRW,
SIAL, MU, SNDK, CHTR, AAPL, ADP, CELG, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, ATVI, KRFT, GMCR,
ILMN, ADSK, NFLX, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, BRCM, GOOG, AKAM,
AMGN, BIIB, EXPE, LLTC, SBUX, ALTR, TXN, ADI, GRMN, KLAC, INTC, STX, WDC, ORLY,
SRCL, LMCA, XLNX, SYMC, CTSH, DISH, DTV, MAT, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, VIAB,
DLTR, MDLZ, NTAP, EBAY, QCOM, REGN, VRSK, COST, PCAR, VIP, PAYX, SPLS
Moving Above 30 DMA = 0
Moving Below 30 DMA = 21
AMZN, CA, CTRX, CTXS, FAST, FB,
FFIV, FOXA, HSIC, ISRG, LBTYA, LINTA, MNST, MYL, PCLN, SIRI, TRIP, TSLA, VOD,
WYNN, YHOO
Staying Below 30 DMA
ALXN,
CHKP, MXIM, NVDA, WFM, BBBY, CERN, DISCA, ROST, ESRX, EXPD, TSCO
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend:
Down
1 comment:
Thanks Dave for your insightful analysis and bringing back the charts. I follow you everyday.
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