Friday, March 7, 2014

Five of nine sectors moved higher on Friday…XLF, XLI and XLU were the strongest sectors…while XLB was the weakest sector.  XLF led all sectors three of five days this week which is positive support for the broad market up trend. 

Breadth weakened as decliners led advancers 1.39 to 1 on the NYSE and 1.04 to 1 on the NASDAQ.

Friday – weakened, decliners led
Thursday – strengthened, advancers led
Wednesday – weakened, decliners led
Tuesday – strengthened, advancers led
Monday – weakened, decliners led


SPY up .08 at 188.26 on 114.5 million shares, below average volume
VIX down .10 at 14.11…
TNX up .53 at 27.90…
TLT down .67 at 105.89...
XLF up .10 at 22.37 on 66.2 million shares, above average volume

AAPL down .31 at 530.44 on 7.9 million shares, below average volume
FB down 1.04 at 69.80…on 38.9 million shares, below average volume

Mar 7 – Weekly - YTD Performance

RUT   +1.71%           +3.41%
NDX   +0.20%           +3.10%
SPX    +1.00%           +1.61%

XLV    +0.02%           +7.23%
XLU    -1.14%            +5.32%
XLB    +1.51%           +3.40%
XLF    +3.09%           +2.33%
XLK    +0.19%           +1.90%
XLI      +1.81%           +1.42%
XLY    +0.82%           +0.84%
XLE    +0.42%           -0.55%
XLP    +0.73%           -0.74%

FB         +1.96%         +27.72%
NFLX     +0.61%        +21.78%
PCLN     +0.68%        +16.83%
MU         +0.95%        +12.28%
GOOG    -0.07%          +8.39%
GILD       -3.88%          +5.97%
BIDU      +6.50%          +2.34%
AMZN    +2.75%           -5.45%


Technical Commentary: 
DIA + 0.15%, SPY + 0.04%, IWM – 0.03%, QQQ – 0.49%.

SPX closed at another record high today its 51st in a year with the strength of the
financials.


ANR downgraded at GS
PANW +11.04%, following mistrial in patent lawsuit
GOGO +2.10%, SAC Capital Advisors disclose 5.4%, 4.5 million share position
NKE gains as FL reports better than expected results and makes record high

Trade with the trend of the chart you are trading and continue to move your protective stops.  Continue to follow your rules.


Short-term up trend Chart Targets:
SPY = 189.25, 190.55…
QQQ = 90.96, 92.25, 93.05
IWM = 120.64, 121.84…

Support Levels
SPY = 187.15, 183.75, 182.60
QQQ = 88.87, 87.35, 86.49
IWM = 118.71, 115.58


Earnings this week… GOGO, KKD, MFRM

Q4 Earnings Reactions
Positive Reactions – BIG, FL, JOY, DRYS, TSL, DDD, MNST, ROST, YOKU, CRM, SHLD, ANF, TGT, DLTR, LOW, HD, M, SCTY, ZU, PCLN, DISH, INTU, AEE, MDRX, ALEX, DTV, TSLA, GRMN, SWY, KRFT, AMAT, CTRP, NVDA, SPWR, TRIP, REGN, CBOE, MCO, ATVI, AKAM, EXPE, GMCR, NXPI, ONNN, ORLY, SCSS, SWI, TWX, DIS, YELP, AGNC, KORS, KEYW, IDXX, XYL, YUM, NOV, SPG, TSN, ZNGA, ALXN, BRCM, BX, CMG, GOOG, JDSU, MTW, PHM, RYL, UA, VIAB, V, BA, DOW, FB, LVS, QCOM, VLO, AKS, AAL, CHKP, EA, F, ILMN, LXK, CAT, RCL, JNPR, MSFT, KMB, PG, MXIM, SBUX, NFLX, FFIV, URI, UNP, EBAY, MCD, CREE, TXN, UTX, NUAN, XLNX, BHI, DAL, RF, MS, SLB, STI, AXP, SWKS, BAC, LLTC, WEN, MON, MU, STZ, APOL

Negative Reactions – CIEN, COST, CSIQ, HOV, MCP, SSYS, ADSK, CRM, FSLR, SINA, ESRX, GRPN, YNDX, KO, A, GNC, WTW, VFC, WFM, ANGI, CSCO, DISCA, NTAP, RAX, CI, LNKD, TPX, VRSN, ADP, CTSH, HUM, MDC, P, TSO, TWTR, ADM, BWLD, CERN, CHRW, DDD, SFLY, GILD, CVX, MA, MAT, PCAR, AMZN, MMM, CELG, CL, XOM, ESI, HOG, OSTK, POT, SHW, WHR, BA, CTXS, EMC, TSCO, CRUS, GLW, DD, F, VMW, YHOO, AAPL, STX, ZION, HON, KSU, SWK, STT, ALTR, ISRG, KLAC, KEY, JCI, LMT, WDC, ABT, BAX, ATI, COH, FCX, AMD, IBM, HAL, JNJ, TRV, VZ, GE, COF, INTC, UNH, C, GS, CSX, FAST, AA, FDO, BBBY, SCHN (104)

Reversal in progress –ADSK, ATI, A, CRUS CSX, CVX, GS, COF, JNJ, IBM, JCI, KEY, KO, LNKD, MA, RAX, STX, WFM (18, 18%)

Reversal of Initial Reaction – SINA, AA, AAPL, ABT, ADP, ADM, ALTR, BWLD, DISCA, CERN, CL, CSCO, CTSH, CTXS, DDD, HAL, EMC, ESRX, FAST, FDO, FSLR, HOG, BAX, VRSN, HUM, P, GILD, PCAR, MDC, MMM, CELG, HOG, POT, SHW, GLW, DD, HON, SWK, ISRG, KLAC, LMT, SFLY, TPX, TSCO, TSO, WHR,  UNH, VZ,  WDC, VFC, VMW, YHOO, XOM, ZION (54, 51%)



The Market Forecast Green Line closed above 94.

____________________

Setups
H Breakout: BAC, C, GME, GOGO, IBM, IWM, JDSU, PANW, TBT, BIDU, EBAY, ESRX, GOOG, MSFT, NFLX
Diagonal Breakout: CRM, JNPR, XONE, MNST, MU, WFM
Bull Flag: BBRY, CTRP, DRYS, MTW, P, SCTY, SOHU, SPWR, TPX, VRSN, AKAM, FB, GMCR, GRMN, ROST, SNDK, TSLA, YHOO
One Day: ATI, FSLR, GLD, LVS, SFUN, SWI, SWKS, UAL, YOKU, DTV, PCLN, QCOM, TRIP, WYNN, XLNX
Potential Bullish Divergence: 
Gap Up
Gap Down:    
Bear Flag: GRPN, X
At Support: CRM, DDD, JNPR, SPLK, TLT, TWTR, GILD, STX
C- Pattern:

Moves
New Highs: AAL, BX, FAS, GLW, SPY, STI, TSL, DAL, ZION, CTSH, FFIV, TXN,
Gap Up: BIG, FL, NKE
Gap Down:   
H Breakout: RAX
Diagonal Breakout:   
Breakout Test: SCSS
Bull Flag Bounce: PANW, RCL, YNDX
Bounce: SBUX
MACD Divergence Bounce
Bear Flag: CMCSA,
Support Break: ANR, NTAP, WDC 

______________________


40 of 100 NDX stocks closed higher on Friday and one was unchanged.

Leading NDX 100 stocks included: INTU, PAYX, AMAT, BBBY, SPLS, KLAC, FAST, LLTC, BRCM, SRCL

Lagging NDX stocks included: VIPS, BIIB, REGN, NTAP, WDC, VOD, TSLA, YHOO, NXPI, ILMN

Leading stocks > +2% on Friday included: XONE, STI, GOGO, RAX

Lagging stocks < -2.0% included: ANR, SFUN, WLT, SOHU, CRM, FSLR, YOKU, YNDX, SPLK, CSIQ, SCTY, SCSS, TWTR, SPWR

Stocks to Watch on Monday
Holding Above 30 DMA= 82
ILMN, EQIX, FFIV, ISRG, MU, BIIB, MXIM, NXPI, TSLA, NFLX, ALTR, ALXN, REGN, FB, GMCR, GOOG, WYNN, ADBE, DISH, ORLY, EBAY, AKAM, AVGO, DTV, PCAR, AMGN, ATVI, CERN, EXPE, MNST, MSFT, MYL, NVDA, PCLN, SNDK, TRIP, ADI, XLNX, MAR, AMAT, CHKP, KLAC, TXN, CTSH, GRMN, HSIC, KRFT, LINTA, LLTC, VIAB, BIDU, FOXA, MDLZ, FISV, LBTYA, DISCA, CTXS, FAST, INTU, VOD, WFM, BBBY, CA, DLTR, ROST, SIAL, ADP, TSCO, SBAC, YHOO, AAPL, ADSK, BRCM, ESRX, PAYX, QCOM, AMZN, SRCL, INTC, MAT, SBUX

Moving Above 30 DMA = 0

Moving Below 30 DMA = 2
LMCA, WDC

Staying Below 30 DMA
CELG, COST, GILD, SPLW, STX, VRTX, SIRI, CTRX, VRSK, CMCSA, CSCO, CHTR, NTAP, SYMC, EXPD, VIP

Sixteen Week Intermediate Term Market Trend: Up
3-Day Short Term Market Trend: Up

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