Six out of nine sectors moved higher on Monday… XLU, XLB and XLY were the
strongest sectors…XLP was the weakest sector.
Sector Posture – seven sectors are positive
Positive trend: XLB, XLE, XLF, XLK, XLP,
XLV, XLY
Neutral trend near resistance:
Neutral trend near
support: XLI, XLU
Breadth strengthened as decliners led advancers 1.29 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.71 to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Monday – strengthened, decliners led
Friday – weakened,
decliners led
Thursday – weakened,
decliners led
Wednesday – weakened,
mixed
Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led
SPY up .08 at 197.80 on 69.1 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .13 at 12.56…
TNX up .22 at 24.91…
TLT down .16 at 115.51...
XLF up .01 at 22.90 on 42.1 million shares, above average volume
AAPL up 1.35 at 99.02 on 55.1 million shares
FB down .27 at 74.92…on 41.5 million shares
Technical Commentary:
QQQ + 0.03%, SPY
+ 0.04%, DIA +
0.15%, IWM – 0.50%.
The SPY and QQQ formed bull flag patterns as did several stocks including FB, SWKS and BX.
(click image to enlarge)
The SPY and QQQ formed bull flag patterns as did several stocks including FB, SWKS and BX.
(click image to enlarge)
This week there are several economic
announcements including the FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday with
announcement expected Wednesday at 2 pm ET.
GDP Q2 will be out Wednesday at 8:30 am ET. The Unemployment report for July will be
out Friday morning 8:30 am.
Trade with the trend of
the chart you are trading and continue to move your profit protection
stops. Continue to follow
your rules.
Short-term up trend Chart
Targets:
SPY = 198.12, 199.06…
QQQ = 96.31, 97.52, 98.28
IWM = 116.46, 119.09…
Support Levels
SPY = 196. 59, 194.13,
193.11…
QQQ = 93.57, 91.73,
90.44…
IWM = 114.66, 113.16…
Earnings this week:
Monday – CMI, TSN,
WYNN, JEC, HLF
Tuesday – AET,
AKS DLR, FISV, GLW, HCA, MDC, YNDX, AMGN, AXP, BWLD, CHRW, ESRX, MAR,
MRK, PFE, SLCA, X, UPS, VRTX
Wednesday – GRMN,
HES, AEM, AKAM, CTRP, EQIX, KRFT, LRCX, MTW, WDC, WFM, YELP
Thursday – DDD,
BZH, CL, COP, DTV, XOM, ESI, RYL, TEVA, TWC, EXPE, LNG, LNKD, MA, MCHP,
SPWR, TSLA, TRLA
Friday – CBOE,
CVX, HLT, PG, BRK.A
Earnings week in
review:
Monday – HAL, HAS, PETS, STI, CMG, NFLX, STLD, TXN, ZION
Tuesday – ATI, MO, KO, CMCSA, DD, HOG, KMB, LXK, LMT, MCD, BTU, RF, STT, TRV, UTX, VZ, AAPL, BRCM, EA,
HTZ, ISRG, JNPR,
LLTC, MSFT, NBR,
VMW, XLNX
Wednesday – APD,
BIIB, BA, CHKP, DAL, DOW, FTI, GD, NSC, RHI, WHR, ANGI, T, CA, CRUS, CTXS, ETFC, FFIV, FB, FCX,
GILD, ILMN, NXPI, ORLY,
QCOM, TSCO, TRIP
Thursday – MMM, ALK,
ALXN, BMY, CAT, CELG, DNKN, F, GM, DHI, JBLU, LLY,
LUV, NOK, NUE, OSTK,
POT, PHM, SIAL, NDAQ,
UA, UNP, UAL, AMZN,
BIDU, DECK,
KLAC, MXIM, P,
SBAC, SWI, SBUX,
SRCL, TPX, V, VRSN
Friday – MCO, SWK,
STO, WLB, XRX
Q2 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions –
CMG, BIIB, ISRG, SWI, UA, VRSN, AAPL, APD, CA, CHKP, CMCSA, CTXS, DAL, DECK,
DOW, FFIV, FB, FTI, GD, LXK, LMT, NBR, NDAQ, NOK, OSTK, ORLY, PETS, RHI, STLD,
SWK, TSCO, TXN, WHR, XRX, ZION, BX, C, GOOGL, GS, HON, INTC, KSU, JPM,
PM, SCSS, SWKS, URI, AA, STZ, APOL, BKS, KBH, MON, MU,
NKE, SCHN,
More than 10% - CMG,
BIDU, BIIB, ISRG, OSTK, SWI, UA, VRSN,
Negative Reactions –
ALK, ALXN, AMZN, ANGI, ATI, BA, CAT, CELG, DHI, DNKN, EA, ETFC, FCX, GM, HOG,
ILMN, JNPR, KLAC, KMB, KO, LLTC, MCD, NFLX, P, PHM, QCOM, SBUX, STI, STO, T,
TPX, TRIP, TRV, UTX, V, XLNX, AMD, BAC, BHI, JCI, JNJ, LVS, MAT, SLB,
SNDK, STX, USB, YHOO, FAST, FDO, CAMP, BBBY, GIS, CCL,
WAG,
More than -10% - AMD, ANGI, CAMP, DHI, MXIM,
P, SNDK, XLNX,
Reversal in progress – GIS,
WAG,
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – BBBY, YHOO, APOL, KBH, MON,
The SPY Market Forecast green line is in the upper zone at 89.
____________________
Setups
Horizontal Breakout: BBY,
JD, NKE, PANW, KKD, ADBE, WDC, YHOO,
Diagonal Breakout: GLD,
STI, TSL, JCP, ESRX, EXPE, PCLN,
Bull Flag:
SPY, BX, C, FAS, MS, FB, INTC, MAR,
Potential Bullish
Divergence: IWM,
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag:
At Support: AIG, HOG,
SSYS, YNDX, ADSK, ILMN,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: HPQ, Z, AAPL,
H Breakout: IBM, NTES,
QIHU, SCHW,
Diagonal Breakout: LVS,
WYNN,
Bull Flag Bounce:
Gap Up: FSLR,
Gap Down: MNST,
Breakout Test:
Bounce: SPWR, SUNE,
SWKS, CREE, TXN,
MACD Divergence Bounce:
CSIQ,
Bear Flag:
Support Break: MU,
C- Pattern:
______________________
40 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Monday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: SBAC, WYNN, MXIM, CTXS, GILD, ATVI, WDC, AAPL,
DLR, TXN
Lagging NDX stocks included: MU, MNST, ILMN, ALXN, MYL, SIRI, ALTR, EXPD
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday
included: QIHU, GPRO,
SFUN, NTES, SPWR, SUNE, FSLR
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included:
GOGO, AAL, BBRY, VRSN, SWI, P, GTAT
VJET, XONE, UBNT, SSYS, ZION
Stocks to Watch on Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 60
CHRW,
SIAL, MU, CHTR, ADP, EQIX, ATVI, CSCO, ADBE, INTU, MSFT, BIDU, CMCSA, GOOG,
SBUX, INTC, STX, WDC, LMCA, SYMC, DTV, VRTX, FISV, GILD, SBAC, MDLZ, NTAP,
EBAY, VRSK, COST, PCAR, PAYX, DISCA, CTRX, FB, BBBY, MYL CERN, SIRI, AAPL,
CELG, CTSH, EXPD, EXPE, MAR, REGN, ALXN, AMGN, CTXS, FFIV, PCLN, VOD, WYNN,
BIIB, CHKP, ISRG, CA, ORLY, TSCO, YHOO
Moving Above 30 DMA =
1
DLTR
Moving Below 30 DMA = 8
MU,
MYL, SIRI
Staying Below 30 DMA
ADSK, AMZN, BRCM, HSIC, KLAC, LINTA,
SPLS, AVGO, DISH, ILMN, QCOM, TRIP, ALTR, GMCR, KRFT, LLTC, NXPI, TXN, VIAB,
XLNX, AMAT, NFLX, SRCL, LBTYA, NVDA, VIP, SNDK, AKAM, FOXA, MAT, MNST, TSLA,
ADI, ROST, GRMN, FAST, MXIM, WFM, ESRX
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Neutral
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