Thursday, July 17, 2014

Markets Close Down...IWM & RUT Breaks Support...DIA & SPY In Bull Flag Pattern...SCSS Bucks The Trend Closes Up 8.32%...

None of the nine sectors moved higher on Thursday…however…XLB, XLP and XLU were the strongest sectors…XLE was the weakest sector.

Breadth weakened…as decliners led advancers 4.40 to 1 on the NYSE and 4.20 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Thursday – weakened, decliners led
Wednesday – strengthened, advancers led
Tuesday – weakened, decliners led
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened, mixed


SPY down 2.25 at 195.71 on 144.8 million shares, above average volume
VIX up 3.54 at 14.54…
TNX down .63 at 24.75…
TLT up 1.43 at 114.89...
XLF down .30 at 22.65 on 34.1 million shares

AAPL down 1.69 at 93.09 on 57.1 million shares
FB down 1.25 at 66.41…on 38 million shares


Technical Commentary:

DIA – 0.85%, SPY – 1.14%, QQQ – 1.33%, IWM – 1.54%.


Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 94.89, 96.31…
IWM = 116.46, 120.51…

Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13, 193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73, 90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.16…


Earnings this week:
Monday – C,
Tuesday – GS, INTC, JPM, JNJ, YHOO
Wednesday – BAC, SCHW, USB, EBAY, LVS, SNDK, SCSS, URI
Thursday – BHI, BAX, BX, ESI, MAT, MS, OSTK, PM, AMD, GOOGL, IBM, SLB, STX, SWKS
Friday – GE, HON, JCI, KSU


Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – C, GS, INTC, JPM, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU, NKE, SCHN,


Negative Reactions – BAC, JNJ, USB, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL, WAG,


Reversal in progress – GIS,


Reversal of Initial Reaction – BBBY, APOL, KBH, MON,


The SPY Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone at 83.

____________________

Setups
Horizontal Breakout: IBM, MS,  
Diagonal Breakout
Bull Flag:  SUNE, TPX, V, FB, GILD,
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up:
Gap Down:  
Bear Flag:   
At Support: GOGO, JDSU, SCTY, TSL, TWTR, VRXN, Z, ANGI, SSYS, ANR, ESI, AVGO, TRIP, TSLA, WYNN, XLNX, YHOO,
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs
H Breakout
Diagonal Breakout:  
Bull Flag Bounce:
Gap Up: SCSS,   
Gap Down: UNG, YNDX, COST, GOOG, MU, QCOM, SNDK,
Breakout Test:
Bounce: GLD,  
MACD Divergence Bounce:       
Bear Flag
Support Break: CTRP, ETFC, GLW, IWM, JASO, NKE, RCL, STI, BAC, CRM, FSLR, LVS, UPL, VJET, YOKU, ZION, AAPL, CELG, EXPE, ILMN, PCLN, SBUX,
C- Pattern:
      

______________________

13 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Thursday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: DISCA, MSFT, SIRI, WFM, SYMC, EBAY

Lagging NDX stocks included: SNKD, MAT, MU, CELG, REGN, NXPI, VIP, WDC, STX, ILMN, INTC

Leading stocks > +2% on Thursday included: SCSS

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: JD, Z, AAL, JASO, FAS, BBY, TSL, CSIQ, QIHU, UAL, DAL,


Stocks to Watch on Friday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 52
CHRW, SIAL, MU, CHTR, ADP, EQIX, ATVI, CSCO, ADBE, AMAT, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, BRCM, GOOG, SBUX, KLAC, INTC, STX, WDC, ORLY, SRCL, LMCA, XLNX, SYMC, DISH, DTV, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, MDLZ, NTAP, EBAY, VRSK, COST, PCAR, PAYX, AMZN, DISCA, NVDA, CTRX, FB, LBTYA, BBBY, MYL, CERN, VOD, SIRI, VIAB, VIP

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0 
                   

Moving Below 30 DMA = 20
AAPL, ALTR, AVGO, CELG, CTSH, DLTR, EXPD, EXPE, HSIC, KRFT, MAR, NFLX, NXPI, PCLN, QCOM, REGN, SNDK, SPLS, TXN, WYNN

Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, CTXS, YHOO, AKAM, ALXN, AMGN, BIIB, FOXA, GMCR, ILMN, LLTC, MAT, MNST, TSLA, ADI, TRIP, FFIV, ROST, GRMN, CA, FAST, ISRG, LINTA, CHKP, MXIM, WFM, ESRX, TSCO

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Down



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