Eight of nine sectors moved higher on Monday and one was unchanged…XLV, XLI and XLU were the strongest sectors…XLE
was the weakest sector.
Breadth strengthened as advancers led decliners 3.22 to 1 on
the NYSE and 3.17
to 1 on the NASDAQ.
Monday – strengthened, advancers led
Friday – strengthened,
advancers led
Thursday - mixed
Wednesday – weakened,
decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened,
advancers led
SPY up 1.52 at 187.01 on 99.7 million shares
VIX down .53 at 13.88…
TNX up .11 at 27.23…
TLT down .27 at 109.10...
XLF up .23 at 22.34 on 33.3 million shares
AAPL down .12 at 536.74 on 6.0 million shares
FB up .23 at 60.24…on 52.9
million shares, average volume
Technical
Commentary:
IWM +2.05%,
SPY +0.82%, DIA +0.85%, QQQ +0.71%.
The RUT
led the broad indexes on Monday as the VIX fell to its lowest close in
over a month. Interest rates TNX rose
as bonds and gold fell.
The SPY
made a MACD bullish divergence bounce entry on Monday. CRM, YNDX, ADSK and CMCSA also made a
MACD
bullish divergence bounce entry.
Additional Divergence Setups are
in our list below.
In the NDX
100 point leaders were MSFT, GILD, BIIB, AMGN, MU, CMCSA and INTC while
point decliners included GOOG and AMZN.
While many
bounce entries occurred on Monday…continue to look for an opportunity to
enter bounce trades according to your rules.
Trade with the trend of the chart
you are trading and continue
to move your protective stops. Continue to follow your rules.
Short-term
up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 187.15, 189.25,
190.55…
QQQ = 89.39, 90.96, 92.25…
IWM = 118.31, 120.25…
Support Levels
SPY = 183.90, 182.60
QQQ = 86.40, 85.88
IWM = 113.69, 111.35
Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – GME,
KKD, MFRM, KKD, BIG, FL, JOY, DRYS, TSL, DDD, MNST,
ROST, YOKU, CRM, SHLD, ANF, TGT, DLTR, LOW, HD, M, SCTY, ZU, PCLN, DISH,
INTU, AEE, MDRX, ALEX, DTV, TSLA, GRMN, SWY, KRFT, AMAT, CTRP, NVDA,
SPWR, TRIP, REGN, CBOE, MCO, ATVI, AKAM, EXPE, GMCR, NXPI, ONNN, ORLY,
SCSS, SWI, TWX, DIS, YELP, AGNC, KORS, KEYW, IDXX, XYL, YUM, NOV,
SPG, TSN, ZNGA, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CMG, GOOG, JDSU, MTW, PHM, RYL, UA, VIAB, V,
BA, DOW, FB, LVS, QCOM, VLO, AKS, AAL, CHKP, EA, F, ILMN, LXK, CAT, RCL, JNPR,
MSFT, KMB, PG, MXIM, SBUX, NFLX, FFIV, URI, UNP, EBAY, MCD, CREE, TXN, UTX,
NUAN, XLNX, BHI, DAL, RF, MS, SLB, STI, AXP, SWKS, BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU,
STZ, APOL
Negative Reactions – GOGO, CIEN,
COST, CSIQ, HOV, MCP, SSYS, ADSK, CRM, FSLR, SINA, ESRX, GRPN, YNDX, KO,
A, GNC, WTW, VFC, WFM, ANGI, CSCO, DISCA, NTAP, RAX, CI, LNKD, TPX, VRSN,
ADP, CTSH, HUM, MDC, P, TSO, TWTR, ADM, BWLD, CERN, CHRW, DDD, SFLY, GILD, CVX,
MA, MAT, PCAR, AMZN, MMM, CELG, CL, XOM, ESI, HOG, OSTK, POT, SHW, WHR, BA,
CTXS, EMC, TSCO, CRUS, GLW, DD, F, VMW, YHOO, AAPL, STX, ZION, HON, KSU, SWK,
STT, ALTR, ISRG, KLAC, KEY, JCI, LMT, WDC, ABT, BAX, ATI, COH, FCX, AMD, IBM,
HAL, JNJ, TRV, VZ, GE, COF, INTC, UNH, C, GS, CSX, FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN
(104)
Reversal in progress
–ADSK, A, GS, GOGO, JCI, LNKD, MA, RAX, STX, WFM (10, 10%)
Reversal of Initial
Reaction – AA, AAPL, ABT, ADP, ADM, ALTR, ATI, BAX, BWLD, DISCA, CELG, CERN, CL, COF,
CSCO, CSX, CTSH, CTXS, CRUS, CVX, DD, DDD, EMC, ESRX, FAST, FDO, FSLR, GILD, GLW,
HAL, HOG, HON, HUM, IBM, ISRG, JNJ, KEY, KLAC, KO, LMT, MDC, MMM, P, PCAR, POT,
SFLY, SHW, SINA, SWK, TPX, TSCO, TSO, UNH, VZ,
VFC, VMW, VRSN, WDC, WHR, XOM,
YHOO, ZION (62, 60%)
The Market Forecast green
line turned up and is at 63.
____________________
Setups
H Breakout: MFRM,
Diagonal Breakout: ETFC, HOG,
Bull Flag: ATI, BAC, FSLR, IBM, SCHW, X, Z, AAPL,
TLT, GRMN, XLNX
One Day:
Potential Bullish
Divergence: AAL, JNPR, SPWR, SWI, SOHU, SSYS, YELP, YOKU, AKAM, ALTR, BIDU,
CELG, CERN, COST, EXPE, FFIV, GILD, GMCR, ILMN, NTAP,
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
Bear Flag: VRSN, CREE, CIEN, ESI, TPX, TSL, UAL,
At Support: C, PANW, UBNT,
V, WLT,
C- Pattern:
Moves
New Highs: GLW,
WDC
Gap Up:
Gap Down:
H Breakout:
Diagonal Breakout: CTRP,
Breakout Test:
Bull Flag Bounce: FAS, JDSU, MTW, STI, SWKS,
Bounce: ZION,
MACD Divergence Bounce: SPY, CRM, YNDX, ADSK, CMCSA, RAX,
Bear Flag: LNKD,
Support Break: BBRY,
______________________
84 of 100 NDX stocks
closed higher on Monday.
Leading NDX 100 stocks included: MU, GILD, WDC, STX,
WYNN, NTAP, CTSH, ADSK, MSFT, CMCSA
Lagging NDX stocks included: GMCR, NFLX, TSLA,
WFM, ROST, ESRX, AMZN, GRMN, QCOM, GOOG
Leading stocks > +2% on Monday
included: ESI, CTRP, UAL, AAL, FAS, JDSU, CREE, UBNT, ZION, CIEN,
GOGO, RAX, QIHU, LVS, YOKU, P, SINA, YNDX, CRM, SCTY
Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: BBRY, LNKD, UNG
Stocks to Watch on
Tuesday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 30
AVGO,
PCAR, ATVI, MSFT, XLNX, MAR, AMAT, KLAC, TXN, GRMN, LLTC, KRFT, FAST, MAT,
BRCM, INTC, QCOM, SNDK, STX, ADI, WDC, AAPL, CSCO, NXPI, DISH, MDLZ, PAYX,
ROST, BBBY, MXIM,
Moving Above 30 DMA = 6
ALTR, CHKP, CHRW, DTV, HSIC, ISRG
Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
SBUX, TSCO
Staying Below 30 DMA
CTXS,
INTU, NVDA, DISCA, ADP, AKAM, EBAY, ESRX, FFIV, FISV, LINTA, MYL, SIAL, WFM,
VIAB, LMCA, TSLA, TRIP, ADBE, AMGN, AMZN, BIIB, DLTR, SYMC, GMCR, ALXN, CERN,
YHOO, FB, REGN, FOXA, CTSH, EXPE, GOOG, PCLN, WYNN, LBTYA, SBAC, COST, BIDU,
MNST, MU, ORLY, SRCL, EQIX, NFLX, ILMN, CA, VRSK, ADSK, VOD, CELG, GILD, SPLS,
VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, CMCSA, NTAP, CHTR, EXPD, VIP
Sixteen Week
Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market
Trend: Up
1 comment:
Thanks for your great analysis and commentary as always. I wouldn't start the day off without it!
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