Seven of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLI,
XLK and XLY were the strongest sectors…XLE was the
weakest sector.
Sector Posture – seven sectors are positive
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP,
XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near
resistance: XLU
Neutral trend near
support: XLI
Breadth strengthened…as advancers led decliners 1.21 to 1 on
the NYSE and 1.00 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Friday – strengthened, mixed
Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday –
strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – strengthened,
decliners led
Monday – weakened,
decliners led
SPY up .27 at 196.61 on 64.2 million shares
VIX down .51 at 12.08…
TNX down .12 at 25.20…
TLT up .72 at 113.58...
XLF up .04 at 22.69 on 22.69 million shares
AAPL up .18 at 95.22 on 34 million shares
FB up 1.47 at 66.34…on 39.2 million shares
Technical Commentary:
QQQ +
0.64%, DIA + 0.14%, SPY + 0.14%, IWM – .0.13%.
QQQ, SPY and DIA are in bull flag
price patterns. QQQ gave a 20
cent bounce entry signal on Friday.
(click image to enlarge)
(click image to enlarge)
Like the SPY
and DIA a large number of stocks are also in bull flag price patterns and can
be viewed in our Bull Flag Setups
list below. Like QQQ; ADBE, BIDU, CELG, CMCSA, GOOG, SNDK, STX, TXN, WDC and WLT also gave 20 cent Bull Flag bounce entry
signals on Friday.
(click image to enlarge)
(click image to enlarge)
The bull flag pull back on Monday and Tuesday is the reason disciplined
short-term traders move their stops up and minimize profit give back. We hope this was a week that you locked in
some profits and are now looking for re-entry.
Positive
earnings reaction this week from AA which is now in a bull flag pattern
and negative earnings reaction from FAST and FDO. WFC -.0.32,
-0.62% earnings reaction on Friday
was so modest we evaluate it as neutral.
Earning
announcements next week include C, BAC, GS, JPM, MS, INTC, IBM, JNJ, GOOGL,
SNDK, STX and GE.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection
stops. Continue to follow
your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart
Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 94.89, 96.31…
IWM = 120.67, 121.76…
Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13,
193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73,
90.44…
IWM = 116.65, 116.05,
114.66…
Earnings this week:
Monday – C,
Tuesday –
GS, INTC, JPM, JNJ, YHOO
Wednesday
– BAC, EBAY, LVS, SNDK, SCHW, SCSS, USB, URI
Thursday –
AMD, BHI, BAX, BX, GOOGL, IBM, ESI, MAT, MS, OSTK, PM, SLB, STX, SWKS,
Friday –
GE, HON, JCI, KSU,
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – AA,
STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,
Negative Reactions – FAST,
FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,
Reversal in progress –
Reversal of Initial
Reaction –
The SPY Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone at 80.
____________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout: TPX,
V, MNST,
Diagonal Breakout: X,
ADSK, BRCM, NFLX, PCLN,
Bull Flag:
SPY, ATI, CREE, CTRP, DDD, ETFC, FAS, GME, GPRO, JCP, JD, JDSU, MTW, NKE, NTES,
P, SCTY, SPLK, SSYS, VJET, XONE, AKS, YOKU, Z, GLD, AAPL, AVGO, CTXS, EXPE, GMCR,
ILMN, MAR, MU, NTAP, SBUX, TSLA, XLNX,
Potential Bullish
Divergence: ESRX,
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: ROST,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: BBRY, SUNE,
WDC,
H Breakout: AMZN, SUNE,
EBAY, WDC,
Diagonal Breakout: TRIP,
Bull Flag Bounce: QQQ,
WLT, ADBE, BIDU, CELG, CMCSA, GOOG, SNDK, STX, TXN, WDC,
Gap Up: AMZN, EBAY,
Gap Down:
Breakout Test:
Bounce: AMZN, FB, TRIP,
YHOO,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
Bear Flag:
Support Break: RAX,
C- Pattern:
______________________
59 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Thursday and two were unchanged.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: AMZN, WDC, EBAY, FB, BBBY, CTRX, ISRG, LBTYA,
CELG, BIDU
Lagging NDX stocks included: FAST, ROST, CHKP, VIAB, SYMC, QCOM, MYL, FFIV,
MAR, CA
Leading stocks > +2% on Friday
included: VJET, SUNE,
X, GOGO, WLT
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
GPRO, RAX, JD, SFUN,
Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 68
MAR, CHRW,
SIAL, MU, SNDK, CHTR, AAPL, ADP, CELG, EQIX, NXPI, AVGO, ATVI, KRFT, GMCR,
ILMN, ADSK, NFLX, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, BRCM, GOOG, AKAM,
AMGN, BIIB, EXPE, LLTC, SBUX, ALTR, TXN, ADI, KLAC, INTC, STX, WDC, ORLY, SRCL,
LMCA, XLNX, SYMC, CTSH, DISH, DTV, MAT, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, DLTR, MDLZ,
NTAP, EBAY, REGN, VRSK, COST, PCAR, VIP, PAYX,AMZN, DISCA, FOXA, NVDA, MNST
Moving Above 30 DMA = 5
CTRX,
FB, LBTYA, TRIP, YHOO
Moving Below 30 DMA = 3
FFIV,
MYL, QCOM
Staying Below 30 DMA
ALXN,
PCLN, ROST, SPLS, TSLA, VIAB, WYNN, GRMN, CA, CTXS, FAST, HSIC, ISRG, LINTA,
SIRI, VOD, CHKP, MXIM, WFM, BBBY, CERN, ESRX, EXPD, TSCO
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Neutral, RUT: Down
1 comment:
Thanks Dave!
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